DOTD?

just gonna' post some stuff & see what sticks...

DOTD?

Since '03, the Saints as a non-div road dog of less than 14', not the playoffs & with more than 3 days rest, off home game vs div opp:

9-4 s/u & 12-1 ats

Since '07:  8-3 s/u & 11-0 ats

Saints+5'

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caveat:  since '04 as a dog of more than 3' after allowing less than 25 FD's

3-0 s/u

Saints m/l

@Riderx

Conf road dogs between 2.5 & 5 w/a total of 41+ on Sunday & not off a bye, on a 2+ win streak & allowed less than 17 FD's in B-B games, vs opp off a s/u loss as a road dog:

0-5 ats

caveat:  exact line of +3

0-3 s/u...by -18, -38 & -14...against Hou+3

Indy-3

The Falcons as a road fav between -1.5 & -6 vs non div opp on 6 days rest that was a dog of more than +8 last game:

0-3 s/u & ats

Jets+3

Jets m/l

non-div home favs on at least a 3-game losing streak, team has 5+ wins, off a s/u loss by more than -21 in which they scored between 0 to 14:

2-0 s/u...by 25 & 32

2-0 ats

TB-3'

@Riderx

 Thx again.

Do you consider regression querys

Example: ats streak>3, or ou streak>3 since these may show line value due to

recency bias by the public AND over correction by the books. Contrarian positioning

is profitable imho.................................................GOOD LUCK

Saints

Jets

Indy

Tampa.

Let's rock n roll.

@jowchoo

 Het J, yes I do but unfortunately I just don't have enough time.  What I need to do is organize all the research I've done the past few decades & be ready for next season from day one.  I have boxes & boxes of work that I did the 'ol school way...with pen & paper...while using profootballreference to dig through games on a micro basis.  And most of my time is spent on the stock market, where I've been very fortunate but an extreme amount of work.  That is my bread & butter now which I need it to be as I cannot work anymore.

@Logic123

 Logic, please don't just play the games I have as I've made some really bad ones.  I might lay off Indy- & TB-, just because I like 'em too much, not good.

Home dogs with 0 home wins & 6 home losses, off a non-overtime game as a home dog, with less than 13 days rest:

tS(HW)=0 and tS(HL)=6 and HD and rest<13 and p:HD and p:overtime=0

3-3 s/u

6-0 ats

if that team is on less than 9 days rest and a total of less than 47.5:

3-0 s/u & ats

Titans+5'

Titans m/l

After week 6, home favs of -9 or more with at least 1 loss but less than 6, off a win as a road fav of more than -5 vs opp that had less than 2 wins & was on at least a 4-game losing streak:

po:wins<2 and p:AFW and p:line<-5 and po:streak<-3 and H and line<-8.5 and 6>losses>0 and week>6

10-0 ats

Seat-11'

Since '02, non-div conf home dogs of more than +2 off a s/u loss, scored 28+ in B-B games, vs opp off a s/u loss:

season>=2002 and CHD and line>2 and non-div and p:points>27 and pp:points>27 and p:l and op:L

0-2 s/u & ats

aginst Pitt+3

possible blowout...losing s/u by -27 & -21

Buff-3

Division road dogs of more than +7 off a s/u loss vs opp off a s/u loss by more than -21 as a road fav:

A and line>7 and p:L and DIV and op:AFL and op:margin<-21

0-5 ats...against LVR+9'

LAC-9'

sh*t...I'm scratching Indy- & takin' Hou+ & Hou m/l

Any road dog off a s/u win as a home dog had more than 6 sacks, opp off loss as a road dog:

AD and p:sacks>6 and p:HDW and op:ADL

3-0 s/u & ats

Hou+3

Hou m/l

@Riderx

 What do you hold in your port? You a long term investor??

@Riderx

 I like Houston:)

Great stuff, looking forward to checking results.

I do not know but as I have the same background and with Riderx's amazing use of

SDQL protocols, I would bet there is a significant portion of precious metals in there. Maybe gold/silver miners!

@Riderx

 Raiders were home last week. Not road fav

Chargers were the road fav

@softrocky

@UglyKidJoe

@Bet15

@jowchoo

Majority is long although I will go short on occasion & I do have rare earths...  Energy, robotics & AI are a major part of our 4th-industrial revolution...

more on the Titans...

AFC div home dogs of more than +3.5 on at least a game ats win streak off being a home dog of more than +3:

conference=AFC and HD and line>3.5 and DIV and p:HD and p:line>3 and ats streak>2

3-0 s/u

3-0 ats

0-3 o/u

scores of:  19-16, 13-6 & 20-17

dogs of +6, +10 & +7'

Titans+5'

Titans m/l

Under 41'