Posted:
#1
2-4 Monday. Lost all close games with the Cats, Mavs and Bulls. I don't know who to hate. Noah/Deng for missing those FTs or George Karl who drew up a quick 2 with 1 sec left. LOL. Or me for not taking the ML route. That's 5-6 for the week. Looks like it's going to be a long grind.
I'm getting a close game vibe in the game between CLE@NJN. The 2-0 start for them was a thing of a past now going 0-4 right away. I don't blame them. They went twice over Miami and one time against Orlando. The only other winnable game is that Charlotte game which they let the Cats back in and win in the final quarter. They should've been 3-3 at best. Talking about 3-3, Cleveland only had two decent games against Atlanta and maybe count the Sactotown who started hot. Other than that, they weren't impressive against the bottom feeders themselves. The two day break should give a lot of time for Avery to do something about Lopez going 14-50 in FG the last 3 games. Look for Devin Harris to continue leading the team and hopefully get some real contribution from Morrow who looked like the man he was before in the game against Miami. Cavs has things going for them as well. MoWill has been their man winning 2 games in all 3 that he suited up. Plus the two game momentum should help their mindset. My play here is the Nets -2.5 over the Cavs. Nets plays the Cavs pretty well during the LeBron era. The main reason is that Brook Lopez seem to enjoy his time in the paint and has always grabbed around 12 or more boards against them last season. As for the total, I'm calling an UNDER here. Cleveland can score and will let the Nets score but I think the best they could do is to get 90 points. I'm seeing an 89-94 type of win here for the Nets.
10 points is too much if you put it against a team that everyone wants to beat. Utah is a team that doesn't really had much success on the road as to how they can fare at home. The Super Friends on the other hand feeds off the crowd and definitely perform better when they get it going. Thing here is that the Heat hasn't really had anyone to play them well at home. Orlando was a no-show and I only count NBA teams so I didn't bother with Sota and Jersey. LOL. Anyway, what I noticed is that the Heat struggles against a well organized system and more so when it's run by an exceptional point guard. That's why they lost to Boston and New Orleans and that's why I can't wait for them to play Boston again and Chicago. Utah has those set and Deron can definitely do what Rondo and Chris did. I'm playing the Heat -10.0 and anything more than that is a pass. I think the Jazz is missing Okur and Korver more than anything else. Their outside shooting help the Jazz free some space in the paint and not one in the roster is capable of doing so (Bell and Andre isn't really an offensive threat).
I don't know what's wrong with the Bucks at the moment but I guess everyone noticed and made precautions when they face the Deers. I'm still guessing that they took a lot of teams by surprise last year or maybe because they don't have the offense they had last year. At the moment, they rank last in offensive efficiency good thing Skiles have them playing defense to the tooth. Against, a streaky team like the Knicks they'll have a lot of problems if they don't get their offense going. Take the Knicks plus the points (+4.5) since I'm pretty confident it may be a low scoring game that will go down the wire. As for the total, I'm liking the UNDER but not getting any. Knicks is surprisingly 2-4 O/U because they finally learned the foreign idea of defense and slowly incorporating it in their system. Also, having a really PG in Felton gives a little balance whenever the pace of the game goes erratic.
Pistons looked alive the last two games and is surprisingly 5-2 ATS at the moment. I had Portland written up but decided to go with the Pistons +10.5 instead. The only reason is that it's a tad too many points. If the line was at 6 or 7 then I'd run myself crazy whether which team to pick. Last season, or even the last 10 games between the two teams, Detroit is always within covering range of 10 points. Not that it matters anyway since some games are well 5 years ago. Anyway, the only thing lacking in Detroit is maybe the attitude to maintain a lead and finish the game. This is perhaps due to the lack of a real point guard who'll run the Pistons offense. In almost all their games, the Pistons is either riding a big lead or controlling the pace of the game until they let the game level in the last quarter. Also, getting the 10 points for the game presents the idea of getting a good 2nd Half options just in case they catch the Blazers by surprise. I see the Pistons matching well again and giving up in the latter quarter but just the right amount to still cover the game.
Luke Ridnour is questionable in this game. I think he might miss this one and play in Sacramento instead (still waiting for the news here) but regardless. I think the Lakers beat them by 200 points here so taking the Lakers -17.0. What's scary is that they will let them back in the second half if they are leading by a huge number. It's also a good thing to keep on riding the Lakers while they appear to be peaking this early in the season.
