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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    *** NBA Bounce-Back Monday ***

    «First Previous 1234
    Dr_Baseball
    LeagueCapper
    MACKY
    beardyindian
    Uni__gambler
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 9487
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    «First Previous 1234
     
    Dr_Baseball
    Dr_Baseball
    Prospect
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    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 136
    Posted: Jan. 6, 2015 - 5:41 PM ET #76

    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


    The last 4 covers by the way have been by 1 point, 2 points, 3 points, and 2 points. 

    System could easily by 8-28 ATS

    Thanks.

    I'm not getting the same results.  PM me to compare data.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


    The last 4 covers by the way have been by 1 point, 2 points, 3 points, and 2 points. 

    System could easily by 8-28 ATS

    Thanks.

    I'm not getting the same results.  PM me to compare data.  
     
    LeagueCapper
    LeagueCapper
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    Joined: Mar, 2011
    Posts: 9317
    Posted: Jan. 6, 2015 - 6:05 PM ET #77

    Quote Originally Posted by Dr_Baseball:


    Thanks.

    I'm not getting the same results.  PM me to compare data.  

    My guess is your not filtering out playoffs or the final games of the season when teams are fighting for a playoff spot. Send me a friend request
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dr_Baseball:


    Thanks.

    I'm not getting the same results.  PM me to compare data.  

    My guess is your not filtering out playoffs or the final games of the season when teams are fighting for a playoff spot. Send me a friend request
     
    MACKY
    MACKY
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    Posts: 2103
    Posted: Jan. 6, 2015 - 6:32 PM ET #78

    LC, I still respect you on your capping and thanks for your home work to have a free post if some body need help on the game.

    What I and people try to tell  you are if you back those bad teams, chance of winning is very low.

    For example, I saw your rate from 1x to 5x. So, if you back on Philadelphia or Minnesota, that are the two worst team on NBA, the reason they are worst because they can't beat no body, they are sucks and coaching terrible that's bring them a losing result. Therefore the most you van back on them is 1x, these two teams are not worth to wage a bet on them. Otherwise those good teams have proved everything they have winning record, what else they need to do for you to trust them. I think GS, Portland, Atlanta, Houston, Dallas etc... these teams should have worth for your 3x to 5x if you wage on them.

    In review your record, I don't see your 5x ever land on good team but opposite.

    Just my opinion for you. I don't want to talk trash and waist your time but try to give you an idea.

    If you don't like my opinion just ignore it and thank you for your hard work and free post that you dedicate for people tailing if they need.

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    LC, I still respect you on your capping and thanks for your home work to have a free post if some body need help on the game.

    What I and people try to tell  you are if you back those bad teams, chance of winning is very low.

    For example, I saw your rate from 1x to 5x. So, if you back on Philadelphia or Minnesota, that are the two worst team on NBA, the reason they are worst because they can't beat no body, they are sucks and coaching terrible that's bring them a losing result. Therefore the most you van back on them is 1x, these two teams are not worth to wage a bet on them. Otherwise those good teams have proved everything they have winning record, what else they need to do for you to trust them. I think GS, Portland, Atlanta, Houston, Dallas etc... these teams should have worth for your 3x to 5x if you wage on them.

    In review your record, I don't see your 5x ever land on good team but opposite.

    Just my opinion for you. I don't want to talk trash and waist your time but try to give you an idea.

    If you don't like my opinion just ignore it and thank you for your hard work and free post that you dedicate for people tailing if they need.

     
    beardyindian
    beardyindian
    Prospect
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    Posts: 298
    Posted: Jan. 6, 2015 - 6:45 PM ET #79

    Quote Originally Posted by MACKY:

    LC, I still respect you on your capping and thanks for your home work to have a free post if some body need help on the game.

    What I and people try to tell  you are if you back those bad teams, chance of winning is very low.

    For example, I saw your rate from 1x to 5x. So, if you back on Philadelphia or Minnesota, that are the two worst team on NBA, the reason they are worst because they can't beat no body, they are sucks and coaching terrible that's bring them a losing result. Therefore the most you van back on them is 1x, these two teams are not worth to wage a bet on them. Otherwise those good teams have proved everything they have winning record, what else they need to do for you to trust them. I think GS, Portland, Atlanta, Houston, Dallas etc... these teams should have worth for your 3x to 5x if you wage on them.

