Pretty lucky with my bet yesterday. Sac/orl scored 8 points in the last 4.5 minutes to keep it under. Those "moose plays" tend to even out in the long run.
Seen someone asked why I started betting totals. I always have, just not as much. It depends on the time of the season and where I perceive value. 4-2 on totals and 4-3 on sides.
Today's plays;
gstate @ lakers +10.5 (4u, -110)
I paid a full -110 line! I expect this to drop to 9.5 by game time, even with the public likely pounding gstate (depening what they do in okc tonight). Few angles on this one, general rule; always bet home teams of +10 or more. Next; motivation. Draymond had some nice quotes about how they want to win for durant. Westbrook and the thunder will be at 126% effort, I see No way the warriors come out near 100% tomorrow. Add to this the fact that the lakers look downright decent and are coming home after a 4 game roadtrip.
Hopefully okc/gstate comes down to the wire, or better yet, goes to OT.
Few other games I really like, might add one more in a few hours.
Good luck,
CT
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
ytd 8-5
yesterday 1-0
Pretty lucky with my bet yesterday. Sac/orl scored 8 points in the last 4.5 minutes to keep it under. Those "moose plays" tend to even out in the long run.
Seen someone asked why I started betting totals. I always have, just not as much. It depends on the time of the season and where I perceive value. 4-2 on totals and 4-3 on sides.
Today's plays;
gstate @ lakers +10.5 (4u, -110)
I paid a full -110 line! I expect this to drop to 9.5 by game time, even with the public likely pounding gstate (depening what they do in okc tonight). Few angles on this one, general rule; always bet home teams of +10 or more. Next; motivation. Draymond had some nice quotes about how they want to win for durant. Westbrook and the thunder will be at 126% effort, I see No way the warriors come out near 100% tomorrow. Add to this the fact that the lakers look downright decent and are coming home after a 4 game roadtrip.
Hopefully okc/gstate comes down to the wire, or better yet, goes to OT.
Few other games I really like, might add one more in a few hours.
Edit; the line is off the board. I like it down to +10, not enough value at 9.5. If gstate walks away with it thursday and starters get low minutes, it might even go to +11.
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Edit; the line is off the board. I like it down to +10, not enough value at 9.5. If gstate walks away with it thursday and starters get low minutes, it might even go to +11.
Tailing you tomorrow mate. Like your angles for this. Just wish Thunder were pushing warriors a little harder or they may rest up and start shifting their focus earlier than would have hoped. Hopefully Walton knows the weakness of the warriors and exposes it. Go LAL
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Tailing you tomorrow mate. Like your angles for this. Just wish Thunder were pushing warriors a little harder or they may rest up and start shifting their focus earlier than would have hoped. Hopefully Walton knows the weakness of the warriors and exposes it. Go LAL
Feel we missed a trick big time on the Nets at home after being humiliated by the Bulls the other day. They are still a good number at home again today. So they fall into the category of playing harder without their big name? Or the category of being an inept team without him?
GL....
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You still like them after the GSW stroll?
Feel we missed a trick big time on the Nets at home after being humiliated by the Bulls the other day. They are still a good number at home again today. So they fall into the category of playing harder without their big name? Or the category of being an inept team without him?
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