Posted:
#276
indy +2.5 
sweet pakalolo 
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nba playoffs
Posted:
#283
I think this perhaps is the time when we gotta pay more attention to who is officiating each game, as it may determine the outcome for the games even further, as we move closer to the finals and the NBA try & get the results they want.
I'm not going to take away anything from the Pacers, they played a great game. They were really up for this game and executed almost flawlessly on every possession. It helps when your pt guard is knocking down shots, your center is grabbing boards and scoring pts and your super-star player is making shots also.........
...........but.........only 15 PF's to Miami's 26 PF's. Indiana 37 FT's to Miami's 15 FT's. Albeit Pacers were more aggressive and could also count in some home court love and to be fair i really didn't see much shady officiating from the 1st Quarter. I usually watch intently and focus on calls from tip off and you can usually determine what the refs are up to. but they hardly really blew their whistles.
With all that said the 3rd Quarter was some what telling. The FT disparity was massive - i believe & correct me if i'm wrong but a high % of teams win the game if they win the 3Q?
3Q:
Indy 15 FT's - Mia 2 FT's
indy 4 PF's - MIA 9 PF's
my daughter wnats to play so....2b continued.....
I'm not going to take away anything from the Pacers, they played a great game. They were really up for this game and executed almost flawlessly on every possession. It helps when your pt guard is knocking down shots, your center is grabbing boards and scoring pts and your super-star player is making shots also.........
...........but.........only 15 PF's to Miami's 26 PF's. Indiana 37 FT's to Miami's 15 FT's. Albeit Pacers were more aggressive and could also count in some home court love and to be fair i really didn't see much shady officiating from the 1st Quarter. I usually watch intently and focus on calls from tip off and you can usually determine what the refs are up to. but they hardly really blew their whistles.
With all that said the 3rd Quarter was some what telling. The FT disparity was massive - i believe & correct me if i'm wrong but a high % of teams win the game if they win the 3Q?
3Q:
Indy 15 FT's - Mia 2 FT's
indy 4 PF's - MIA 9 PF's
my daughter wnats to play so....2b continued.....
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Posted:
#285
anyway........
Sometimes when watching games i can feel the refs do all they can to not allow any chances of a come back. & in last nights game it was Miami they were trying to hold down. I feel this even more when i am on the wrong side of the refs and it seems the team i back just can't seem to make a come back w/ all the calls going against them. I feel Foster & crew were doing this in the 2nd half to the Heat. Indiana won that 2nd half by just a point.
W/ that said & to end this long rant i'm leaning towards Miami for game 2. Now everybody is talking about how Indiana has a great chance to knock out Miami and how they have no answer for Hibbert inside. Now all of a sudden they are the favorites to take the East - after one game!
I anticipate any of these crooks Joe Crawford/Mike Callahan/Ken Mauer to ref game 2.
Sometimes when watching games i can feel the refs do all they can to not allow any chances of a come back. & in last nights game it was Miami they were trying to hold down. I feel this even more when i am on the wrong side of the refs and it seems the team i back just can't seem to make a come back w/ all the calls going against them. I feel Foster & crew were doing this in the 2nd half to the Heat. Indiana won that 2nd half by just a point.
W/ that said & to end this long rant i'm leaning towards Miami for game 2. Now everybody is talking about how Indiana has a great chance to knock out Miami and how they have no answer for Hibbert inside. Now all of a sudden they are the favorites to take the East - after one game!
I anticipate any of these crooks Joe Crawford/Mike Callahan/Ken Mauer to ref game 2.
0
Posted:
#286
Alright refs are in. when line is between 5-9.5 refs are a combined 35-39 (27-27 minus alternate) in favor of the road team.
But had Ibaka played line was set @ -4.5, In wich case refs would have been a combined 35-30 (26-21 minus alternate )in favor of the home team.
O/U 205+:
32-44 (18-29 minus alternate)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
I think if Spurs are to win this series they must win this game @ home or risk losing home court to a much younger, athletic and hungry squad. I think w/ the Ibaka injury it really places OKC to a disadvantage If they were to advance to the finals. People should not understate the importance of the absence of Ibaka. He is such a big part of their team who can hold it down on both ends of the floor. Does the NBA really want an OKC team that is not @ full strength vs Miami? It's much like BK w/out Lopez, who's a significant part of their team & we all saw how Miami dealt w/ them.
Line opened at -4.5 & then whent up to -5.5 when Ibaka injury was announced. Spurs were -3 & -6.5 faves at home this season in wich they both lost. So in spite of the Spurs going 0-4 vs OKC this season they still open as -4.5 faves?
Leaning:
SAS -5.5
But had Ibaka played line was set @ -4.5, In wich case refs would have been a combined 35-30 (26-21 minus alternate )in favor of the home team.
O/U 205+:
32-44 (18-29 minus alternate)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
I think if Spurs are to win this series they must win this game @ home or risk losing home court to a much younger, athletic and hungry squad. I think w/ the Ibaka injury it really places OKC to a disadvantage If they were to advance to the finals. People should not understate the importance of the absence of Ibaka. He is such a big part of their team who can hold it down on both ends of the floor. Does the NBA really want an OKC team that is not @ full strength vs Miami? It's much like BK w/out Lopez, who's a significant part of their team & we all saw how Miami dealt w/ them.
