Posted:
#76
@johnny
@francis
@exclusive- GL with your bet.
@Fullofstool - Don't worry about that! That has nothing to do with the way that ball with fall through the hoop.
0
There is only one New York team standing and it's playoff time. Time to Write them Up. Nets@Raptors!
Posted:
#77
Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:
dammit scalabrine,i liked the nets here.....not sure now,may have to lay off......you make good,valid points as always but in a game you yourself admittedly conceded to likely be tight doesnt it make sense to go with the better,more talented team getting points??...your points are all well taken but none of them i believe cant be over-come by the veteran,savvy core of this nets squad.they been here and done it all 10000 times as individuals and obviously wont be phased..momentum is a non-issue as far as i can see as it was done intentionally(however much you wanna debate it) on the nets part so shudnt worry them getting back into stride wen it matters......i dont think theres much doubt that in front of a raucous home crowd toronto will take a lead of sum substance at some point in time....but when the run comes against them from the composed and calm visitors and the game becomes tight again how will the young raptors respond???....multiple clutch guys in pierce,johnson and williams(sumtimes,in his old jazz days at least anyway) wud have me worried in a 1 possession game with 2 minutes left.
dammit scalabrine,i liked the nets here.....not sure now,may have to lay off......you make good,valid points as always but in a game you yourself admittedly conceded to likely be tight doesnt it make sense to go with the better,more talented team getting points??...your points are all well taken but none of them i believe cant be over-come by the veteran,savvy core of this nets squad.they been here and done it all 10000 times as individuals and obviously wont be phased..momentum is a non-issue as far as i can see as it was done intentionally(however much you wanna debate it) on the nets part so shudnt worry them getting back into stride wen it matters......i dont think theres much doubt that in front of a raucous home crowd toronto will take a lead of sum substance at some point in time....but when the run comes against them from the composed and calm visitors and the game becomes tight again how will the young raptors respond???....multiple clutch guys in pierce,johnson and williams(sumtimes,in his old jazz days at least anyway) wud have me worried in a 1 possession game with 2 minutes left.
and theres no comparison watsoever between this team and the one that wilted like an ice-cream in the sun to a far tougher bulls team in game 7 last year...in terms of personnel it is night and day and to draw a line thru the 2 in terms of this nets team choking and folding is way off base i feel.......maybe this particular team does crack,who knows??but we definitely have no supporting evidence to suggest so as of now.
ive bet every single one of your plays that ive seen posted except one and im kinda torn on this...i acknowledge fully that you are 1000% better at this than i,but my gut says nets plus points or nothing...thinking on it some more,shall decide later on.
regardless,as always,much,much appreciation for you taking the time to share with us buddy
......and i am rooting for you hard of course so long as i havent bet yet
......and i am rooting for you hard of course so long as i havent bet yet Don't worry about the vets. KG hasn't played 21 of his past 25 games and when he does, I want Plumlee on the court.
And go look at PP in his last 10 games leading into this one. Nothing to be afraid of there. No dominant performances in any way.
Yes, I know the Nets did not give all of their effort all of those game (the last one completely thrown), but when you have aged veterans on the court, I'd be hard pressed to just see them turn it on all the way against a young hungry team like the Raps in Toronto who will keep the pressure on them, all given the Nets haven't played a meaningful game since the Heat game, which seems like eons ago.
And it will be close, yes, but I got it at 2 which is a ML so the points don't matter much if at all there. +3 for the post is my ceiling.
0
Posted:
#81
Quote Originally Posted by Asomugha:
Scal, you ARE the man. I dont back your picks or anything, but i always read your writeups and they are really interesting and you have good points, so people can either; back you or let it be, i personally just use them as a great insight read and that may transform into a pick later based on what youve said. But you are one that have really matured which you proved last week with your post about Apache. It appears to me that 5-6 years ago you were the "LOCK" - "THROW YOUR HOUSE" kinda guy, but now youre more down to earth and reasonable with your picks. I like that.
Scal, you ARE the man. I dont back your picks or anything, but i always read your writeups and they are really interesting and you have good points, so people can either; back you or let it be, i personally just use them as a great insight read and that may transform into a pick later based on what youve said. But you are one that have really matured which you proved last week with your post about Apache. It appears to me that 5-6 years ago you were the "LOCK" - "THROW YOUR HOUSE" kinda guy, but now youre more down to earth and reasonable with your picks. I like that.
Hey, any way you can use the write-up use it! That is a good way to use it as you said. Let it simmer and then come up with your own side.
Yeah, about 7-8 years ago, I was a bit of a different capper to say the least.
. 7-8 years is a LONG time though for things to change for the better!
. 7-8 years is a LONG time though for things to change for the better!0
Posted:
#82
Quote Originally Posted by MoneyShot:
GL scal. Good writeup.. Momentum is highly overated though, a study was done and momentum had very little correlation in terms of winning in playoffs.
GL scal. Good writeup.. Momentum is highly overated though, a study was done and momentum had very little correlation in terms of winning in playoffs.
Thanks.
Boy, in what sport was that? Just the NBA?
