Hello!The Broncos defense is not that good. I am sure over the years with Tebow you will see the sublime to the ridiculous. I have a strong feeling we will see the ridiculous on Sunday. Broncos were in a great spot on Sunday. No pressure and a Steelers team banged up. They now after an emotional win have to go on the road to the rested number 1 seed. One win doesn't change a team people! The Pats may have a bad defense but Denver does not have enough offensive power to take advantage. The last two seasons the Pats are 27-5 and the Broncos are 12-20. People backing the Broncos are backing them for ALL the wrong reasons. Even if they get a backdoor cover Denver is NOT the correct play here..Please mark my words....Denver +13 is a wreckless bet..It's gambling when you don't have to. Tease the Pats down to -6.5 and add it to the Ravens -0.5..It's free money. Take it, don't over think and thank me later...
| Serious Trends to backup my Patriots play (these were posted by Marc Lawrence on covers) last trend supplied by Primetimeboys.. 1) Success breeds success Rested hosts in this round that enjoyed success last season use that experience to their advantage. Teams that won 11 or more games last year are 38-9 SU and 29-17-1 ATS at home with a week to prepare in Division Round contests On the flip side, teams that were losing teams last years (seven or fewer wins) are just 7-34 SU and 15-24-1 ATS in this round. Put one up against the other – an 11-plus win home team against a losing team last year – and these hosts respond with aplomb, going an eye-opening 16-0 SU and 12-3-1 ATS. (Pats were 14-2 last season and Denver 4-12) 2) Highway blues Life on the road for wild card teams who won at home has been rocky, especially if they grabbed the cash as well. These highwaymen are just 15-36 SU and 20-29-1 ATS in this role against well-rested higher-seeded foes. And if these same wild card winners take to the road off one win, they dip to a disgusting 0-15 SU and 1-13-1 ATS in these affairs. There you have it. A trio of time-tested theories to help guide you through the NFL Divisional Round games this week. Do the math, figure them out and play accordingly. 3) Play on any team that scored 500 or more points in the regular season when playing in their 1st playoff game the same season............9-4 ATS since 1961.......69% 4) adding another trend from Primetimeboys... Go against a team that
won its 1st playoff game ever or their 1st playoff game in over 3
years............7-15 ATS since 1989........... Play on: Patriots -13.5.. |
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