Line opened at -4.5 & then whent up to -5.5 when Ibaka injury was announced. Spurs were -3 & -6.5 faves at home this season in wich they both lost. So in spite of the Spurs going 0-4 vs OKC this season they still open as -4.5 faves?
Leaning:
SAS -5.5
0
Posted:
#291
that 3rd Q was lookin a little scary. but to start the 4th a quick call on Durant and a quick Tech, after he thought he was fouled on a shot just seconds prior. That foul was Durants 4th. now i'll say it again, no star player, who's team is supposed to win a game will ever get called w/ so many fouls and especially w/ a call like that. Reggie Miller stated how it's the playoffs and officials gotta let that go.....not like their was really much there to begin with.....
......This is the example of how refs control a game. Both Reggie & Kerr stated that it wasn't a foul to begin with. These are the calls that can really deflate a team, especially one trying to claw it's way out of a deficit. you can see the frustration from Durant.
Not long after that Westbrook gets called w/ a charge after he had already passed the ball. This further deflating OKC. Remember i stated how refs can often not allow a team to make a run for a chance of a come back - this is what was happening in the 4th Q.
So now that i saw friendly whistles for the Spurs in this game 1, wich i stated should be a Spurs win or risk any chances of OKC stealing home court and dominating them further after OKC winning so many matches vs the spurs.....what is to happen for game 2. Auto pick should be OKC. Gonna have to wait and see who they send out to ref.
......This is the example of how refs control a game. Both Reggie & Kerr stated that it wasn't a foul to begin with. These are the calls that can really deflate a team, especially one trying to claw it's way out of a deficit. you can see the frustration from Durant.
Not long after that Westbrook gets called w/ a charge after he had already passed the ball. This further deflating OKC. Remember i stated how refs can often not allow a team to make a run for a chance of a come back - this is what was happening in the 4th Q.
So now that i saw friendly whistles for the Spurs in this game 1, wich i stated should be a Spurs win or risk any chances of OKC stealing home court and dominating them further after OKC winning so many matches vs the spurs.....what is to happen for game 2. Auto pick should be OKC. Gonna have to wait and see who they send out to ref.
0
Posted:
#295
Well folks, looky here........Joe Crawford & Mike Callahan for game 2. Just as i anticipated. 
The 3 refs today are a combined 24-16 for the home dog when line is 0-4.5. Take away John Goble's stats wich heavily favors the home dog 13-3 & Crawford & Callahan are 11-13 against the home dog. Goble will be a puppet for Crawford & Callahan.
The last time Crawford ref'd a Heat game in the playoffs was the last game in the BK/Heat series (Miami won & eliminated the Nets). Callahan ref'd the BK/Heat game 1 (Heat victory).....
......But the last time they both ref'd together in a Heat game was in that game 6 in last seasons finals where Miami was in a brink of elimination. That was a must-win for Miami and when i saw Crawford, Callahan & Mauer i thought it was lights out for the Spurs.......boy was i wrong. They really tricked us on that one.
Even though this is not a must win for Miami it is a crucial game for them to not go down 0-2 & risk having pressure to win both home games. Although it would be a perfect time to send in refs as decoys to deceive i can't see that happening so early in the series when the league would want to extend this & not risk their cash cow Miami to go down to Indiana. Though Heat going down 0-2 would go for good drama, i just can't see them risking it. I won't over think it.
Lean:
MIA -2.5 & SU/ML
The 3 refs today are a combined 24-16 for the home dog when line is 0-4.5. Take away John Goble's stats wich heavily favors the home dog 13-3 & Crawford & Callahan are 11-13 against the home dog. Goble will be a puppet for Crawford & Callahan.
The last time Crawford ref'd a Heat game in the playoffs was the last game in the BK/Heat series (Miami won & eliminated the Nets). Callahan ref'd the BK/Heat game 1 (Heat victory).....
......But the last time they both ref'd together in a Heat game was in that game 6 in last seasons finals where Miami was in a brink of elimination. That was a must-win for Miami and when i saw Crawford, Callahan & Mauer i thought it was lights out for the Spurs.......boy was i wrong. They really tricked us on that one.
Even though this is not a must win for Miami it is a crucial game for them to not go down 0-2 & risk having pressure to win both home games. Although it would be a perfect time to send in refs as decoys to deceive i can't see that happening so early in the series when the league would want to extend this & not risk their cash cow Miami to go down to Indiana. Though Heat going down 0-2 would go for good drama, i just can't see them risking it. I won't over think it.
Lean:
MIA -2.5 & SU/ML
0
Posted:
#299
Quote Originally Posted by Retburj13:
probability that the league will send in a agenda and get Miami even tonite is very high or at very least get a garbage ton of calls....book that
probability that the league will send in a agenda and get Miami even tonite is very high or at very least get a garbage ton of calls....book that
Spite of my write up & Huge wager i'm a little fearful still of the reverse psychology of sending Crawford & Callahan in a must win for Miami. Part of my brain is saying 'surely it can't be that obvious'. but i'm sticking with my gut here and sticking to the notion that the league wants Miami in the Finals.
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