YTD 7-4 +2.80
The Bulls are the heartbeat of the Over right now, largely due to their elite 13.7 sec/poss pace, Miami 12.7 sec/poss. Chicago is pushing the ball on every possession, forcing opponents into a track meet. With the Bulls ranking top 3 in assists and bottom third in defensive rebounding, expect a high volume of possessions and plenty of second-chance points to carry this over the 234.5 mark.
This total feels light for a San Antonio team that has found its offensive rhythm. Victor Wembanyama’s gravity is opening up the perimeter for De’Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle, leading to more efficient scoring. On the other side, Orlando has been playing high-scoring ball lately, averaging 130 points in their recent win over Toronto. Both teams have the young legs to run, and with San Antonio’s tendency to play much faster at home, 223 is a hurdle they should clear comfortably.
The Cavs are no longer just a "defensive-first" unit; they’ve cleared this 228.5 total in 32 games already this season. Cleveland is averaging nearly 120 points per game and is facing a Portland defense that is giving up 117.6 on average. Portland has seen the Over hit in over 53% of their games, and with the Cavs' ability to punish teams from deep (17 triples in their last outing), this game has all the ingredients for a high-scoring finish in the Pacific Northwest.
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