    In review your record, I don't see your 5x ever land on good team but opposite.

    Just my opinion for you. I don't want to talk trash and waist your time but try to give you an idea.

    If you don't like my opinion just ignore it and thank you for your hard work and free post that you dedicate for people tailing if they need.


    Aside from the poor English this man is the nicest person i've seen on covers. A thoughtful and honest response that is obviously not meant to offend in any way - he's just being a genuine human being. 

    Cheers to MACKY. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by MACKY:

    LC, I still respect you on your capping and thanks for your home work to have a free post if some body need help on the game.

    What I and people try to tell  you are if you back those bad teams, chance of winning is very low.

    For example, I saw your rate from 1x to 5x. So, if you back on Philadelphia or Minnesota, that are the two worst team on NBA, the reason they are worst because they can't beat no body, they are sucks and coaching terrible that's bring them a losing result. Therefore the most you van back on them is 1x, these two teams are not worth to wage a bet on them. Otherwise those good teams have proved everything they have winning record, what else they need to do for you to trust them. I think GS, Portland, Atlanta, Houston, Dallas etc... these teams should have worth for your 3x to 5x if you wage on them.

    In review your record, I don't see your 5x ever land on good team but opposite.

    Just my opinion for you. I don't want to talk trash and waist your time but try to give you an idea.

    If you don't like my opinion just ignore it and thank you for your hard work and free post that you dedicate for people tailing if they need.


    Aside from the poor English this man is the nicest person i've seen on covers. A thoughtful and honest response that is obviously not meant to offend in any way - he's just being a genuine human being. 

    Cheers to MACKY. 

     
    LeagueCapper
    LeagueCapper
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    Posts: 9317
    Posted: Jan. 6, 2015 - 6:46 PM ET #80

    Quote Originally Posted by MACKY:

    LC, I still respect you on your capping and thanks for your home work to have a free post if some body need help on the game.

    What I and people try to tell  you are if you back those bad teams, chance of winning is very low.

    For example, I saw your rate from 1x to 5x. So, if you back on Philadelphia or Minnesota, that are the two worst team on NBA, the reason they are worst because they can't beat no body, they are sucks and coaching terrible that's bring them a losing result. Therefore the most you van back on them is 1x, these two teams are not worth to wage a bet on them. Otherwise those good teams have proved everything they have winning record, what else they need to do for you to trust them. I think GS, Portland, Atlanta, Houston, Dallas etc... these teams should have worth for your 3x to 5x if you wage on them.

    In review your record, I don't see your 5x ever land on good team but opposite.

    Just my opinion for you. I don't want to talk trash and waist your time but try to give you an idea.

    If you don't like my opinion just ignore it and thank you for your hard work and free post that you dedicate for people tailing if they need.


    Thanks for your thoughts mate. I completely understand and agree, but most people that bash on backing bad teams don't really know why i'm backing them. I've won a lot on them in the past, a lot. For example, would it surprise you to know that the Timberwolves are 19-6 ATS after a double digit home loss the past 3 years? That's the best in the entire NBA. Literally #1 in the league. My style of capping is to find value on teams where other people would be otherwise scared to back them and it works for me for the most part. I concur that it hasn't been working lately, so many favorites have been hitting recently it's crazyyyy, i'm sure it will go back to normal soon but to an extent, I hear what your saying and appreciate the feedback 
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    Quote Originally Posted by MACKY:

    LC, I still respect you on your capping and thanks for your home work to have a free post if some body need help on the game.

    What I and people try to tell  you are if you back those bad teams, chance of winning is very low.

    For example, I saw your rate from 1x to 5x. So, if you back on Philadelphia or Minnesota, that are the two worst team on NBA, the reason they are worst because they can't beat no body, they are sucks and coaching terrible that's bring them a losing result. Therefore the most you van back on them is 1x, these two teams are not worth to wage a bet on them. Otherwise those good teams have proved everything they have winning record, what else they need to do for you to trust them. I think GS, Portland, Atlanta, Houston, Dallas etc... these teams should have worth for your 3x to 5x if you wage on them.

