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DENVER @ JETS! BIG WRITE-UP: Sometimes ya just gotta swallow hard and pull the trigger on a team.

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Posts: 189

scalabrine

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Posted: Oct. 12, 2014 - 12:26 PM ET #51

Quote Originally Posted by URZ262:

One other thing to note. The Jets are tied for first in sacks this year and can stop the run. The downside is that Denver has only given up one sack the whole year but when you pressure Manning that's at least half the battle.

I parlayed Jets + under because that is clearly correlated. If the Jets cover it will go under for sure.

Thanks for the writeup.

Interesting.

ActionMagnet

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Posted: Oct. 12, 2014 - 12:30 PM ET #52

Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

Wrong!

I was not going to post at -7.

Then came a two point swing to 9 and I really started looking into it.

10 was the number I needed (I actually have 10.5 but posted 10 because most books have it at 10) so I posted everything I found. It's pretty compelling for a jets side.

Believe me, you can ask anyone here: I have made a lot more money fading the jets on this site than taking them.

So to post them here is a big move to the other side of my comfort zone.

Thanks for explaining. Good luck Scal! Great write up, you can prb make money doing write ups for Vegas.

I'm on Denver - 9.5

Hopefully we both hit and Denver wins 30-20

scalabrine

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Posted: Oct. 12, 2014 - 12:30 PM ET #53

Quote Originally Posted by Winteriscoming:

I got Denver - 7.0 @ opening I am more than happy with that. Jets stink, let's see what happens.

PS -There's a reason the line has shifted up 3 points or so, it's because the - 7.0 was a gift.

I know some guys here got -7 and that is fine but remember this, this might be the most teased game of the year (to .5 on Denver) and those teasers sometimes result in outright losses. I find it very bizarre the books would leave themselves open to all the teasers coming in, in addition to the huge side on Denver and the ML of course.

scalabrine

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Posted: Oct. 12, 2014 - 12:31 PM ET #54

Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:

Thanks for explaining. Good luck Scal! Great write up, you can prb make money doing write ups for Vegas.

I'm on Denver - 9.5

Hopefully we both hit and Denver wins 30-20

20-30 would be nice wouldn't it! Thanks!

eggshog

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Posted: Oct. 12, 2014 - 12:33 PM ET #55

Thinking Broncos win by 9. Gl!

Epitaph

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Posts: 240

Posted: Oct. 12, 2014 - 12:51 PM ET #56

Mostly subjective conjecture, but has numbers where it needs to lend credence to the notion. I remain on the other side of the spread, despite enjoying the commentary as it seems contingent that all systems go for NYJ. Could be the case, with prerequisite hope. BOL with your picks and great work, scalabrine

scalabrine

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Posted: Oct. 12, 2014 - 12:55 PM ET #57

Quote Originally Posted by Johnzimbo34:

Here's hoping the Broncos have their bags packed by halftime. GL Scal!

scalabrine

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Posted: Oct. 12, 2014 - 12:56 PM ET #58

Quote Originally Posted by Epitaph:

Mostly subjective conjecture, but has numbers where it needs to lend credence to the notion. I remain on the other side of the spread, despite enjoying the commentary as it seems contingent that all systems go for NYJ. Could be the case, with prerequisite hope. BOL with your picks and great work, scalabrine

Thanks!

Navi

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Posted: Oct. 12, 2014 - 12:57 PM ET #59

Jets spit Broncos swallow

scalabrine

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Posted: Oct. 12, 2014 - 12:57 PM ET #60

Quote Originally Posted by degengambler34:

Denvers a bit of a fraud ill agree with that, hard for me to back the jets but i think i have too today.

You'll almost never have an easy time backing the Jets. But they came out guns a blazin in GB and covered there. As far as the other games, not so much...

scalabrine

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Posted: Oct. 12, 2014 - 12:58 PM ET #61

Quote Originally Posted by Gusfgz:

Great write-up, but this time public money is on the same page of the sharps and the wise guys.

I know Vegas always win but sometime the public bets have the right to win sometimes.

Thanks!

THEMUGG

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Posted: Oct. 12, 2014 - 12:58 PM ET #62

Took Denver -8

Nice writeup but I just can't back the Jets.

scalabrine

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Posted: Oct. 12, 2014 - 12:58 PM ET #63

Quote Originally Posted by RyanHardy:

Thanks Scal how big of a play is this for you 3 units?

2 units or thereabouts but I have a bunch of Jets in teasers too. About a 3 star play.

scalabrine

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Posted: Oct. 12, 2014 - 12:59 PM ET #64

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

GL today Scal.

It takes a lot of guts to bet the Jets. I did it twice earlier in the season and just don't have the stomach for it yet.

And the one time you laid off at -5.5 in the supercontest with the Raiders over the Jets in week 1, you would have covered!

Macwestie1

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Posts: 171110

Posted: Oct. 12, 2014 - 1:00 PM ET #65

GL scalabrine nice write up

Jet +10 nervously on my radar

What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!

scalabrine

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Posted: Oct. 12, 2014 - 1:00 PM ET #66

Quote Originally Posted by fts1409:

With this being the most heavily bet game(nos of wagers) and with Den getting 87% of those this is a huge pub fav just as u alluded to. a very interesting contrarian pick. best of luck.

Appreciate it!