Tell that to the Giants who won not one, but TWO Super Bowls on momentum heading into the playoffs (with unremarkable regular seasons!).
0
Posted:
#83
Quote Originally Posted by WizrduvOdz:
I'm on the Nets for the series. But Game 1? Definitely think Raptors. Excellent write up. I, for one, really appreciate the time you put into this. It makes my decision that much stronger. As for the poster that spoke about 3.5, I always ask my local for a line for the favorites. He doesn't know which team I'm playing because I consistently as for the favorites line
I'm on the Nets for the series. But Game 1? Definitely think Raptors. Excellent write up. I, for one, really appreciate the time you put into this. It makes my decision that much stronger. As for the poster that spoke about 3.5, I always ask my local for a line for the favorites. He doesn't know which team I'm playing because I consistently as for the favorites line
That is the way you do it! Ask them first before you reveal your side!
0
Posted:
#84
Quote Originally Posted by Moneybags9:
Scal I respect you as an NBA capper to the fullest. However I truly believe the nets didn't want those last few games of the season. They match up better with the Raps over the bulls. Kid is smart. Think they give the Raps all they want today.
Scal I respect you as an NBA capper to the fullest. However I truly believe the nets didn't want those last few games of the season. They match up better with the Raps over the bulls. Kid is smart. Think they give the Raps all they want today.
They wanted that Orlando game.
Go look at the 6-5 minute mark in the fourth and look at the substitutions.
That makes the next game, which some here say was thrown, extremely suspect. Cavs game? Obviously throw and to the Nets detriment to. Too public a laydown at the wrong time.
0
Posted:
#85
Quote Originally Posted by CanadaCup:
The Nets can point to their experience as an advantage but that is all in the past, the distant past too. Deron Williams is a threat at point and Lowry will have to avoid foul issues but he can work Williams on the offensive end and expose his weak D. If Lowry outplays Deron, I feel Toronto will win the series.Time to show the NBA that the Raps are not the Raps of 3 or 4 years ago. They are a team in every sense of the word. They are in a perfect position to show the Nets that wanting to play them in the first round was a big mistake. 
Good luck Scal, heading to the Raptors game. It's going to be electric at the ACC this afternoon.
What a great game to go to as a Raptors fan.
High priced ticket too!
0
Posted:
#90
Also i read an article a few days back stating that the books will loose a hell of alot of money if brookly wins the east. ppl were picking them to win the conference when the nets sucked in oct-dec @ +2100. I figured that when the line opened as the nets to win this series, the books are trying to hedge their money back by making nets favoured to win the series and backing the raptors. why else would they make this game as pick em, the -3 is for home court advantage. Backing you on this pick and I have invested heavely on the game and series prop @ 2.65 @bet365.
very good odds and worth the investment.
very good odds and worth the investment.
0
Posted:
#94
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
@docterd
@docterd
@old - Live betting is the devil's work . Book revenues have only gone up, WAY UP, since its inception. Remember that!
. Book revenues have only gone up, WAY UP, since its inception. Remember that!@Lonk - as am I!
I disagree
Live betting is the best thing..that's how you get the best odds and avoid duds after watching the first few minutes of the game. For instance i got this just a few hours ago, placed the bet as i was watching the game, after Sorana Cirstea was down 1 set.
https://i526.photobucket.com/albums/cc341/mucificatorul/bbbet_zpsd223857b.png
Not impressed ? Look at this one :
https://i526.photobucket.com/albums/cc341/mucificatorul/bbbet2_zps24f890fe.png
And there's plenty more where that came from. I can show you live bets in the 4th quarter on the Houston comeback a few days ago against the Pelicans just before they made like a 13-0 run, bets on Roger Federer's win yesterday after he was down 1 set, bets on Dustin Brown's shock win against John Isner in Houston, bets on Minnesota to win that double OT against Miami (made 6 times the money with that bet), bets on Ryan Harrison and Jack sock to win against Butoran/Klaasen in Miami after being down 1 set (8 times the money on that), bets on Barcelona to win against Real Madrid when they were down 2-1 and came back to win 3-2 (got 10 times the money on that).
Especially when it comes down to basketball.. 90% of the time the score will fluctuate plenty so you're gonna get a better line if you bet live.. or you'll change your mind and not lose money.
0
Posted:
#99
To all the above and thanks!
Live betting -
You can hedge out of a bet but you don't get the perfect line. Lives lines never land on a perfect hedge. And this can expose you to even more losses.
If the halftime line doesn't do it for me. I take my lumps and move onto the nightcap. I can definitively say, after live betting for many years, I am down more than I am up. Not so in the NBA for sides alone.
1st half line -
If you like it, play it! I'm strictly a side guy.
I didn't want Pitbull starting my NBA playoffs. I just find the guy distasteful.
Wow. 20,000 Raptors fans inside and TEN THOUSAND outside! I've never seen such a large crowd outside for a playoff game like that before! Won't effect the game but man, did the fans come out in FULL FORCE as expected (you'd NEVER see something like that with the Knicks or Nets when they were in Jersey. NEVER! Playoffs or otherwise.)
0
Hot Forum Topics
