got burnt last yesterday going big on Indy (even tho my initial lean was Miami) because ref stats heavily favored them.....these stats are favor even more heavily here (for Spurs) & much like yesterday my initial lean is against the stats (OKC).........
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refs are 24-36 ATS in favor of road team tonight.
Home Team ATS combined 99-120-6
got burnt last yesterday going big on Indy (even tho my initial lean was Miami) because ref stats heavily favored them.....these stats are favor even more heavily here (for Spurs) & much like yesterday my initial lean is against the stats (OKC).........
Tough one, I was so confused yesterday, I thought you settled on Heat (which is why I said good hit).
I hate when I have an initial lean and go against it and lose, especially if it is a strong lead.
I see you are big on ref assignments, I don't believe any of that stuff, but I am also not an experienced NBA capper...but watching last night game they sure seemed to favor Heat.
God forbid you touch any Heat player.
Good luck tonight,bounce back.
I love the Spurs, but I think this could be the only game OKC could win. I will either take Spurs or no play as I have future money on Heat and Spurs.
Good luck!
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Tough one, I was so confused yesterday, I thought you settled on Heat (which is why I said good hit).
I hate when I have an initial lean and go against it and lose, especially if it is a strong lead.
I see you are big on ref assignments, I don't believe any of that stuff, but I am also not an experienced NBA capper...but watching last night game they sure seemed to favor Heat.
God forbid you touch any Heat player.
Good luck tonight,bounce back.
I love the Spurs, but I think this could be the only game OKC could win. I will either take Spurs or no play as I have future money on Heat and Spurs.
tonyrome, yeah lol it sucks when you go against your lean and lose but you bite the bullet and live w/ it i guess.
probably i good idea not to touch this game. if you already have a future on Spurs taking the series.
I might just toss a coin and see what lands
haha, well GL, I really like Spurs, especially getting points +2.5, but you are right this may be a sit and watch...but you know we got to play something even just for fun.
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Quote Originally Posted by 3BallBomber:
tonyrome, yeah lol it sucks when you go against your lean and lose but you bite the bullet and live w/ it i guess.
probably i good idea not to touch this game. if you already have a future on Spurs taking the series.
I might just toss a coin and see what lands
haha, well GL, I really like Spurs, especially getting points +2.5, but you are right this may be a sit and watch...but you know we got to play something even just for fun.
haha, well GL, I really like Spurs, especially getting points +2.5, but you are right this may be a sit and watch...but you know we got to play something even just for fun.
lol, spot on! post a play soon
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Quote Originally Posted by tonyrome:
haha, well GL, I really like Spurs, especially getting points +2.5, but you are right this may be a sit and watch...but you know we got to play something even just for fun.
I have Heat winning this series 4-3. If worse comes to worse i think Indiana are good for at least 1 more and game 4 is the one they must win. They lose and go down 3-1 they're pressured to win the next 3 of 4 games. The pacers waited all season to face Miami again & have their revenge. This game they'll go all out & throw the kitchen sink & plumbing attached. Ref assignment haven't been a factor the last 2 games spite of their stats favoring a certain side it's gone the complete opposite results. What's won me plays is my gut + refs, not refs alone. My gut says Indy.
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Quote Originally Posted by tonyrome:
Great job! Keep it up.
thanks mate
Leaning IND +6.5 tomorrow.
I have Heat winning this series 4-3. If worse comes to worse i think Indiana are good for at least 1 more and game 4 is the one they must win. They lose and go down 3-1 they're pressured to win the next 3 of 4 games. The pacers waited all season to face Miami again & have their revenge. This game they'll go all out & throw the kitchen sink & plumbing attached. Ref assignment haven't been a factor the last 2 games spite of their stats favoring a certain side it's gone the complete opposite results. What's won me plays is my gut + refs, not refs alone. My gut says Indy.
this crew though haven't been very Pacer friendly. Indy is is 1-9ATS last 10 w/ capers, 4-6 w/ crawford & 4-6 w/ davis. combined 9-21. All perfectly fine w/ miami.
take it w/ a grain of salt....refs stats have meant diddly last 2 games.
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refs 33-33 home team ats combined 108-143-5
this crew though haven't been very Pacer friendly. Indy is is 1-9ATS last 10 w/ capers, 4-6 w/ crawford & 4-6 w/ davis. combined 9-21. All perfectly fine w/ miami.
take it w/ a grain of salt....refs stats have meant diddly last 2 games.
wow 2 ft's for Indiana & 12 for Miami to end the half. spite of that Pacers only down by 5 pts. this has to balance out in the 2nd half. 2h play in soon
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wow 2 ft's for Indiana & 12 for Miami to end the half. spite of that Pacers only down by 5 pts. this has to balance out in the 2nd half. 2h play in soon