I can’t pass up the opportunity to back the kings tonight. Just trying to figure out my exact wagers. Turner is out for Indiana. Haliburton and Jalen Smith both GTD. My guess is Haliburton plays 20 minutes or so because he’s worried about his $40 million bonus. Could impact the line a bit when he’s announced in/out. Even if I expect him to play, I may end up betting before we get that news since I’m very comfortable with the line where it is and the biggest swing would probably occur if he’s announced out.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD: 61-65 +17.50u
Player Props: 32-37 +11.96u
I can’t pass up the opportunity to back the kings tonight. Just trying to figure out my exact wagers. Turner is out for Indiana. Haliburton and Jalen Smith both GTD. My guess is Haliburton plays 20 minutes or so because he’s worried about his $40 million bonus. Could impact the line a bit when he’s announced in/out. Even if I expect him to play, I may end up betting before we get that news since I’m very comfortable with the line where it is and the biggest swing would probably occur if he’s announced out.
- early than normal start favours road team. - 76ers off a long road trip and an emotional win - 76ers 0-2 this season after a game where Maxey had 40 plus. ^ Too many other guys hurt for them to be successful without Maxey going off. - Nets 0-9 against Philly since Harden trade. ^ Includes 4-0 sweep in playoffs.
Believe it or not, we now live in a world where Ben Simmons is a big difference maker for his team. He’s not fully healthy but he’s going to play and there’s no team he should be more motivated to playa again than Philly. Not only him, but the whole team should get up for this game and they seem to have recaptured a bit of their swagger. Cam Thomas is back in bucket mode.
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Brooklyn Nets +2.5 (-110)1.5u
The bread crumbs are out there but basically…
- early than normal start favours road team. - 76ers off a long road trip and an emotional win - 76ers 0-2 this season after a game where Maxey had 40 plus. ^ Too many other guys hurt for them to be successful without Maxey going off. - Nets 0-9 against Philly since Harden trade. ^ Includes 4-0 sweep in playoffs.
Believe it or not, we now live in a world where Ben Simmons is a big difference maker for his team. He’s not fully healthy but he’s going to play and there’s no team he should be more motivated to playa again than Philly. Not only him, but the whole team should get up for this game and they seem to have recaptured a bit of their swagger. Cam Thomas is back in bucket mode.
Kings played their hearts out last night and even if they didn’t have to fight a full 48 minutes, the pace was there for 4 quarters. Now with less than 24 hours to prepare, they must shift from the fastest pace in the league to the slowest.
Chicago just had two nights off and will get two more off after this game. No reason for them to not give full effort and defence is their calling card.
Unfortunately, I do not have time today to track this sort of spot but I will be taking note of how things go today. My guess is there will be a big lead at one point for one of these teams. Either Sacramento gets frustrated by the D and snail pace or Chicago gets sped up and can’t stop the kings. Either way, we could see a dd lead very early on and possibly one of those “tale of two halves” games.
If I had to bet, it would be on Chicago to take control of this game.
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Bulls game is super intriguing.
Kings played their hearts out last night and even if they didn’t have to fight a full 48 minutes, the pace was there for 4 quarters. Now with less than 24 hours to prepare, they must shift from the fastest pace in the league to the slowest.
Chicago just had two nights off and will get two more off after this game. No reason for them to not give full effort and defence is their calling card.
Unfortunately, I do not have time today to track this sort of spot but I will be taking note of how things go today. My guess is there will be a big lead at one point for one of these teams. Either Sacramento gets frustrated by the D and snail pace or Chicago gets sped up and can’t stop the kings. Either way, we could see a dd lead very early on and possibly one of those “tale of two halves” games.
If I had to bet, it would be on Chicago to take control of this game.
Got a few systems lighting up for this Florida showdown. Don’t wanna get explicit with those numbers in a public forum, but I’m happy to talk through it a bit. Locking in the number now.
Orlando@Miami o213.5 (-110)1u
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Got a few systems lighting up for this Florida showdown. Don’t wanna get explicit with those numbers in a public forum, but I’m happy to talk through it a bit. Locking in the number now.
Gross display from basically everyone, not just Cam. 19-0 run for the Cavs to start the third or some shit like that. Nets were so close to the upset on opening night and then got embarrassed by this team in Paris and now again on their home floor. We’ll see how game 4 sets up but the Cavs have their number right now.
