Desperate times call for desperate teams!

You know my story. Turned 25$ free bet to several thousands (nearly 5,500$) before GT Bets confiscated it because I wasn’t allowed to win so much and they sent me 450$ because they are so generous and good hearted.

So I took that money, added 50$ to it, and deposited in bookmaker and received a 500$ free play from them. I’m now going to try my luck one last time and see if I can get to where I was previously before the money was confiscated.

This week, I needed to find a team as desperate and angry as I was to get back on track. That team is the NY Giants. I don’t care about their injuries, I wouldn’t even care if they put a QB out there with one arm… They are going to win this game! They simply have to. Talk about humiliation. No team, or I should say, no self respecting franchise with multiple SBs has been as embarrassing this year as the Giants, especially at home, except maybe the Patriots.

Unlike the Pats, the Giants are showing signs of life and I expect them to put it all on the line this Sunday against a Washington team that is beatable. I bet on the Commanders last week because I thought they were in a good spot,,and despite being outgained on offense and outplayed they found a way to win as they were the more desperate team. This week, the roles are reversed. Despite playing a division foe the Giants are only 1-5 and the Commanders have the Eagles on deck, the team they are looking up to not down on.

I am parlaying this bet with money-line bets of  two other angry teams coming off heartbreaking losses that are also in great spots to rebound: the Seahawks and 49ers.

Here are the bets:

500 free play Giants +132 + Seattle ML and Niners ML to win 1470$

$500 real money on Giants +3 Seattle ML and Niners ML to win 1040$

GL BB.

If anyone deserves to win this - it is you.

Thanks, Vanz. I appreciate it. Your writeup on Jacksonville/NO helped make my decision as far as avoiding that game. I was really enamored with the spot NO was in and thought Jacksonville would hit a wall in that game after all the travel but your writeup convinced me that Jacksonville is actually very good and NO is just too god awful of team to back, regardless of the spot. Had you just put your play up without a writeup, not sure what I would have done. 

@begginerboy

 In support of your Giants play, the referee for the game is John Hussey- he's the #1 ref for Home teams.  Home teams are 65-46 ats  when Hussey is the official and, even better, the home team in division games is 34-13!  I'm a Commanders fan and my pools this week say Giants.

• John Hussey officiated the 49ers at Browns game in Week 6. That game had a combined 25 penalties for 224 yards. It was heavily criticized for over officiating and some questionable calls in the fourth quarter. That was the most penalties in a Hussey officiated contest since Week 1 of the 2018 season, when he called 26 for 236 yards. The following week he called just 10 penalties in a divisional game
• After a high penalty game with controversial calls, there is an emphasis on reigning in penalties the next week. Expect that this weekend from Hussey in the Giants versus Commanders contest. Prior to his Week 6 game, Hussey was averaging just 11 penalties per game, below the 2023 NFL average of 12.4 per game
• Hussey officiated the Giants versus Commanders game in 2022, a 20-12 Giants win with a controversial no-call on a defensive pass interference on the last play of the game
• The Giants are a top-10 penalized team for offensive holding infractions. Their defense is also top 10 at generating offensive holding penalties on the opposition when they play at home
• The Commanders offense is a slightly above average penalized unit for offensive holding penalties
• Hussey is calling 44% of his overall penalties on the home team in 2023, continuing a long trend of less than 50% on the home team

• John Hussey is 4-1 to the Under in 2023 with his games averaging 41 points
• Home teams in divisional games are 34-13 on the moneyline with John Hussey since the start of the 2016 NFL season, the best record of any referee in that span

There are two angles to this game.

The ‘Let ‘Em Play” component is immense. It has the makings of a grind it out contest, something along the lines of a 19-17 type game. So it goes without saying the under is worth serious consideration.

The home team angle with Hussey in these games is astounding.

If the Giants are to have a chance, it will be on the back of their defense. The less penalties the better here.

I like your plays.. I have Seattle as my Survivor this week and I will be siding with the public on Monday Night.. in my opinion you have to go Bounce back spot with there defense.. offensively San Francisco 49ers depth should do well versus Minnesota because they are what there record shows.. Bears defense does not compare to San Francisco..

•Vikings have ZERO !! Rushing touchdowns this season.. them getting rid of Dalvin Cook hurt them big.. he played well in there system.. Mattison is simply not as good.. 

•Jefferson is not there and he is the biggest part of that offense

•playing against the #2 defense..Top 10 ish pass defense

•passrush should have a great game rushing 4.. I feel like the passrush is going to have a huge day against the Minnesota Vikings offensive line..

in my opinion there are certain QBs that crumble versus a good passrush.. not always but often.. 

Kirk

Goff

Tua

Good Luck this week begginerboy

Great info, buddy! Love the avatar. 

I like the Niners to cover here, but when you’re playing with your last dime, just win, baby! 

@Erik48

 Thanks for the Info. Love the avatar, Columbo (Peter Falk)

Go NYG ML, Good luck 

I think NYG will get the cover and maybe even win.  Good luck, BB.

I think a lot of ppl are teasing down SEA & SF. Got a feeling one of them is going mess this up. Hopefully not though. 

I fully expect one of them to go down to the wire, but both win. 

The Redskins are going to win tomorrow 

They might. But one thing is clear, win or lose you’ll still be an asshole who never offers any insight or information of value to this forum. 

BB 

Why seattle mL? Versus bills mL?

NE on a fire sale at this point.

Giants probably lose

@Erik48

 Dark web,, Deep Dive stats.....  way to dig.

GL Erik48

@begginerboy

I love your logic on the games but that is where it ends

dont play the parlays. Go big on the plays you believe in but you know that parlays are for suckers

imagine if the giants win big as dogs but you end up losing

and…. Ask yourself what the best version of yourself would bet?

I know that after a perceived injustice I often tilt and that’s where more damage gets done

BOL

Giants +3 = 

Good luck begginerboy and thanks for the write-up.  

@Ppkay

 If I’m betting my last dime on a team, I prefer them coming off an ugly loss in a game they could and should have won. All three teams, Seattle, Niners, Giants fit that bill. 

Giants are "coming off a loss" every damn week

yes but you didn’t read the rest of the sentence. But to your point:

“The Giants have been out-scored 64-3 in their two home losses this season. They've lost four straight overall. They haven't scored an offensive TD in 215 minutes. They haven't scored an offensive TD in the first half all season. OK, now that you're fired up for some football...”

Giants taking care of business in the first half