if we are going by that point of view... then i guess Browns are the "sharp" play.
currently i'm seeing 52/48 bet percentage in favor of Ravens according to sportsinsight. it was once around 60/40 a few days ago but has dropped day by day guessing more "sharp" money coming in on Browns and it'll probably be 50/50 by gameday.
on covers consensus i'm seeing 57/43 public on Browns, 11-4 covers experts on Browns and this whole forum is on Browns. on SBR consensus 57/43 more wagers on Browns and almost $50,000 more on Browns. all betting articles i read that are making picks on the game are taking Browns ats. walterfootball is taking Browns. nflpickwatch.com 81% are taking Ravens to win SU but as far as ATS, 59% of the so called experts from various outlets are taking the Browns ATS.. i imagine that will get to a little over 60%. Jason La Canfora is taking the Browns.. he's a horrible reporter so eff him. 6 of 8 from the CBS panel are taking Browns ats..
sharp, square, i don't care. i'm just studying the game the best i can and actually "capping" it. i have a number in my head and i'm not making my pick based on what other people like or don't like. i see enough to justify picking the Ravens. no reason why i can't see them winning by a touchdown. they could win by 4, or they could win by 6. if they don't cover then so be it. hopefully it's 6.. i think this line is set nearly on the money.
like i said earlier, anything more than 7 and i was considering taking the Browns but doesn't look like it's going to happen now. i actually respect the Browns a little bit more as an opponent and they'll have plenty of value next season for division futures, and maybe conference futures but that would be reaching it, alot of things would have to go right for that to happen. baby steps of course. i could see them compete for a division title alongside Ravens and Steelers. maybe 3 or 4 years from now the Browns might have a shot to play in the Super Bowl.
well, best of luck to you
mister sharp bettor
Not saying I'm a sharp bettor. I'm saying when these guys land on the same play, they are wrong most of the time. could be one of the times they are right. under the circumstance, they hit about 40% of the time, so I fade them every time and make money. as I said, this may be one of the times they're right. I like my chances with the points on this one, though. good luck to you.
if we are going by that point of view... then i guess Browns are the "sharp" play.
currently i'm seeing 52/48 bet percentage in favor of Ravens according to sportsinsight. it was once around 60/40 a few days ago but has dropped day by day guessing more "sharp" money coming in on Browns and it'll probably be 50/50 by gameday.
on covers consensus i'm seeing 57/43 public on Browns, 11-4 covers experts on Browns and this whole forum is on Browns. on SBR consensus 57/43 more wagers on Browns and almost $50,000 more on Browns. all betting articles i read that are making picks on the game are taking Browns ats. walterfootball is taking Browns. nflpickwatch.com 81% are taking Ravens to win SU but as far as ATS, 59% of the so called experts from various outlets are taking the Browns ATS.. i imagine that will get to a little over 60%. Jason La Canfora is taking the Browns.. he's a horrible reporter so eff him. 6 of 8 from the CBS panel are taking Browns ats..
sharp, square, i don't care. i'm just studying the game the best i can and actually "capping" it. i have a number in my head and i'm not making my pick based on what other people like or don't like. i see enough to justify picking the Ravens. no reason why i can't see them winning by a touchdown. they could win by 4, or they could win by 6. if they don't cover then so be it. hopefully it's 6.. i think this line is set nearly on the money.
like i said earlier, anything more than 7 and i was considering taking the Browns but doesn't look like it's going to happen now. i actually respect the Browns a little bit more as an opponent and they'll have plenty of value next season for division futures, and maybe conference futures but that would be reaching it, alot of things would have to go right for that to happen. baby steps of course. i could see them compete for a division title alongside Ravens and Steelers. maybe 3 or 4 years from now the Browns might have a shot to play in the Super Bowl.
well, best of luck to you
mister sharp bettor
Not saying I'm a sharp bettor. I'm saying when these guys land on the same play, they are wrong most of the time. could be one of the times they are right. under the circumstance, they hit about 40% of the time, so I fade them every time and make money. as I said, this may be one of the times they're right. I like my chances with the points on this one, though. good luck to you.
One of the main refrains i keep reading over again: this is the Browns' Super Bowl... So what does this game mean for the Ravens then? It's not their Super Bowl too? If we are going to treat this as a playoff game as such then the Ravens have a distinct advantage here against the Browns plus they are in a good spot having lost to them earlier in the season. the Ravens overlooked the Bengals last year after shutting them out in the first meeting. Also, the Bengals still had a roster that went to the playoffs before. For most of the Browns players the only playoff experience they've had was playing in a college bowl game. Now, thats not quite the same is it? The Browns are the youngest team in the NFL with the average age of the starting roster being 25.3 years old compared to Ravens squad about 2 years older that has a good mix of young and old vets. I expect the Browns inexperience to show up in big moments. There will be no overlooking on the Ravens part.