    In review your record, I don't see your 5x ever land on good team but opposite.

    Just my opinion for you. I don't want to talk trash and waist your time but try to give you an idea.

    If you don't like my opinion just ignore it and thank you for your hard work and free post that you dedicate for people tailing if they need.


    Thanks for your thoughts mate. I completely understand and agree, but most people that bash on backing bad teams don't really know why i'm backing them. I've won a lot on them in the past, a lot. For example, would it surprise you to know that the Timberwolves are 19-6 ATS after a double digit home loss the past 3 years? That's the best in the entire NBA. Literally #1 in the league. My style of capping is to find value on teams where other people would be otherwise scared to back them and it works for me for the most part. I concur that it hasn't been working lately, so many favorites have been hitting recently it's crazyyyy, i'm sure it will go back to normal soon but to an extent, I hear what your saying and appreciate the feedback 
     
    LeagueCapper
    LeagueCapper
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2011
    Posts: 9317
    Posted: Jan. 6, 2015 - 6:47 PM ET #81

    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


    Thanks for your thoughts mate. I completely understand and agree, but most people that bash on backing bad teams don't really know why i'm backing them. I've won a lot on them in the past, a lot. For example, would it surprise you to know that the Timberwolves are 19-6 ATS after a double digit home loss the past 3 years? That's the best in the entire NBA. Literally #1 in the league. My style of capping is to find value on teams where other people would be otherwise scared to back them and it works for me for the most part. I concur that it hasn't been working lately, so many favorites have been hitting recently it's crazyyyy, i'm sure it will go back to normal soon but to an extent, I hear what your saying and appreciate the feedback 

    To add to this, I also agree that good teams in good spots hit a lot more frequently than bad teams in good spots 
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    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


    Thanks for your thoughts mate. I completely understand and agree, but most people that bash on backing bad teams don't really know why i'm backing them. I've won a lot on them in the past, a lot. For example, would it surprise you to know that the Timberwolves are 19-6 ATS after a double digit home loss the past 3 years? That's the best in the entire NBA. Literally #1 in the league. My style of capping is to find value on teams where other people would be otherwise scared to back them and it works for me for the most part. I concur that it hasn't been working lately, so many favorites have been hitting recently it's crazyyyy, i'm sure it will go back to normal soon but to an extent, I hear what your saying and appreciate the feedback 

    To add to this, I also agree that good teams in good spots hit a lot more frequently than bad teams in good spots 
     
    Uni__gambler
    Uni__gambler
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    Posts: 211
    Posted: Jan. 6, 2015 - 6:55 PM ET #82

    hey lc...any leans tonight? You have been cold lately and your a good capper who ever says they haven't gone on cold streak like you have hasn't been gambling for long. Ups and downs my man just have to make sure there is more peaks than valleys. Tonight i am leaning bucks (that is if mayo and dudley play) just feel suns usually are the more athletic teams in most cases and can run teams out of the gym i feel bucks can match them would love your thoughts
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    hey lc...any leans tonight? You have been cold lately and your a good capper who ever says they haven't gone on cold streak like you have hasn't been gambling for long. Ups and downs my man just have to make sure there is more peaks than valleys. Tonight i am leaning bucks (that is if mayo and dudley play) just feel suns usually are the more athletic teams in most cases and can run teams out of the gym i feel bucks can match them would love your thoughts
     
    naesiy
    naesiy
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2015 - 7:02 PM ET #83

    LC, I think it's obvious that there are many more posters that want to see you succeed and back on the winning track vs. haters who revel in your losses (bookies).  GL to you.
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    LC, I think it's obvious that there are many more posters that want to see you succeed and back on the winning track vs. haters who revel in your losses (bookies).  GL to you.
     
    broker9
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2015 - 7:09 PM ET #84

    A lot of what you are doing as far as playing percentages  is very tuff because a lot of rosters change from year to year which makes it very hard to put any faith in those numbers. You have to incorporate matchups,travel,revenge angle,fatigue in my opinion. I do check in with your selections and also look to play some bad teams because you are getting a better line than backing the best teams but you also have to back good teams as well. Things will turn around . Good Luck

     

