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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    $8,000 10-Team Teaser Parlay, Hit 9/10 So Far, Should I Hedge?

    12 Next Last»
    mrmood6007
    jpot34
    RonBergundy
    tweets50
    KasperNV
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    mrmood6007
    mrmood6007
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 1:19 AM ET #1

    I rarely post, but the thread title says it all, should I hedge this bet, or let it ride on Washington tomorrow? I really liked all of the dogs this weekend, I just wanted some extra insurance with the teaser, and now it all comes down to the game tomorrow. I bet $508.59 to win $7,628.85. Let me know your thoughts below!

    Placed - Teaser To Win $ 7628.85

    • Cincinnati Bengals +17 (-313) Teased 7 points(453) Cincinnati Bengals @ (454) Miami Dolphins
    • Cleveland Browns +11 (-313) Teased 7 points(465) Cleveland Browns @ (466) Tennessee Titans
    • Houston Texans +10.5 (-313) Teased 7 points(455) Indianapolis Colts @ (456) Houston Texans
    • Jacksonville Jaguars +17 (-313) Teased 7 points(457) Jacksonville Jaguars @ (458) Minnesota Vikings
    • New York Jets +14.5 (-313) Teased 7 points(461) Las Vegas Raiders @ (462) New York Jets
    • Atlanta Falcons +10 (-313) Teased 7 points(463) New Orleans Saints @ (464) Atlanta Falcons
    • New York Giants +17.5 (-313) Teased 7 points(467) New York Giants @ (468) Seattle Seahawks
    • Philadelphia Eagles +15 (-313) Teased 7 points(471) Philadelphia Eagles @ (472) Green Bay Packers
    • Denver Broncos +20.5 (-313) Teased 7 points(475) Denver Broncos @ (476) Kansas City Chiefs
    • Washington Football Team +14 (-313) Teased 7 points(487) Washington Football Team @ (488) Pittsburgh Steelers

     

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    I rarely post, but the thread title says it all, should I hedge this bet, or let it ride on Washington tomorrow? I really liked all of the dogs this weekend, I just wanted some extra insurance with the teaser, and now it all comes down to the game tomorrow. I bet $508.59 to win $7,628.85. Let me know your thoughts below!

    Placed - Teaser To Win $ 7628.85

    • Cincinnati Bengals +17 (-313) Teased 7 points(453) Cincinnati Bengals @ (454) Miami Dolphins
    • Cleveland Browns +11 (-313) Teased 7 points(465) Cleveland Browns @ (466) Tennessee Titans
    • Houston Texans +10.5 (-313) Teased 7 points(455) Indianapolis Colts @ (456) Houston Texans
    • Jacksonville Jaguars +17 (-313) Teased 7 points(457) Jacksonville Jaguars @ (458) Minnesota Vikings
    • New York Jets +14.5 (-313) Teased 7 points(461) Las Vegas Raiders @ (462) New York Jets
    • Atlanta Falcons +10 (-313) Teased 7 points(463) New Orleans Saints @ (464) Atlanta Falcons
    • New York Giants +17.5 (-313) Teased 7 points(467) New York Giants @ (468) Seattle Seahawks
    • Philadelphia Eagles +15 (-313) Teased 7 points(471) Philadelphia Eagles @ (472) Green Bay Packers
    • Denver Broncos +20.5 (-313) Teased 7 points(475) Denver Broncos @ (476) Kansas City Chiefs
    • Washington Football Team +14 (-313) Teased 7 points(487) Washington Football Team @ (488) Pittsburgh Steelers

     

     
    jpot34
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 1:21 AM ET #2

    I would hedge. Greed usually doesn't work out!

    6K GOLD/$150 SILVER/ Find JESUS!
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    I would hedge. Greed usually doesn't work out!

     
    RonBergundy
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 1:22 AM ET #3

    +14 against Steelers... I think they cover but might as well bet Steelers $500. Worst case get your money back.

