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I made okc -9

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Prospect
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Posted: #1
I am sure everyone is looking to bet okc after their debacle on Sat. And so am I. Yet nine, and I don't think it will come much lower, is a lot of pts. on the road. However, this is nine without any Sac injuries. If Rondo or Gay is hurt that makes some difference. Also the Thunder have the extra factor of having lost at home to Sac on 1-4. The final factor imo, and the largest is not just how they lost to gst. but that Curry and the boys did a Soul Train dance line on them at the end. On national television. If they don't want to murder another team after that, stick a fork in them 'cause they are done.
 
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Posted: #2
Think Cousins (knee), Rondo (thumb), happy (shoulders) are all questionable to play 


Risk it for the biscuit
 
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Posted: #3
kings will take an a ss thrusting prison style. 
Good bet.
 
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Posted: #4
So the line is out n is okc -9???? Seems a lot man
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by yorosan:

So the line is out n is okc -9???? Seems a lot man
No that is my number. Not the number I think it should be to get bet at, but the number I make considering all the factors that I believe I know about. If the betting number comes lower I will then bet okc. Now I didn't adjust this line for possible Sac injuries. Or adjust for Billy D being a p u t z. The Kings hate Karl and that evens up for Billy's shortcomings as a pro coach, most notably that he isn't one. I can't see this number coming any lower that eight, but who knows. If I do get eight I will buy them down to 7.5.
 
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Posted: #6
No way the line is -9 even with Rondo out.  Clips were laying -5.5 last game with Rondo out.   Thunder were only -5.5 at pelicans and lost. Line will be -6 tops.  Heck spurs were only  -8 against kings.  Kings can put up points and okc is a terrible defensive team.  Durant is not the same player he was pre injury. 
Mayweather bet 450000 on
 
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Posted: #7
9 is an absurd number.  Shouldn't be higher than 6.  Thunder have Clips and Warriors on tap after going to Sac.  Doubt they will put on the best effort, especially after giving so much against the Warriors.  Durant didn't play in their latest match-up vs the Kings, so I don't put too much stock into revenge factor.  Thunder will sleep walk through this game and get ready for Clips and Warriors games.  If the spread is 9, I am unloading on the Kings, although it won't be.    
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by PapaShango:

9 is an absurd number.  Shouldn't be higher than 6.  Thunder have Clips and Warriors on tap after going to Sac.  Doubt they will put on the best effort, especially after giving so much against the Warriors.  Durant didn't play in their latest match-up vs the Kings, so I don't put too much stock into revenge factor.  Thunder will sleep walk through this game and get ready for Clips and Warriors games.  If the spread is 9, I am unloading on the Kings, although it won't be.    
I hope you are correct.
 
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Posted: #9
It's also pretty alarming you want to lay almost DD on the road after that bad loss.  Thunder are 7-14 ATS as a road favorite this year.  
 
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Posted: #10
I wouldn't be surprised if the Kings pulled this game out.  Last year Thunder went to GS (I know they faced them at home the other night) and lost big.  Then went to Sac as a 7.5 point favorite and lost by 21.  This is not a great spot for the Thunder, especially not being a very good road team this year having to lay a bunch of points.  
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by PapaShango:

It's also pretty alarming you want to lay almost DD on the road after that bad loss.  Thunder are 7-14 ATS as a road favorite this year.  
Listen stupid, you didn't read my OP. Or you didn't understand my other post. Given these two things, I believe you are a moron. You just put up a bunch of things you like with a bunch of numbers. Good for you. I'm not playing in the game and neither are you. Why don't we just wait till it is over , and see who is correct.  I could waste my time and effort trying to defend my positions, but why would I want to wise up a sucker. Stick to handicapping WWE and bumfights, and leave the big boys alone.
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by Want2ride:

Listen stupid, you didn't read my OP. Or you didn't understand my other post. Given these two things, I believe you are a moron. You just put up a bunch of things you like with a bunch of numbers. Good for you. I'm not playing in the game and neither are you. Why don't we just wait till it is over , and see who is correct.  I could waste my time and effort trying to defend my positions, but why would I want to wise up a sucker. Stick to handicapping WWE and bumfights, and leave the big boys alone.

lol right.  The "big boys" lay almost double digits on the road.  You got me, bro.  Good luck laying almost DD on the road with teams and trying to win money.  Works out most of the time.  
 
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Posted: #13
Why do you make a thread and then don't want feedback?  Makes a lot of sense.  You're probably the guy that asks for directions and then walks the other way.  
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by PapaShango:

Why do you make a thread and then don't want feedback?  Makes a lot of sense.  You're probably the guy that asks for directions and then walks the other way.  
Your check will be here on the third, so I guess you can blow off some more time posting here, then when the govt sends you some money you can start betting again.
 
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Posted: #15
I like kings +points tonight. Still yet to fully cap the game, but found that Rondo will be rested. He is 9-5 SU vs westbrook in his career, not sure ats.

I believe there's a good trend out there to fade teams after a warriors game
 
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Posted: #16
I think the Clippers -13 is a solid bet tonight
 
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Posted: #17
So Rudy is out and Rondo game time?
Mayweather bet 450000 on
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by PapaShango:

Why do you make a thread and then don't want feedback?  Makes a lot of sense.  You're probably the guy that asks for directions and then walks the other way.  

 
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Posted: #19
i see the line -9 now.. happy,curry,rondo was not at shootaround according to rotoworld
goodluck im on okc as well
 
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Posted: #20
With the way the Thunder are ATS, I don't think I could take them at even -1. These guys seem to lay an egg quite a bit ATS
 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by DegenerateBets:

With the way the Thunder are ATS, I don't think I could take them at even -1. These guys seem to lay an egg quite a bit ATS
Then strap on a pair and bet something on +9. And, really your post makes no sense at all. If the it were just a matter of looking at how a team does overall ats(and these are covers stats) then you shouldn't even be wasting time posting. You should be out driving your new McClaren and getting road head from a supermodel because you would be so phuqing rich. Christ is there anybody on this that can make a rational reasoned response to my posted number. Please in the future, any who disagree, come up with something that makes sense, not just imbecilic ramblings.
 
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Posted: #22
Hard to know what the mind set will be of the Thunder after the collapse they had.  They could come out flat 1st half and then decide to play 2nd half.  Kings have been blowout at home last 2 games so their will be some urgency form their end. 
Mayweather bet 450000 on
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by Want2ride:

Your check will be here on the third, so I guess you can blow off some more time posting here, then when the govt sends you some money you can start betting again.


You think a jab on the internet by a total stranger is really going to hurt my feelings?  You started a thread and want 0 feedback.  I hope the Kings win outright tonight.  
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by PapaShang


You think a jab on the internet by a total stranger is really going to hurt my feelings?  You started a thread and want 0 feedback.  I hope the Kings win outright tonight.  
[/Quote:

So basically what you are saying is you wont have any money to bet until the third.
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

Hard to know what the mind set will be of the Thunder after the collapse they had.  They could come out flat 1st half and then decide to play 2nd half.  Kings have been blowout at home last 2 games so their will be some urgency form their end. 
If you want surety try to find a book thats giving odds on what direction the sun will rise in the morning. Hint: lay all you can on the east. Otherwise you just have to put up your money and take your chances.
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