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    A lot of what you are doing as far as playing percentages  is very tuff because a lot of rosters change from year to year which makes it very hard to put any faith in those numbers. You have to incorporate matchups,travel,revenge angle,fatigue in my opinion. I do check in with your selections and also look to play some bad teams because you are getting a better line than backing the best teams but you also have to back good teams as well. Things will turn around . Good Luck

     

     
    LeagueCapper
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2015 - 7:12 PM ET #85

    Uni__gambler - Going to wait till tomorrow 

    naesiy - Appreciate it 

    broker9 - Correct, I never make a play based on numbers alone, it has to fit other parameters as well but just hasn't been hitting for me lately. Will take a step back today and try and refocus 
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    Uni__gambler - Going to wait till tomorrow 

    naesiy - Appreciate it 

    broker9 - Correct, I never make a play based on numbers alone, it has to fit other parameters as well but just hasn't been hitting for me lately. Will take a step back today and try and refocus 
     
    Ballerholic
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2015 - 1:45 AM ET #86

    Idk if this helps, but I've done very well in NBA this year and I hit a slump around the time you did. Hopefully it'll end soon.
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    Idk if this helps, but I've done very well in NBA this year and I hit a slump around the time you did. Hopefully it'll end soon.
     
    lmb4321
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2015 - 2:10 AM ET #87

    LC...it seems this year the basketball plays has been very confusing...Ill be honest I haven't made a bet in awhile cuz everything I do is wrong........so is it a cold spell for us...I don't know LC.....need some help here....you have way more experience than I do on the NBA....
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    LC...it seems this year the basketball plays has been very confusing...Ill be honest I haven't made a bet in awhile cuz everything I do is wrong........so is it a cold spell for us...I don't know LC.....need some help here....you have way more experience than I do on the NBA....
     
    Nilshu
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2015 - 2:32 AM ET #88

    Hope you have a great year LC. Always appreciate your insight in all sports.
    I was actually wondering where you find some of these trends/stats from. I know there are a lot of trends on Covers but I notice that a lot of yours aren't on this site. Much appreciated if you are willing to share.

    BOL

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    Hope you have a great year LC. Always appreciate your insight in all sports.
    I was actually wondering where you find some of these trends/stats from. I know there are a lot of trends on Covers but I notice that a lot of yours aren't on this site. Much appreciated if you are willing to share.

    BOL

     
     
    examine
    examine
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    Joined: Aug, 2011
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2015 - 3:09 AM ET #89

    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


    Thanks for your thoughts mate. I completely understand and agree, but most people that bash on backing bad teams don't really know why i'm backing them. I've won a lot on them in the past, a lot. For example, would it surprise you to know that the Timberwolves are 19-6 ATS after a double digit home loss the past 3 years? That's the best in the entire NBA. Literally #1 in the league. My style of capping is to find value on teams where other people would be otherwise scared to back them and it works for me for the most part. I concur that it hasn't been working lately, so many favorites have been hitting recently it's crazyyyy, i'm sure it will go back to normal soon but to an extent, I hear what your saying and appreciate the feedback 

     

    Old stats, that another problem.

    Timberwolves team 3 years ago has nothing to do with todays team

    Your just reaching out for a reason to bet something that is no longer relevant

    In poker , we call this in a vacuum ... In a small sample size like 25, 50 games anything can be lopsided  add to this cherry picked out these stats, it bears no meaning....

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    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


    Thanks for your thoughts mate. I completely understand and agree, but most people that bash on backing bad teams don't really know why i'm backing them. I've won a lot on them in the past, a lot. For example, would it surprise you to know that the Timberwolves are 19-6 ATS after a double digit home loss the past 3 years? That's the best in the entire NBA. Literally #1 in the league. My style of capping is to find value on teams where other people would be otherwise scared to back them and it works for me for the most part. I concur that it hasn't been working lately, so many favorites have been hitting recently it's crazyyyy, i'm sure it will go back to normal soon but to an extent, I hear what your saying and appreciate the feedback 

     

    Old stats, that another problem.

    Timberwolves team 3 years ago has nothing to do with todays team

    Your just reaching out for a reason to bet something that is no longer relevant

    In poker , we call this in a vacuum ... In a small sample size like 25, 50 games anything can be lopsided  add to this cherry picked out these stats, it bears no meaning....

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