The Browns will be playing in a tough road environment in what will probably be the largest turnout to a Ravens game in quite some time. i expect very few empty seats if not any and it should be raucous. the fans and team have rallied around Lamar Jackson who has brought a jolt of excitement to the base. I studied the Browns last two road games and did not come away impressed. they beated an inept Broncos team by a measly point. If we can predict how this game will play out I am seeing this being similar to week 13 where the Texans ran the ball down their throats. The Browns will be playing against a more efficient offensive and defensive team in the Ravens.
Lastly, i want to talk about the schedule. the Ravens have played a fairly tough schedule this season. i believe the true test of a good team is how they handle themselves on the road against a good opponent. Ravens are surprisingly 4-4 on the road this season. If they play good on the road then that usually means they'll have a much more significant advantage playing at home. the Ravens are the only team to hand the Titans their only home loss this season in a shutout. the Ravens still beat the Chargers despite a shorter week and the Chargers having extra days to prepare. They hung tough against the Chiefs playing back to back on the road and hung tough to the Saints at home. How about the Browns? Can you name me one signature win this season other than beating the Ravens at home and hanging tough with Saints at New Orleans early in the year?
The Ravens will once again win with ball control offense and a stifling defense. i dont expect the Browns to score more than 20 pts in this game but i think the Ravens will their way to a victory. only reason this game isnt a blowout is Lamar may turn over the ball once or twice to keep it closer than expected.
final score: 27-17
Ravens -5.5, -6, -6.5, -7
*Bonus play: Bengals +14, +650 ML(small)
Keith Butler talked in an interview how his team will prepare to play against Tyler Eifert. umm, he's been on IR since September dude.. the Steelers have been out of touch lately. if the Ravens by some chance keep the game out of reach for Browns to come back, then what are the Steelers going to do in the 2nd half when playoff hopes dimmer? i see a possible moose job and if they care even less maybe they'll even lose SU as well
One of the main refrains i keep reading over again: this is the Browns' Super Bowl... So what does this game mean for the Ravens then? It's not their Super Bowl too? If we are going to treat this as a playoff game as such then the Ravens have a distinct advantage here against the Browns plus they are in a good spot having lost to them earlier in the season. the Ravens overlooked the Bengals last year after shutting them out in the first meeting. Also, the Bengals still had a roster that went to the playoffs before. For most of the Browns players the only playoff experience they've had was playing in a college bowl game. Now, thats not quite the same is it? The Browns are the youngest team in the NFL with the average age of the starting roster being 25.3 years old compared to Ravens squad about 2 years older that has a good mix of young and old vets. I expect the Browns inexperience to show up in big moments. There will be no overlooking on the Ravens part.
The Browns will be playing in a tough road environment in what will probably be the largest turnout to a Ravens game in quite some time. i expect very few empty seats if not any and it should be raucous. the fans and team have rallied around Lamar Jackson who has brought a jolt of excitement to the base. I studied the Browns last two road games and did not come away impressed. they beated an inept Broncos team by a measly point. If we can predict how this game will play out I am seeing this being similar to week 13 where the Texans ran the ball down their throats. The Browns will be playing against a more efficient offensive and defensive team in the Ravens.
Lastly, i want to talk about the schedule. the Ravens have played a fairly tough schedule this season. i believe the true test of a good team is how they handle themselves on the road against a good opponent. Ravens are surprisingly 4-4 on the road this season. If they play good on the road then that usually means they'll have a much more significant advantage playing at home. the Ravens are the only team to hand the Titans their only home loss this season in a shutout. the Ravens still beat the Chargers despite a shorter week and the Chargers having extra days to prepare. They hung tough against the Chiefs playing back to back on the road and hung tough to the Saints at home. How about the Browns? Can you name me one signature win this season other than beating the Ravens at home and hanging tough with Saints at New Orleans early in the year?
The Ravens will once again win with ball control offense and a stifling defense. i dont expect the Browns to score more than 20 pts in this game but i think the Ravens will their way to a victory. only reason this game isnt a blowout is Lamar may turn over the ball once or twice to keep it closer than expected.
final score: 27-17
Ravens -5.5, -6, -6.5, -7
*Bonus play: Bengals +14, +650 ML(small)
Keith Butler talked in an interview how his team will prepare to play against Tyler Eifert. umm, he's been on IR since September dude.. the Steelers have been out of touch lately. if the Ravens by some chance keep the game out of reach for Browns to come back, then what are the Steelers going to do in the 2nd half when playoff hopes dimmer? i see a possible moose job and if they care even less maybe they'll even lose SU as well
Had Ravens in multiple teasers (didn't trust them to cover but thought they'd do it in a must win to avoid the repeat of last year), such a freaking nailbiter.
Watch out for the Browns next year, could be one of the top teams. I think Mayfield and Mahomes are going to have great careers
Had Ravens in multiple teasers (didn't trust them to cover but thought they'd do it in a must win to avoid the repeat of last year), such a freaking nailbiter.
Watch out for the Browns next year, could be one of the top teams. I think Mayfield and Mahomes are going to have great careers
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