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YTD: 67-69 +21.85u
Player Props: 32-40 +9.71u
Gross display from basically everyone, not just Cam. 19-0 run for the Cavs to start the third or some shit like that. Nets were so close to the upset on opening night and then got embarrassed by this team in Paris and now again on their home floor. We’ll see how game 4 sets up but the Cavs have their number right now.
Rockets are 5-18 on the road. They really struggle away from home, so how can they find comfort in Canada tonight? Fred isn’t playing but he knows this city well and of course Brooks can show them around.
Seriously though, on top of some scheduling pieces that favour Houston, this nugget is the main reason for my wager.
This season, when the Rockets most recent game in a head to head to head matchup was a win at home and now they are playing on the road:
19/11/23: 6.5 dogs @ LAL, lose by 1
29/11/23: 10.5 dogs @ DEN, lose by 10
^won in Denver a little over a week later.
15/12/23: 2.5 favs @ MEM, win by 7
23/12/23: 7.5 dogs @ NOP, win by 2
12/01/24: 8.5 favs @ DET, win by 2
26/01/24: 4.5 favs @ CHA, win by 34
27/01/24: 4.5 dogs @ BKN, lose by 2
Familiarity? Confidence? Coincidence? Let’s find out
4-3 SU (1-3 as a dog)6-1 ATS (4-0 as dog)
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Houston Rockets +2.5 (-110)1.5u
Rockets are 5-18 on the road. They really struggle away from home, so how can they find comfort in Canada tonight? Fred isn’t playing but he knows this city well and of course Brooks can show them around.
Seriously though, on top of some scheduling pieces that favour Houston, this nugget is the main reason for my wager.
This season, when the Rockets most recent game in a head to head to head matchup was a win at home and now they are playing on the road:
19/11/23: 6.5 dogs @ LAL, lose by 1
29/11/23: 10.5 dogs @ DEN, lose by 10
^won in Denver a little over a week later.
15/12/23: 2.5 favs @ MEM, win by 7
23/12/23: 7.5 dogs @ NOP, win by 2
12/01/24: 8.5 favs @ DET, win by 2
26/01/24: 4.5 favs @ CHA, win by 34
27/01/24: 4.5 dogs @ BKN, lose by 2
Familiarity? Confidence? Coincidence? Let’s find out
I feel stupid not realizing OKC had this game coming up and I certainly would not have made yesterday’s wagers with that knowledge. Nothing much to be done. Expect a break regardless of result after today.
FIRST HALF:
OKC Thunder -3.5 (+125)1.6u
OKC Thunder -7.5 (+240)0.5u
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YTD: 67-73 +17.00u
Player Props: 32-40 +9.71u
I feel stupid not realizing OKC had this game coming up and I certainly would not have made yesterday’s wagers with that knowledge. Nothing much to be done. Expect a break regardless of result after today.
Let’s get the all-star vibes going a little early tonight. Both teams are tired but motivated for a victory and very capable scorers.
A couple systems light up for this one, but technically this shouldn’t be a play for me because it only adds up to around 0.7u. I’m breaking my personal rule and stretching to 1u tonight. Half gut/instinct and the other half degen. I love watching both these teams play and if I come out the other end with a little extra for All-star weekend then great. If not, it just means one less prop bet these next few days haha.
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Let’s get the all-star vibes going a little early tonight. Both teams are tired but motivated for a victory and very capable scorers.
A couple systems light up for this one, but technically this shouldn’t be a play for me because it only adds up to around 0.7u. I’m breaking my personal rule and stretching to 1u tonight. Half gut/instinct and the other half degen. I love watching both these teams play and if I come out the other end with a little extra for All-star weekend then great. If not, it just means one less prop bet these next few days haha.
Starting Pod is the right move, imo. It also signals an attempt to tighten up on d, but these are two teams that love to start their offence on the defensive side of the ball so I don’t necessarily think that “more defence” means less scoring, especially tonight with 3rd in four on both sides.
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Starting Pod is the right move, imo. It also signals an attempt to tighten up on d, but these are two teams that love to start their offence on the defensive side of the ball so I don’t necessarily think that “more defence” means less scoring, especially tonight with 3rd in four on both sides.
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