Only 4 out 19 game 7’s have the road dog won the championship. As recent as 2016, where GS ramped up the best record in NBA history, but ultimately lost at home to Cleveland. As I have said in previous posts, momentum does matter. Cleveland came back down 3-1. In 1978, Bullets won double digits at Washington game 6 to force a game 7, where they won at Seattle.
OKC best record regular season tied for 6 in NBA history. Most DD wins etc. OKC solid 6-0 after a loss SU during playoffs. Indy has won every road game 1 every series this playoffs. I have said regular season champs don’t always equate to NBA champs as we saw in 2016.
Why INDY covers:
Carlisle adjusting by defending SGA with different angles and stressing more half-court defense vs full court. Force SGA to dribble into a turnover which we saw quite a bit game 6.
Offensively, having Haliburton and TJ both playing the same time created more offensive opportunities for the team. We saw more of that in game 6 that help open the game up. Nembhard is a solid 2 guard with defense. TJ is no joke playing defense either.
Bench scoring- Indy had the edge last game, I expect it once again. I would like to see Furphy get some minutes where it matters. Furphy is not afraid of driving to the bucket or shoot the 3.
More controls will be in place to keep this game under. Time outs after runs. Coaches will control this game from getting to DD from either side. I expect a varience of 6 points at most points during the game, not 10-14 like we have seen in previous games.
Trying to keep this simple and short:
Indiana +9(-115)3x opening line
+7.5(2x)
UNDER 215(2x)
PARLAY Indy ML 244/Under 215(1.5x) 750 wins 4175
Futures:
700 wins 6900-1800=5.1 net(I thought about hedging...really.)
100/50000 McConnell NBA finals MVP
As always BOL It's been a great season all laying it all out tonight.
Dodgers +310/Astros +1100
1
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
On a 13-2 FG run.
Game 7 finals historical points:
Only 4 out 19 game 7’s have the road dog won the championship. As recent as 2016, where GS ramped up the best record in NBA history, but ultimately lost at home to Cleveland. As I have said in previous posts, momentum does matter. Cleveland came back down 3-1. In 1978, Bullets won double digits at Washington game 6 to force a game 7, where they won at Seattle.
OKC best record regular season tied for 6 in NBA history. Most DD wins etc. OKC solid 6-0 after a loss SU during playoffs. Indy has won every road game 1 every series this playoffs. I have said regular season champs don’t always equate to NBA champs as we saw in 2016.
Why INDY covers:
Carlisle adjusting by defending SGA with different angles and stressing more half-court defense vs full court. Force SGA to dribble into a turnover which we saw quite a bit game 6.
Offensively, having Haliburton and TJ both playing the same time created more offensive opportunities for the team. We saw more of that in game 6 that help open the game up. Nembhard is a solid 2 guard with defense. TJ is no joke playing defense either.
Bench scoring- Indy had the edge last game, I expect it once again. I would like to see Furphy get some minutes where it matters. Furphy is not afraid of driving to the bucket or shoot the 3.
More controls will be in place to keep this game under. Time outs after runs. Coaches will control this game from getting to DD from either side. I expect a varience of 6 points at most points during the game, not 10-14 like we have seen in previous games.
Trying to keep this simple and short:
Indiana +9(-115)3x opening line
+7.5(2x)
UNDER 215(2x)
PARLAY Indy ML 244/Under 215(1.5x) 750 wins 4175
Futures:
700 wins 6900-1800=5.1 net(I thought about hedging...really.)
100/50000 McConnell NBA finals MVP
As always BOL It's been a great season all laying it all out tonight.
TJ went hard! Respect you brother even when I lose opposite you happy for you to win because you’re a class act. Appreciate your threads and analyses. Take it easy, until next time
1
@tweets50
TJ went hard! Respect you brother even when I lose opposite you happy for you to win because you’re a class act. Appreciate your threads and analyses. Take it easy, until next time
Regarding ticket and money %s, irrespective of the specific books Action Network uses for their data, I believe its the same data used by spotsbettingdime for one simple reason: The spread ticket % numbers on AN (the only thing they show nonsubscibers) are exactly the same as the spread ticket %s shown on sportsbetting dime (at worst a 1% difference, perhaps one is real time and the other isnt?).
The thing that surprised me is that on SBD, I saw ticket AND money %s on the over holding in the upper 80's, and closed, I believe, right at or near 90%! Are those the numbers you saw on Action Network for the o/u?
0
@tweets50
Nice run!
Regarding ticket and money %s, irrespective of the specific books Action Network uses for their data, I believe its the same data used by spotsbettingdime for one simple reason: The spread ticket % numbers on AN (the only thing they show nonsubscibers) are exactly the same as the spread ticket %s shown on sportsbetting dime (at worst a 1% difference, perhaps one is real time and the other isnt?).
The thing that surprised me is that on SBD, I saw ticket AND money %s on the over holding in the upper 80's, and closed, I believe, right at or near 90%! Are those the numbers you saw on Action Network for the o/u?
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