I'm going big on this, and I'm actually worried about the size of my bet.
In my eyes, this shapes up as an ideal bounce-back spot for the Bears after Green Bay needed a goal-line stand to secure a narrow win two weeks ago. The Packers' first game without Micah Parsons, who is now out for the season with an ACL tear, revealed an immediate decline in pass rush, giving Nix far too much control in the pocket.
In that earlier matchup, Chicago’s second-half approach was telling: they controlled tempo with the run game, while Loveland and Kmet consistently found space late, an impact that didn’t fully register in the box score. Those seam routes should be available again tonight for Caleb Williams. Johnson will need to dictate time of possession and move Williams outside the pocket to generate extended plays, particularly with Burden and Odunze sidelined.
Defensively, the Bears have been elite at creating chaos, leading the league with 30 forced turnovers (21 interceptions, 9 fumbles). When Love has faced late pressure, his play has dipped noticeably.
DJ Moore’s early involvement is critical. If he can stretch the defense and open the middle for the tight ends, the Bears should be well positioned to control this game and pull away.
Don't let me convince you with my write-up. This is maybe a nudge in a direction you were already leaning towards.
I'd like to also add that the Bears are playing at home, where they are 5-1 this year. Both coaches know the other teams well. (Don't forget that prior to this year, Ben Johnson was with the Lions in various capacities for 5 years (while being the OC for three). Give me Da...
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