Peach Basket and a Dream (27/11/23 +)

YTD: 25-29 +4.04u 

Player Props: 15-19 +2.84

FUTURES

OKC to make playoffs (-130) 2u   

Nets o37.5 (-110)2.5u                  

Hawks o42.5 (-115)2u                  

76ers u48.5 (-110)2u                   

Clutch Player: SGA (+1200)0.5u

MIP: Cameron Johnson (+4000)0.25u

Ast/g leader: T. Young (+400)1u 

Stl/g leader: J. “Dub” (+1700)0.25u

ROY: Chet Holmgren (+160)1.5u

Such a busy weekend. Had no time to post. Plenty of time today to spend on this garbage slate, haha

Mostly trying to figure out how much money I feel comfortable throwing at the Pistons and their players.

Cade Cunningham o7.5 assists (+115)1u

I also like Kuzma to score tonight but a bit spooked by the movement from 23 to 22. Maybe just because it looks like Poole is playing? 

In case anyone is interested, Kuzma is coming off his lowest scoring game of the season and averages almost 7 more points on the road than at home. He’s also never scored less than 21 points against Detroit in a Washington uniform (5 games) and had 23 or more in 4 of those 5 games. 

Should have stuck with Kuzma.

Detroit shot so poorly and Cade still had so many opportunities to go over this number. Two missed dunks in the last 3 minutes 

YTD: 25-30 +3.04u 

Player Props: 15-20 +1.84

Brandon Miller o14.5 (+120)1u

Brandon Miller o19.5 (+425)0.2u

Getting a little greedy tonight with the alternative lines, but Miller has looked a lot better on offence of late and seems very comfortable against NYK. Take Lamelo off the floor and he should get enough shots to get 15 points. 

I’m also considering RJ Barret bounce back and Terry p+a or just assists. 

Two really big games in the western conference tonight, IST aside. 

Sacramento Kings ML (-125)1u

OKC Thunder +3 (-110)1u

Hornets wave the white flag with 5 minutes left. Cuts Miller short at 18 but at least we hit our first hurdle. 

YTD: 26-31 +4.04u 

Player Props: 16-21 +2.84

OKC push. 

LIVE: Kings +3.5 (-115)1u 

(end of 1st quarter)

It would be irresponsible of me to put more money on the Kings tonight, but I absolutely expect them to walk away with the win tonight. 

No regrets. Kings by 1 

YTD: 28-31 +6.04u 

Player Props: 16-21 +2.84

I don't know about scripts or fixed games or whatever, but you can't ever claim it's not entertaining. Two huge games and both results straddled their spreads. I knew the Kings wanted this one badly but I could't trust them to cover. Glad I didn't. Happy with the 2u gain but in reflecting I can see that I was all too eager to get the points when they were available. Basically a one possession difference from my initial bet isn't a big enough difference to justify doubling up so in some ways I'd say I got lucky. In the future I will let the single unit ride and wait for more value to appear (like it did at halftime). 

Leaning towards two WC shirt lines again. Clippers ML and Pelicans spread. I can only get 2 points right now and I’d really prefer 3. So much so that I’m going to wait it out at the risk of things moving against me further. I expect New Orleans to win tonight, but it never hurts to have a few points in your back pocket. Probably plenty of opportunity to bet it live as well. Clippers -125 isn’t bad but I’m not pulling the trigger yet. 

LA Clippers ML (-120)1u

New Orleans Pelicans +3(-110)1u

Feels weird to be taking a short ml and a spread of 3 in the WC for the second night in a row but these are great spots. 

Wont be adding anything live however. Last night had more to do with the Kings and their little brother syndrome with Golden State. Nothing even close to that tonight with these teams. 

Grizz are interesting. I may look to back them live if Utah comes out hot to start. Memphis has yet to win a game at home and, at least on paper, this is their best shot at getting that home victory in 2023. 

Remaining home opponents: MIN, DAL, HOU, IND, and SAC. 15 games in December and 10 of those on the road. Perhaps it just doesn’t happen and that can be their New Year’s resolution to win a home game. Hosting spurs and raptors on Jan 2/3

Wish I had the nuts to take Grizz last night but that - scared me off. Oh well. We don’t complain about a 2-0 night. 

YTD: 30-31 +8.04u 

Player Props: 16-21 +2.84

Like me some value props tonight. 

Bryce McGowens o9.5 points (+210)0.6u

Bryce McGowens o11.5 points (+390)0.2u

Duncan Robinson o3.5 3PM (+130)0.8u

Duncan Robinson o4.5 3PM (+300)0.2u

Tempted to ladder bet the first half for OKC but my distaste for the Lakers could be clouding my judgement a bit here. Besides, they have been awful defensively this season on the road in the first half. I’m confident OKC will be putting up points here. 

OKC Thunder First Half Team Total o60.5 (-115)1u

YTD: 34-31 +11.92u 

Player Props: 19-22 +5.72u