I'm gonna try a system of fading the public. I know it sounds so simple! But I will only wager on games with public percentages of at least a 65/35 or more ratio. Of course I'm not playing all the teams that qualify, just select ones... ok lets get it going.....
Minn +4.5 (70/30%) Too much to give to Minn on road. Who the hell is Toronto?! The score will be close, I see a 2-3 point game.
Sac +2.5 (69/31%) Sac did better than expected without Evans, not sure if he plays tonite but Urih did well in his absence.
NJN +6.5 (73/27%) Nets = bad, Nets + 6.5 @home = lukewarm. Heat = lukewarm.... I'll take home team damn it!
Phila +8 (74/26%) Phila aint that bad, I think they come out to test themselves against one of top tier teams in East. I'll take home dog +8!
Fade or agree I'm just saying Vegas will not allow Joe public to win all games... I'll probably go 2-2 more than likely. Good luck whichever way you decide
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I'm gonna try a system of fading the public. I know it sounds so simple! But I will only wager on games with public percentages of at least a 65/35 or more ratio. Of course I'm not playing all the teams that qualify, just select ones... ok lets get it going.....
Minn +4.5 (70/30%) Too much to give to Minn on road. Who the hell is Toronto?! The score will be close, I see a 2-3 point game.
Sac +2.5 (69/31%) Sac did better than expected without Evans, not sure if he plays tonite but Urih did well in his absence.
NJN +6.5 (73/27%) Nets = bad, Nets + 6.5 @home = lukewarm. Heat = lukewarm.... I'll take home team damn it!
Phila +8 (74/26%) Phila aint that bad, I think they come out to test themselves against one of top tier teams in East. I'll take home dog +8!
Fade or agree I'm just saying Vegas will not allow Joe public to win all games... I'll probably go 2-2 more than likely. Good luck whichever way you decide
A system can be followed with or without your help... you picking and choosing games means this isn't a system. GL nonetheless but I'd say refining what public percentages you go after... maybe between 60 and 70? I feel as if it's just as risky when it is lopsided as it is when it is split. That's why I think your first 2 plays have a better shot than your second 2.
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A system can be followed with or without your help... you picking and choosing games means this isn't a system. GL nonetheless but I'd say refining what public percentages you go after... maybe between 60 and 70? I feel as if it's just as risky when it is lopsided as it is when it is split. That's why I think your first 2 plays have a better shot than your second 2.
Dont waste your time doing this. If you do the research for all games that have a 65/35 split or more and you fade the public you make nothing over the past 3 years. Its so close to 50/50 its ridiculous. Its incredibly streaky, too.Vegas has their own reasons for setting the line that way. Nothing you can take take advantage of. Trust me.
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Dont waste your time doing this. If you do the research for all games that have a 65/35 split or more and you fade the public you make nothing over the past 3 years. Its so close to 50/50 its ridiculous. Its incredibly streaky, too.Vegas has their own reasons for setting the line that way. Nothing you can take take advantage of. Trust me.
DJ_destroyer, 4degrees.....Thank you for replies, point taken and I do agree with you that it will just end up 50/50 split in the long run... Nobody needs my help to do this... this isn't a robotic system but just a way of sifting through the BS and finding the golden nugget that stands out..if anything it's just an aide.....I will continue this for the rest of this week accordingly and we will see how miserably it fails......or succeeds. Good luck to all!
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DJ_destroyer, 4degrees.....Thank you for replies, point taken and I do agree with you that it will just end up 50/50 split in the long run... Nobody needs my help to do this... this isn't a robotic system but just a way of sifting through the BS and finding the golden nugget that stands out..if anything it's just an aide.....I will continue this for the rest of this week accordingly and we will see how miserably it fails......or succeeds. Good luck to all!
on paper it looks like theres no way this awful team, which is also banged up right now, can bring any trouble for high flying orlando... looks like a very easy win and cover for them.
thats usually the type of game where a dog comes out surprisingly competitive in NBA...
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i think shitty 76ers is a good play tonite
on paper it looks like theres no way this awful team, which is also banged up right now, can bring any trouble for high flying orlando... looks like a very easy win and cover for them.
thats usually the type of game where a dog comes out surprisingly competitive in NBA...
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