Posted:
#101
line down to 6.5 now..no worries tho right Scal? Means nothing?
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Vegas, I am your pimp and you are my prostitute. All you do is pay me! KNICKS @ HEAT WRITE-UP!
Posted:
#102
Quote Originally Posted by Messy:
Went 9/10 on a parlay on Friday night. The only pick I lost was the Cavs who got smoked by 19.
Heat should win, but you lost some cred on Friday.
BOL 
One loss doesn't 'lose someone cred' because it was in a 10 game parlay (outrageous betting). So outrageous I've never done it in my life.
Had you put the Knicks over the nets in a 10 gamer the day before, you would be giving me the ultimate cred.
It's one day to the next. Just win more than you lose to cover the vig and make a nice profit.
Winning consistently over a season is extremely hard. And doing it each game with argumentation and research?
Try finding it anywhere on the web. I'll put my OP's up agaisnt anyone.
They all won't win but in the end, Vegas will be on the wrong end paying my bills.
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Posted:
#103
Quote Originally Posted by Champ_Iz_Here:
line down to 6.5 now..no worries tho right Scal? Means nothing?
line down to 6.5 now..no worries tho right Scal? Means nothing?
You think it means something?
Go ahead and take the Knicks with .5 point less and tap yourself on the back for getting a worse line than the 7.
And yes, some guys here think they are in BETTER shape for getting a line that's WORSE!
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Posted:
#105
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
You think it means something?
Go ahead and take the Knicks with .5 point less and tap yourself on the back for getting a worse line than the 7.
And yes, some guys here think they are in BETTER shape for getting a line that's WORSE!
COULD mean lots of things, LBJ out? someone else major out? Wade was most certainly already factored in to the original line so its not him..
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Posted:
#106
Quote Originally Posted by Prime Society:
Knicks season on the line today IMO. They are basically 2 back from the 8th seed since the Hawks will finish with a better conference record for tie breaker. I have the Hawks going 4-3 their last 7 and the Knicks have 5 games left @Miami, @Toronto, Chicago, Nets and Toronto. They lose 1 or 2 it's probably over. I am really surprised you're going against your team in this spot. I've followed the Heat all year and bet against them because no matter the number, the public will always slam them based off of name alone. Expect Melo to be put up at least 25 shots today (not sure if that's a good or bad thing). I expect a close game today but have been following your write-ups all year so will stay away. GL bro
Knicks season on the line today IMO. They are basically 2 back from the 8th seed since the Hawks will finish with a better conference record for tie breaker. I have the Hawks going 4-3 their last 7 and the Knicks have 5 games left @Miami, @Toronto, Chicago, Nets and Toronto. They lose 1 or 2 it's probably over. I am really surprised you're going against your team in this spot. I've followed the Heat all year and bet against them because no matter the number, the public will always slam them based off of name alone. Expect Melo to be put up at least 25 shots today (not sure if that's a good or bad thing). I expect a close game today but have been following your write-ups all year so will stay away. GL bro
So what if their season is on the line? (It's not, it'll just get much tougher)
Don't be surprised. I can fade my team when the time is right.
It's been on the line all year.
The Cavs season was on the line and they spit the bit in the worst way possible.
The Knicks season was spiraling out of control in the Lebron batman mask game and they got smacked despite preaching like Joel Osteen before the game that they HAD to come to play.
In the OP I stated why Melo and 25 shots is a bad thing.
I don't see him having it today. A game and a half after an injury he failed to disclose until the wiz game was over showed me that.
Not only that, but depending on Melo to drop 35 is a BAD thing in general.
ISO MELO basketball is LOSING basketball. It can win here and there but is not a solid template for winning.
All this, and they play at 1pm. THAT is a real kicker here that pulls the trigger for me.
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Posted:
#107
Quote Originally Posted by Champ_Iz_Here:
COULD mean lots of things, LBJ out? someone else major out? Wade was most certainly already factored in to the original line so its not him..
Lebron being out moves a line more than anyone in the NBA and it's not just a 1/2 point move.
There isn't anyone else major except bosh and he's a go (and he'd move a line more than .5 too when coupled with wade out).
