Posted:
#1
Record: 59-45-1
Pelicans +5 1/2
This is a fade of the number, not the team. Cleveland has been a poor cover in this role, sitting well below .500 ATS as a mid-range favorite. Now they walk into a bad matchup without Allen protecting the rim, which opens the door for Zion to live in the paint. New Orleans is also playing it's best ball at home, where their pace and physicality tend to wear teams down late. If Mitchell isn't 100%, this turns into a heavy usage spot for the Cavs' backcourt, and that's where efficiency usually dips on the road. My numbers make this closer to a one-possession game.
Good Luck!
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