3-2 on the young season + 2,475.00. This game can definitely go either way more than not. Denver is probably the better team this year but when these teams play in Arrowhead , KC is 47-12 as a home fav in the Mahomes era. Denver is 6-2 ATS vs KC since 2022 , but KC is 3-1 SU @ home in same timeframe. A. Reid a HOF coach is 33-11 SU in September since becoming HC of the Chiefs . KC added SB winner K. Walker to their roster on the off season, which they haven’t had someone of his caliber in years. Mahomes coming off the acl surgery, up against this Broncos defense has to be worrisome for KC and the coaching staff, with left tackle out ( J. Simmons ). A rookie left tackle will take Simmons place, and he’s never in his life played that particular position. If you’re on Denver , I totally understand. This year so far , favs have gone 11-4 SU. Don’t forget Nix, also had ankle surgery on both ankles so will see how he starts out as well. S. Payton is 1-5 SU and ATS in the first two weeks of the season since he became the HC of the Broncos. KC lost T. McDuffie but Denver lost J.F. Myers so I call that a wash. Stat: Going against the public after a bad season for an playoff caliber team, the public only wins @ a 40% rate. KC is also 85-25 SU under A. Reid @ home. Health score is vastly different. Denver’s score is @ ( + 12.2 ) KC’s is @ ( - 16 ). Denver might win tonight and I wouldn’t be shocked, but I’m going with the pedigree of KC’s overall DNA over the last past decade and get this W with the Chiefs SU. 1,300/1,000
added play: 1st half U 21.5 675/500
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