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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Chiefs @ Packers MNF

    Underdog2121
    IgetMoney101
    bouncer07
    Tha_Underdogg
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    Underdog2121
    Underdog2121
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2015 - 11:06 AM ET #1

    Line has dropped all the way down to -5.5 and over seems awfully high for a KC chiefs game. What does this tell you?

    My gut is telling me GB but my mind is telling me Vegas lost a lot of money this weekend with a lot the public winning. Do they try to get it back here?

    I could see Jamaal Charles running all over the Pack like Forte did week 1. I know Seattle didn't run the ball too well against the Packers but they did not impress me yesterday against the Bears. Seahawks don't look too good early on in this season. I think if KC can run the ball, I think this is a close game until last 2 minutes where Rodgers will most likely drive down the field with a last second TD or FG to win the game.

    So my question is, what does this line tell us? I'm leaning towards the Chiefs and the under. Lets discuss!

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Line has dropped all the way down to -5.5 and over seems awfully high for a KC chiefs game. What does this tell you?

    My gut is telling me GB but my mind is telling me Vegas lost a lot of money this weekend with a lot the public winning. Do they try to get it back here?

    I could see Jamaal Charles running all over the Pack like Forte did week 1. I know Seattle didn't run the ball too well against the Packers but they did not impress me yesterday against the Bears. Seahawks don't look too good early on in this season. I think if KC can run the ball, I think this is a close game until last 2 minutes where Rodgers will most likely drive down the field with a last second TD or FG to win the game.

    So my question is, what does this line tell us? I'm leaning towards the Chiefs and the under. Lets discuss!

     
    IgetMoney101
    IgetMoney101
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2015 - 11:11 AM ET #2

    The spread doesn't matter 70-75% of the time. Do you think KC will win SU? If yes play the ML. GB at home in primetime vs Alex? Nah I'll take the best qb in the game in his prime giving less than a td any time.
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    The spread doesn't matter 70-75% of the time. Do you think KC will win SU? If yes play the ML. GB at home in primetime vs Alex? Nah I'll take the best qb in the game in his prime giving less than a td any time.
     
    bouncer07
    bouncer07
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2015 - 11:21 AM ET #3

    Underdog, don't think too much on what Vegas is thinking. Thinking like them will make you lose $$$. They did win 2 wks in a row on the underdogs. So far, Thurs NYG and Sunday night Denver (Favorites) has won big on publics. I expect this to be a Packers victory at Home. I've seen Packers lose to AFC rivals just so they will get a better chance to knock Denver out of the playoff race... this could well be a set up for the NFC to try to get the match even with Denver and have them battle it out in the AFC playoffs. Packers are already in a position to get home field advantage and I expect Packers to be #1 seed this year.

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    Packers/Under
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    Underdog, don't think too much on what Vegas is thinking. Thinking like them will make you lose $$$. They did win 2 wks in a row on the underdogs. So far, Thurs NYG and Sunday night Denver (Favorites) has won big on publics. I expect this to be a Packers victory at Home. I've seen Packers lose to AFC rivals just so they will get a better chance to knock Denver out of the playoff race... this could well be a set up for the NFC to try to get the match even with Denver and have them battle it out in the AFC playoffs. Packers are already in a position to get home field advantage and I expect Packers to be #1 seed this year.

    End results:

    Packers/Under
     
    IgetMoney101
    IgetMoney101
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2015 - 11:24 AM ET #4

    Vegas won last night with Denver covering. The small time bettors won on Denver but the larger bets and more overall $ was on Detroit    Detroit was in a must win and at home and Peyton was over the hill.
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    Vegas won last night with Denver covering. The small time bettors won on Denver but the larger bets and more overall $ was on Detroit    Detroit was in a must win and at home and Peyton was over the hill.
     
    Tha_Underdogg
    Tha_Underdogg
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2015 - 11:28 AM ET #5

    Not sure on the under because the Chiefs DO NOT go over often. So it's not a bad predition. I see a lot of running and clock management by the Chiefs tonight. Honestly, Chiefs may win s/u.  At best, Green Bay survives by a FG.
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    Not sure on the under because the Chiefs DO NOT go over often. So it's not a bad predition. I see a lot of running and clock management by the Chiefs tonight. Honestly, Chiefs may win s/u.  At best, Green Bay survives by a FG.
     
    Underdog2121
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2015 - 1:43 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by Tha_Underdogg:

    Not sure on the under because the Chiefs DO NOT go over often. So it's not a bad predition. I see a lot of running and clock management by the Chiefs tonight. Honestly, Chiefs may win s/u.  At best, Green Bay survives by a FG.

    Exactly my thoughts too. I think the Chiefs dline is going to put a lot of pressure on Rodgers to get him out of his comfort zone. I see a low scoring, tough fought game. Chiefs are one of the most underrated teams in the league.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Tha_Underdogg:

    Not sure on the under because the Chiefs DO NOT go over often. So it's not a bad predition. I see a lot of running and clock management by the Chiefs tonight. Honestly, Chiefs may win s/u.  At best, Green Bay survives by a FG.

    Exactly my thoughts too. I think the Chiefs dline is going to put a lot of pressure on Rodgers to get him out of his comfort zone. I see a low scoring, tough fought game. Chiefs are one of the most underrated teams in the league.

     
     
    Underdog2121
    Underdog2121
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2015 - 1:45 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by IgetMoney101:

    Vegas won last night with Denver covering. The small time bettors won on Denver but the larger bets and more overall $ was on Detroit    Detroit was in a must win and at home and Peyton was over the hill.

    I don't want to take too much in stock if vegas won or lost last night because I don't think there was a big of split as there is tonight. Everybody seems to be on GB but I see the line dropping more and more.

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    Quote Originally Posted by IgetMoney101:

    Vegas won last night with Denver covering. The small time bettors won on Denver but the larger bets and more overall $ was on Detroit    Detroit was in a must win and at home and Peyton was over the hill.

    I don't want to take too much in stock if vegas won or lost last night because I don't think there was a big of split as there is tonight. Everybody seems to be on GB but I see the line dropping more and more.

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