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    +14 against Steelers... I think they cover but might as well bet Steelers $500. Worst case get your money back.

     
    tweets50
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 1:30 AM ET #4

    Dude. Let it Ride. I hit a 6 team teaser last week. I don't have enlarged balls for the 10 teamers..lol

    I hope it hits for you! BOLpeace_5

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    Dude. Let it Ride. I hit a 6 team teaser last week. I don't have enlarged balls for the 10 teamers..lol

    I hope it hits for you! BOLpeace_5

     
    KasperNV
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 1:33 AM ET #5

    I always hedge, better to have something then an anxiety attack if it doesn't hit.

    Second mouse gets the cheese.
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    I always hedge, better to have something then an anxiety attack if it doesn't hit.

     
    skillahmang
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 1:35 AM ET #6

    Yeah man are u kidding me

     

    is winning 7100 dollars instead of winninh 7600 that much of a difference

     

    i would look for alternate line -13.5 pit and see how much u can make on 500

     

    GL

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    Yeah man are u kidding me

     

    is winning 7100 dollars instead of winninh 7600 that much of a difference

     

    i would look for alternate line -13.5 pit and see how much u can make on 500

     

    GL

     
    begginerboy
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 1:36 AM ET #7

    At least get your 500 back. But I like Washington. I have them teased to +16.5. You might get some hedging opportunities in game as well.

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    At least get your 500 back. But I like Washington. I have them teased to +16.5. You might get some hedging opportunities in game as well.

     
    DogbiteWilliams
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 4:00 AM ET #8

    You are an amazing contraption.  I have a hard time hitting two-team teasers.

    I would certainly hedge.  You don't want to end up with nothing.

    Congratulations; the dogs were certainly biting today.

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    You are an amazing contraption.  I have a hard time hitting two-team teasers.

    I would certainly hedge.  You don't want to end up with nothing.

    Congratulations; the dogs were certainly biting today.

     
    BoomDynamite
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 4:18 AM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by Iwinulosehaha:

    On my book Steelers -14 is +230, you could hedge small but I'd advise against it. If you hedge 2,000 at +230 and subtracting both investments you'll make $4091.41 if steelers get there. And of course if Washington pulls it off you still make a clean $5,120.26. I think it's well worth the insurance personally.Iwinulosehaha

    ^^^He actually nailed it. Well done. But yes, you definitely hedge.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Iwinulosehaha:

    On my book Steelers -14 is +230, you could hedge small but I'd advise against it. If you hedge 2,000 at +230 and subtracting both investments you'll make $4091.41 if steelers get there. And of course if Washington pulls it off you still make a clean $5,120.26. I think it's well worth the insurance personally.Iwinulosehaha

    ^^^He actually nailed it. Well done. But yes, you definitely hedge.

     
    BuckFalls
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 7:11 AM ET #10

    I would put down around 3,800 on Pitt -6.5,and if they win by 7-13 points you hit them both.Worse case scenario is you win around 3,800,thats worse case.Best case scenario both hit and your up around 11,400,good luck whatever you choose,good job guy.

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    I would put down around 3,800 on Pitt -6.5,and if they win by 7-13 points you hit them both.Worse case scenario is you win around 3,800,thats worse case.Best case scenario both hit and your up around 11,400,good luck whatever you choose,good job guy.

     
    Wildbetsmn
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 8:28 AM ET #11

    I would hedge on this because I only do it pay outs over 5k.  I would take steelers spread for whatever you want to guarantee.  For me I'd probably do around 3,000 and hope for a middle

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    I would hedge on this because I only do it pay outs over 5k.  I would take steelers spread for whatever you want to guarantee.  For me I'd probably do around 3,000 and hope for a middle

     
    arrgy
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 8:40 AM ET #12

    Who let you bet a 10 team Teaser parlay?

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    Who let you bet a 10 team Teaser parlay?

     
    thorpe
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 8:52 AM ET #13

    Do ties win, lose, or reduce?

    If this is life changing money for you, then hedge

    Do you have access to in game bets? If the Skins score first, then you will get a really nice number to hedge with. If Pitt scores first, the lines won't change near as much because they are expected to score first...