What do you think fellas?
BOL.
I'm getting a close game vibe in the game between CLE@NJN. The 2-0 start for them was a thing of a past now going 0-4 right away. I don't blame them. They went twice over Miami and one time against Orlando. The only other winnable game is that Charlotte game which they let the Cats back in and win in the final quarter. They should've been 3-3 at best. Talking about 3-3, Cleveland only had two decent games against Atlanta and maybe count the Sactotown who started hot. Other than that, they weren't impressive against the bottom feeders themselves. The two day break should give a lot of time for Avery to do something about Lopez going 14-50 in FG the last 3 games. Look for Devin Harris to continue leading the team and hopefully get some real contribution from Morrow who looked like the man he was before in the game against Miami. Cavs has things going for them as well. MoWill has been their man winning 2 games in all 3 that he suited up. Plus the two game momentum should help their mindset. My play here is the Nets -2.5 over the Cavs. Nets plays the Cavs pretty well during the LeBron era. The main reason is that Brook Lopez seem to enjoy his time in the paint and has always grabbed around 12 or more boards against them last season. As for the total, I'm calling an UNDER here. Cleveland can score and will let the Nets score but I think the best they could do is to get 90 points. I'm seeing an 89-94 type of win here for the Nets.
10 points is too much if you put it against a team that everyone wants to beat. Utah is a team that doesn't really had much success on the road as to how they can fare at home. The Super Friends on the other hand feeds off the crowd and definitely perform better when they get it going. Thing here is that the Heat hasn't really had anyone to play them well at home. Orlando was a no-show and I only count NBA teams so I didn't bother with Sota and Jersey. LOL. Anyway, what I noticed is that the Heat struggles against a well organized system and more so when it's run by an exceptional point guard. That's why they lost to Boston and New Orleans and that's why I can't wait for them to play Boston again and Chicago. Utah has those set and Deron can definitely do what Rondo and Chris did. I'm playing the Heat -10.0 and anything more than that is a pass. I think the Jazz is missing Okur and Korver more than anything else. Their outside shooting help the Jazz free some space in the paint and not one in the roster is capable of doing so (Bell and Andre isn't really an offensive threat).
I don't know what's wrong with the Bucks at the moment but I guess everyone noticed and made precautions when they face the Deers. I'm still guessing that they took a lot of teams by surprise last year or maybe because they don't have the offense they had last year. At the moment, they rank last in offensive efficiency good thing Skiles have them playing defense to the tooth. Against, a streaky team like the Knicks they'll have a lot of problems if they don't get their offense going. Take the Knicks plus the points (+4.5) since I'm pretty confident it may be a low scoring game that will go down the wire. As for the total, I'm liking the UNDER but not getting any. Knicks is surprisingly 2-4 O/U because they finally learned the foreign idea of defense and slowly incorporating it in their system. Also, having a really PG in Felton gives a little balance whenever the pace of the game goes erratic.
Pistons looked alive the last two games and is surprisingly 5-2 ATS at the moment. I had Portland written up but decided to go with the Pistons +10.5 instead. The only reason is that it's a tad too many points. If the line was at 6 or 7 then I'd run myself crazy whether which team to pick. Last season, or even the last 10 games between the two teams, Detroit is always within covering range of 10 points. Not that it matters anyway since some games are well 5 years ago. Anyway, the only thing lacking in Detroit is maybe the attitude to maintain a lead and finish the game. This is perhaps due to the lack of a real point guard who'll run the Pistons offense. In almost all their games, the Pistons is either riding a big lead or controlling the pace of the game until they let the game level in the last quarter. Also, getting the 10 points for the game presents the idea of getting a good 2nd Half options just in case they catch the Blazers by surprise. I see the Pistons matching well again and giving up in the latter quarter but just the right amount to still cover the game.
Luke Ridnour is questionable in this game. I think he might miss this one and play in Sacramento instead (still waiting for the news here) but regardless. I think the Lakers beat them by 200 points here so taking the Lakers -17.0. What's scary is that they will let them back in the second half if they are leading by a huge number. It's also a good thing to keep on riding the Lakers while they appear to be peaking this early in the season.
What do you think fellas?
BOL.
0
,,,Let's get it back tonight....
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