Posted:
#801
Wilson 111-129-0 ...would be perfect fade material all yr long if he went 11-129-0 ... i'd own just as many properties an women as B Dbag
0
6-0 posted plays... Reverse line moves
Posted:
#802
i did see some action on those games early in tne day ridibits, but with everyone and their mother bashing my picks if they don't match their own rlm picks, i'm reluctant to post those types of moves. if you check out pages 29-31 you'll see what i mean.
also i thought the memphis line had more to do with cp3 being out and not pushing the pace. i saw charlotte as a possible play, but i hate betting against my celtics
0
Posted:
#804
Quote Originally Posted by FadeAndLay4:
I'll do my best to explain and I will try to post some plays if I have time, not sure of you can follow me but I will do my best to help. Here's a list or rules for the angle.
1. Never go all in, this angle will win in the long run and be profitable.
2. Check Trends, if anyone is over 80% move on to Top Bets
3. If team A(80%+) is in the top 10, and Team B (20%-) is outside top 10 move on.
4. Check the line history, if the line holds or RLM then we follow.
5. Lastly lets check the Moneyline on small spreads, if there is not overwhelming support for Team B, the angle had been set and Vegas is reeling in squares.
6. Lastly about a half hour before game starts lets double check all numbers to ensure nothing changed.
7. Lock in on Team B and fade the public wisely.
Final note... Understand most of these games you will question the pick... It may seem so stupid but in the end... It cashes. I'll try my beet to keep up with this forum. Good luck folks.
I'll do my best to explain and I will try to post some plays if I have time, not sure of you can follow me but I will do my best to help. Here's a list or rules for the angle.
1. Never go all in, this angle will win in the long run and be profitable.
2. Check Trends, if anyone is over 80% move on to Top Bets
3. If team A(80%+) is in the top 10, and Team B (20%-) is outside top 10 move on.
4. Check the line history, if the line holds or RLM then we follow.
5. Lastly lets check the Moneyline on small spreads, if there is not overwhelming support for Team B, the angle had been set and Vegas is reeling in squares.
6. Lastly about a half hour before game starts lets double check all numbers to ensure nothing changed.
7. Lock in on Team B and fade the public wisely.
Final note... Understand most of these games you will question the pick... It may seem so stupid but in the end... It cashes. I'll try my beet to keep up with this forum. Good luck folks.
Trinni I really love your thread, thanks for the time and effort. Fade, I have a question on your above post. For number 3, I am assuming this means if the B team (Non Public) is outside the top 10 plays, we move on, meaning we continue to pursue this as a play. Just want to make sure you did not mean move on as in "not bet it."
Trinni, I downloaded the S & O app, and would like to learn to spot these on my own. So, looking at today so far, I see the following:
86% on IND over CHA Line Move -8 -105 to -8 -110
71% on BKN over TOR Line Move -7 100 to -7 -110
75% on LAK over MIL Line Move -6.5 to -6
So to me, it looks like MIL would be the strongest RLM play. Lakers listed as #4 of top 10 plays as well.
And how about this one?
65% on PHI over NOH Line Move -3.5 -105 to -3 even.
So again, higher percentage on PHI, but line moves in there favor. Would you look at NOH as a possible play even with only 65% on PHI? PHI listed as top number 1 play as well.
Thanks in advance for any and all help.
0
Posted:
#806
thatnks for following lmac... the indy, brooklyn stats you have listed are no where near enough for me to call it a pick. a little juice movement isn't enough. some people play lines that never even move if the percentages are enough... i'm still testing out those out on the side...
lakers and hornets games are looking good for now, don't want to call them too early though
0
Posted:
#815
I appreciate the sharing and talking of plays in this thread bear in mind im not against u trini i think you are a decent guy.we see rlm differently thats fine im not gonna bash u feel free to post whatever plays u want. i think you should encourage sharing more tho. The more people that post the better. gl
0
Posted:
#818
Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:
yes jmac, i would be on mil... but lakers have been killing me in rlm plays... maybe too much hollywood money, not sharp money... not sure
yes jmac, i would be on mil... but lakers have been killing me in rlm plays... maybe too much hollywood money, not sharp money... not sure
i went and pulled the trig. im chasing my loss from the last RLM on the lakers. they gotta lose sometime or another right? mil is 11-6 away ATS vs lakers 9-11 home ATS.
0
Hot Forum Topics
