Denver line been crazy

not often do you get a full point between books... line was basically 5.5 start of the week dropped to 4.5 at some books like caesars 5 at others and 5.5 at a bunch. ( I got +5 at Caesars before it moved to 4.5) and still early but Pats getting 75% of money and overall bets, and will be in all teasers(according to John Murray at Super book)... yet now line is basically 4.5 at all the books.

I know what to do...Do you???

Why are you betting this line at all if you like Denver. I doubt it's going to be 4.5 at game time it's gonna go back up

Normal line movement 

@NutinButtLove

 It should if they keep getting 75% of bets

@GottaWinItAll

 I don’t understand your obsession with this. If you like Denver you should already have your bet placed at +5.5 or +5 at worst. The time to bet Denver has passed in my opinion. I won’t be surprised to see the line settle at 3.5/4 by kickoff 

Old school bettors have a name for lines between 4.5 and 5.5.

"No man's land"

denver ml

@brn2loslive2win

 Well yes as I said I did get 5 before it went to 4.5.... how do u bet not knowing betting % and tracking line movements? Even if I bet early I follow all that. Its 1000x more important than trends or gut feelings

My only concern regarding line movement getting the best number for my bet. Beyond that, line movement and betting % means nothing to me.

@undermysac

 Old school bettors have a name for lines between 4.5 and 5.5.

"No man's land"

well said sac, I'm old school myself and know that outside of 3.5 means absolutely nothing after  leaving one key number and being in the middle of the two key numbers leaving those additional points in "No man's land" . 

@lordbettington

 Presisely 

@undermysac

 true, but we seen 2 and 4 be "key" numbers now not just 3,6 and 7. but the fact is its still going down... if 75% of people betting at 5.5 why give an extra point why not take the small extra edge and hold the number at 5.5 since its not stopping people from betting Pats. they already getting all the teaser money now you can tease Pats to +1.5 they going to get more. I can't see this number hitting 4 or 3.5 if it does and betting % hold ( Denver is starting to take more money ) I will start betting more Denver and maybe ML depending on how it moves.

@Jimmy_Cats

so how do you know your betting the best number if you don't care or follow betting % and line movement? 

 reading line movement will tell you what way the book is leaning... if you see a number say its -2.5 but juiced to say -117 its more likely its going to 3, so if you want the favorite bet now if you want dog wait. also checking lines at all the different books will also help. there are a lot of websites that you can get this info from now. I been betting NFL for 28 years I would have killed to have this kinda info 10+ years ago.

GL in your other bets though

You didn't understand a word I said.

Down to three and a half

NE was -4 earlier today at Heritage.

3.5 is probably closer to a "fair" line I still think -2 NE is the right line... Nix is probably worth 4-5 points not the 7-8. Happy with the +5 I have, now lets hope I still happy when the NFC title game kicks off.

Pats are 100% the "public side" and Den is 100% the "pro" side. 

@Jimmy_Cats

 its because it what you said made no sense. Good luck with your pats... hope you waited to bet them.

@Jimmy_Cats

 If youre on Denver you dont NEED the best number. Moneyline. Spread isnt coming into play

Who throws a -4.5 in a teaser…

@UnrankedChamp

 the books favorite players, kinda guys that never get limited