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    Do ties win, lose, or reduce?

    If this is life changing money for you, then hedge

    Do you have access to in game bets? If the Skins score first, then you will get a really nice number to hedge with. If Pitt scores first, the lines won't change near as much because they are expected to score first...

     
    ryboy2222
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 8:53 AM ET #14

    Here is what I would do.  Draftkings has winning margin odds. I would use 1000$ as hedge money.  Steelers to win by winning margin 13-18 is +460.  I would pout 600 on that to win 2700$.  Then 19-24 is +750 and I would put $300 on that to pay out $2250.  25-30 is plus 1500, so you could throw 100 on that for 1500$.

     

    This way you would be covered to win something all the way to a 30 point loss.  I think Washington easily hangs within 14, but I would at least guarantee myself 2-3k this way just in case.

    Buy $AMD and $PLTR
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    Here is what I would do.  Draftkings has winning margin odds. I would use 1000$ as hedge money.  Steelers to win by winning margin 13-18 is +460.  I would pout 600 on that to win 2700$.  Then 19-24 is +750 and I would put $300 on that to pay out $2250.  25-30 is plus 1500, so you could throw 100 on that for 1500$.

     

    This way you would be covered to win something all the way to a 30 point loss.  I think Washington easily hangs within 14, but I would at least guarantee myself 2-3k this way just in case.

     
    ryboy2222
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 8:55 AM ET #15

    @ryboy2222

     Well shoot, I'm in Indiana and I know know only a few states has draftkings available.  So maybe the book you use offers winning margins as well.

    Buy $AMD and $PLTR
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    @ryboy2222

     Well shoot, I'm in Indiana and I know know only a few states has draftkings available.  So maybe the book you use offers winning margins as well.

     
    UglyKidJoe
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 8:55 AM ET #16

    Good luck whatever you do.

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    Good luck whatever you do.

     
    PerfectStorm
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 9:09 AM ET #17

    Just bet the money line on Pitt to win $500 . So if Pitt win the game . You win both bet. 
    bigsmile GL

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    Just bet the money line on Pitt to win $500 . So if Pitt win the game . You win both bet. 
    bigsmile GL

     
    PerfectStorm
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 9:10 AM ET #18

    @arrgy

     You can do a 15 teams teaser

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    @arrgy

     You can do a 15 teams teaser

     
    BuckFalls
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 9:15 AM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by PerfectStorm:

    Just bet the money line on Pitt to win $500 . So if Pitt win the game . You win both bet.  GL
    If Pitt won by 15 or more he wouldnt win both.He would win 500 on pitt and overall break even with his original 500 bet.

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    Quote Originally Posted by PerfectStorm:

    Just bet the money line on Pitt to win $500 . So if Pitt win the game . You win both bet.  GL
    If Pitt won by 15 or more he wouldnt win both.He would win 500 on pitt and overall break even with his original 500 bet.

     
    BigDD
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 9:30 AM ET #20

    I would totally hedge in this case. 7k is a lot of money and I would be pissed if i can’t even guarantee some portion of that winning. I was in similar situation yesterday, took a 5 team parlay 50 to win almost 1k. The last game was packer- 8 and by 3:10pm i was able to hedge Eagle +8 for a small sum. Ended up working out but i was always guaranteed some profit, which is going to Christmas shopping for the family. Good luck.

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    I would totally hedge in this case. 7k is a lot of money and I would be pissed if i can’t even guarantee some portion of that winning. I was in similar situation yesterday, took a 5 team parlay 50 to win almost 1k. The last game was packer- 8 and by 3:10pm i was able to hedge Eagle +8 for a small sum. Ended up working out but i was always guaranteed some profit, which is going to Christmas shopping for the family. Good luck.

     
    CALB
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 11:04 AM ET #21

    Bet to win $500 ML on Pitt. That way you have a lot of chance to win both.

    CALCALB
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    Bet to win $500 ML on Pitt. That way you have a lot of chance to win both.