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Posted:
#109
Quote Originally Posted by Prime Society:
Knicks season on the line today IMO. They are basically 2 back from the 8th seed since the Hawks will finish with a better conference record for tie breaker. I have the Hawks going 4-3 their last 7 and the Knicks have 5 games left @Miami, @Toronto, Chicago, Nets and Toronto. They lose 1 or 2 it's probably over. I am really surprised you're going against your team in this spot. I've followed the Heat all year and bet against them because no matter the number, the public will always slam them based off of name alone. Expect Melo to be put up at least 25 shots today (not sure if that's a good or bad thing). I expect a close game today but have been following your write-ups all year so will stay away. GL bro
Knicks season on the line today IMO. They are basically 2 back from the 8th seed since the Hawks will finish with a better conference record for tie breaker. I have the Hawks going 4-3 their last 7 and the Knicks have 5 games left @Miami, @Toronto, Chicago, Nets and Toronto. They lose 1 or 2 it's probably over. I am really surprised you're going against your team in this spot. I've followed the Heat all year and bet against them because no matter the number, the public will always slam them based off of name alone. Expect Melo to be put up at least 25 shots today (not sure if that's a good or bad thing). I expect a close game today but have been following your write-ups all year so will stay away. GL bro
As far as the heat being faded and making you money it works against you somewhere else.
I just want to not that the spurs are also a major public team and go look at their ATS during the 20 game winning streak. It is almost impossible to see the books give that much money out to what are likely bettors just tailing the spurs blind no matter what the number...
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Posted:
#110
first of all it dropped a full point because it was up to 7.5 at most books...from my extensive line research this sometimes means they have some sort of inside info that the public isn't aware of, which is usually followed by a bigger line move. Of course, it could be nothing as well...we'll see
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Posted:
#111
Quote Originally Posted by Champ_Iz_Here:
first of all it dropped a full point because it was up to 7.5 at most books...from my extensive line research this sometimes means they have some sort of inside info that the public isn't aware of, which is usually followed by a bigger line move. Of course, it could be nothing as well...we'll see
first of all it dropped a full point because it was up to 7.5 at most books...from my extensive line research this sometimes means they have some sort of inside info that the public isn't aware of, which is usually followed by a bigger line move. Of course, it could be nothing as well...we'll see
It means more bets are coming in on the Knicks, not inside info.
It is completely irrelevant to anything in this post.
Let the line twist and turn and shimmy and shake like Chubby Checker.
As long as the game ends with a Heat win > 7, it's a winner.
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Posted:
#121
I got heat -7 ..
Two teamer heat -7 and clippers -16..
Clippers will never lose to lakers again for a long time .. Lake show stunned them first game of the year ( in which I bank 375) and then clips blowout bad.. They will continue cuz lakes have absolutely no answer for cp3 Blake or Jordan ... Clips will win by at least 22 this is a free play if I had a extra thousand to bet I would absolutely no brainer....
Gd luck scal I need the heat but betting 55 on clips if Knicks cover
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Posted:
#122
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
One loss doesn't 'lose someone cred' because it was in a 10 game parlay (outrageous betting). So outrageous I've never done it in my life.
Had you put the Knicks over the nets in a 10 gamer the day before, you would be giving me the ultimate cred.
It's one day to the next. Just win more than you lose to cover the vig and make a nice profit.
Winning consistently over a season is extremely hard. And doing it each game with argumentation and research?
Try finding it anywhere on the web. I'll put my OP's up agaisnt anyone.
They all won't win but in the end, Vegas will be on the wrong end paying my bills.
I do a bunch of bets a night (and do quite well, thank you) and the last one is a crazy parlay. I've hit 10 and 12 game parlays multiple times for massive payouts. Anyways, a simple "I was way off on the Cleveland game would be fine." I have tailed you before and won, so thanks.
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Posted:
#124
Quote Originally Posted by Messy:
I do a bunch of bets a night (and do quite well, thank you) and the last one is a crazy parlay. I've hit 10 and 12 game parlays multiple times for massive payouts. Anyways, a simple "I was way off on the Cleveland game would be fine." I have tailed you before and won, so thanks.
I was way off on the Cleveland game.
I've said that many times. No real excuse for losing by that much.
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