NBA 6/11: Who Is Ever A Home Dog In The Finals???

NBA YTD 17-6 +10.2 units

(Playoffs 8-0)

all plays 1*

I remained unbeaten in the post-season and improved to 74% on the season hitting OKC's easy clinch in Game 5 of the T-Wolves series.  First play of the finals here as I try to keep it perfect:

1* Pacers +5 1/2

I always argue home court is irrelevant in the NBA playoffs but the one team to which it evidently still matters is OKC.  Thunder is now 0-7 ATS on the road in the post-season.  Indy's offense is close to unstoppable.  Even in getting killed in Game 2, Indiana shot a not-bad 45%.  They have shot over 50% in half their playoffs games.  They haven't lost two games in a row since April.  The thing that makes OKC tough and allows them to overcome being out-shot is all the turnovers they produce.  They always put up more shots than the opponents because of all the forced turnovers.  If Pacers keep turnovers under 12, they can win SU.  Indiana has been undervalued the whole post-season because of a misleadingly mediocre regular season.  They got real hot the last 25 games of the regular season and it continues in the playoffs.  Indiana is not a fluke.  

@Griswold1

Bol Gris

GL  @Griswold1

Bingo!  And 1-2 SU in game 3s on the road.  Their one win against the Grizzlies they came back from a 77-51 1st half deficit.

gl tonight griz

@Griswold1

Can't remember when was the last time we had a Finals home dog. Maybe Knicks vs Rockets back in 94?? No data available for it 

Now 9-0 in the playoffs

18-6 (75%) on the full season

@Griswold1

In my write-up I mentioned Indiana's ability to shoot over 50% and said they could win SU if they stayed at 12 or fewer turnovers.  They indeed limited their turnovers (13) and shot 51%.

Pacers had fewer turnovers than OKC.  If Thunder doesn't win turnover battle, they're not going to win the game

6 point dog game 4.  Carlisle boys dog svg 

@Griswold1

Good angle. NICE win.