CrazyMilkMan's NBA Playoff Wednesday

I think the revenge factor is overplayed in sports.  Miami doesnt care if they cover your 12.5 pt bet they just know they need to win the game.  I do agree that miami will win by more than 12 however.  I think the smartest play in that game is the over.  All the refs have avg. of at least 193 pts a game this year some more and your getting the hook at 186.5.  Im laying off miami and playing over.  Miami is also averaging 102 pts a game at home this year.  Bulls avg. 92 on the road.  Total should be 195 in my opinion.

Havn't looked at gs game yet.  30th in the playoff contest, 41-22 playoffs. 

In the golden state game im playing gs +7.  Gs is 7-0 ats in the playoffs.  Yes the spurs are 5-1 and have a history of being very good ats in the playoff i am aware.  Teams who have blown a lead of 15 or more in the fourth quarter in the playoffs are 3-0 the next game.  I understand gs has a history of blowing games in the 4th qtr this year which is why i am taking the pts.  Gs is also 4-1-1 last six meetings ats vs the spurs.  Bennie Adams who is main ref in game home fave of 5-9 pts are 6-12 in his games this year.

Agree on the over.  The over is an easy play.  The line the first game should of been at least 212 and stilll a lot of value at 204.  Gs is giving up 103 pts a game on the road.  They don't play much if any d and this will be another up and down game.  Over is 5-1 last six in sa.  Over is 4-1 gs last 5 after allowing 125 or more previous game. 

Playing over 186.5 bulls

Gs +7

Gs Sa over 204.5

I think miami will win but im not giving up 12.5. Staying away from miami bulls ats.  Gl