This is from an article I read before:
When betting on sports, it's important for the gambler to remember that
the primary goal is to show a long-term profit, and not worry so much
about short-term profits. Over the course of a season, every sports
bettor will have winning streaks and losing streaks and periods where
things seemingly can't go wrong and spells where they can't catch a break.
One error many sports bettors make, even those who have been gambling on
sporting events for a length of time, is to worry too much about
short-term profits, or losses, and lose focus of the long-term goal. As
the old sports betting adage goes, "It's a marathon, not a sprint."
One of the more common methods of focusing too much on short-term
goals comes in the number of games a bettor makes wagers on. There are
some bettors who will refuse to bet an even number of games in a day,
believing it's more difficult to show a profit when they have to go 2-0
or 3-1 than it is if they have to go 2-1 or 3-2.
If the only goal of a sports bettor is to show a profit daily,
there would be some merit in that type of thinking, but successful
sports gamblers adhere to long-term goals and let the day-to-day wins
and losses take care of themselves.
If you are a successful sports handicapper and your handicapping tells
you there are two good bets for the day, why would you add another play
that you don't like as much just to give you a total of three plays?
Sure, there will be days that the extra game will give you a profit, as
opposed to a slight loss, but there also will be days that the extra
game gives you an even bigger loss, as opposed to the slight loss a
bettor would have by going 1-1.
To truly adhere to the strategy of betting on an odd number of games on a
daily basis, a bettor should be wagering on 19 games per day, as
mathematically, it is easier to go 10-9, which will give a profit, than
it is to go 2-1. While that sounds ridiculous, it really isn't all that
different than betting on an additional game, or subtracting a game your
handicapping says is a good bet, for the sheer reason of wagering on an
odd number of games.
There are many more, bottom line is, when I see an edge I take it, an the NBA I always have an edge. Now you guys think it's a joke, at the end of the season I will be laughing, like always.
Got to give it to you....
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