     
    7272
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 11:06 AM ET #22

    @BuckFalls

     100 pct. This is your move. You are in an enviable situation.Good luck

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    @BuckFalls

     100 pct. This is your move. You are in an enviable situation.Good luck

     
    WinBig555
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 11:12 AM ET #23

    Hedge. The Skins probably cover but what happens if the Steelers blow them out. It’s a real possibility. Not worth riskng trying to pocket an extra $500

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    Hedge. The Skins probably cover but what happens if the Steelers blow them out. It’s a real possibility. Not worth riskng trying to pocket an extra $500

     
    letmepicks
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 11:17 AM ET #24

    If I was you!

    my insurance is:

    Take Pitts -6.5 for 40 units
    for sure you take home half of money!

    BOL 

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    If I was you!

    my insurance is:

    Take Pitts -6.5 for 40 units
    for sure you take home half of money!

    BOL 

     
     
    BuckFalls
    BuckFalls
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2016
    Posts: 827
    Posted: Dec. 7, 2020 - 12:32 PM ET #25

    The way I look at it is you basically can have 4 possibility's(now these numbers maybe off a little due to juice or if you push on the Washington +14,not exactly sure what would happen in that scenario,imagine it would just knock it down to a 9 team parlay)but for the most part the numbers are pretty accurate,accurate enough were you can see the jist of what I'm trying to explain

    1.Stay put,dont hedge and hope Washington dont lose by more then 14,if that works out for you then your up 7,800.Case 1 +7,800

    2.You stay put,dont hedge and Washington loses by more then 14,your down your original 500 bet,Case 2 -500

    3.Do like I said in post 10,hedge around 3,800,if both bets hit your up 11,400.Case 3 +11,400

    4.Do like I said in post 10,hedge around 3,800,if only 1 of the bets hit,depending on which bet wins,your either up around 3,600 or 3,300.Case 4 +3,300 or 3,600

    Now if it was me the only scenario I would really not want to see is example #2,losing the teaser bet and being down the original 500 bet,everyone of the other 3 I could live with.So if we could totally eliminate the chance of case 2 happening,why not do it.But if we hedge we also eliminate the chance of case #1 happening.So that only leaves the 2 other options,middling them and winning them both,which would be +11,400 or hitting one of the bets and being either +3,300 or +3,600,either 1 I would be happy to win.So go to the store get your favorite beer or other beverage,hit the dispensary if you like to partake in that,kick back enjoy the game and hope Pitt wins by between 7 and 13 points,if they dont your still guarenteed 3,300 or 3,600,I dont see how that could turn out to be a bad night.

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    The way I look at it is you basically can have 4 possibility's(now these numbers maybe off a little due to juice or if you push on the Washington +14,not exactly sure what would happen in that scenario,imagine it would just knock it down to a 9 team parlay)but for the most part the numbers are pretty accurate,accurate enough were you can see the jist of what I'm trying to explain

    1.Stay put,dont hedge and hope Washington dont lose by more then 14,if that works out for you then your up 7,800.Case 1 +7,800

    2.You stay put,dont hedge and Washington loses by more then 14,your down your original 500 bet,Case 2 -500

    3.Do like I said in post 10,hedge around 3,800,if both bets hit your up 11,400.Case 3 +11,400

    4.Do like I said in post 10,hedge around 3,800,if only 1 of the bets hit,depending on which bet wins,your either up around 3,600 or 3,300.Case 4 +3,300 or 3,600

    Now if it was me the only scenario I would really not want to see is example #2,losing the teaser bet and being down the original 500 bet,everyone of the other 3 I could live with.So if we could totally eliminate the chance of case 2 happening,why not do it.But if we hedge we also eliminate the chance of case #1 happening.So that only leaves the 2 other options,middling them and winning them both,which would be +11,400 or hitting one of the bets and being either +3,300 or +3,600,either 1 I would be happy to win.So go to the store get your favorite beer or other beverage,hit the dispensary if you like to partake in that,kick back enjoy the game and hope Pitt wins by between 7 and 13 points,if they dont your still guarenteed 3,300 or 3,600,I dont see how that could turn out to be a bad night.

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