Posted:
#776
for those that want to apply this theory, the scores and odds app also give you the top 10 bets of the day
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6-0 posted plays... Reverse line moves
Posted:
#777
don't you think this game is similar to Suns matchup the other night? this line & total fit 100% when Pacers were at charlotte, they lost. however, Pacers are perfect after they lost by 10 pts or more, 6-0 in ATS record this season. still thinking, maybe total can be good, leaning OVER hilariosly. still have time to think & check this line.
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Posted:
#779
Good stuff Fade. My favorite bet is when a bet seems too good to be true and everyone calls it a gift. Then you still get Rlm. The squares don't stand a chance. Now they are going against Vegas and the pros. I don't know my stats on that but I bet I've hit over 80 percent in those scenarios as well
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Posted:
#780
FadeAndLay4
What do you mean exactly with the top 10 bets? For instance, right now Philly has 74% and the line has gone from -4 to -3 and they are #1 on top ten 10 bets and Hornets isn't even on it. Should I play Hornets then and probably improve the 84% percent hit rate? :) OR do you mean I should the opposite, that I should stay away from the match?
What do you mean exactly with the top 10 bets? For instance, right now Philly has 74% and the line has gone from -4 to -3 and they are #1 on top ten 10 bets and Hornets isn't even on it. Should I play Hornets then and probably improve the 84% percent hit rate? :) OR do you mean I should the opposite, that I should stay away from the match?
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Posted:
#785
I'll do my best to explain and I will try to post some plays if I have time, not sure of you can follow me but I will do my best to help. Here's a list or rules for the angle.
1. Never go all in, this angle will win in the long run and be profitable.
2. Check Trends, if anyone is over 80% move on to Top Bets
3. If team A(80%+) is in the top 10, and Team B (20%-) is outside top 10 move on.
4. Check the line history, if the line holds or RLM then we follow.
5. Lastly lets check the Moneyline on small spreads, if there is not overwhelming support for Team B, the angle had been set and Vegas is reeling in squares.
6. Lastly about a half hour before game starts lets double check all numbers to ensure nothing changed.
7. Lock in on Team B and fade the public wisely.
Final note... Understand most of these games you will question the pick... It may seem so stupid but in the end... It cashes. I'll try my beet to keep up with this forum. Good luck folks.
1. Never go all in, this angle will win in the long run and be profitable.
2. Check Trends, if anyone is over 80% move on to Top Bets
3. If team A(80%+) is in the top 10, and Team B (20%-) is outside top 10 move on.
4. Check the line history, if the line holds or RLM then we follow.
5. Lastly lets check the Moneyline on small spreads, if there is not overwhelming support for Team B, the angle had been set and Vegas is reeling in squares.
6. Lastly about a half hour before game starts lets double check all numbers to ensure nothing changed.
7. Lock in on Team B and fade the public wisely.
Final note... Understand most of these games you will question the pick... It may seem so stupid but in the end... It cashes. I'll try my beet to keep up with this forum. Good luck folks.
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Posted:
#790
Quote Originally Posted by rosshuff:
Freak SOMETIMES....They do WORK for Vegas....It's so obvious it makes my head spin. How can this be allowed??? Lots of money.....
I have no clue but some inclination for sure ...that's the reason I haven't watched NFL live in 2 years or even gameday etc on the NFL network - I've gotten swayed too often that I just stay away .. i've found it much better to just listen to sports radio...and take it w/ a grain of salt.
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Posted:
#797
Quote Originally Posted by BiggDoug:
ESPN works for Vegas? Mu ha ha ha.....Tryin to talk you into bettin the under..Mu ha ha..
Cause "Vegas" only wins when you lose right? Mu ha ha ha....Its like talking baseball with people that dont know where first base is..
Wow
ESPN works for Vegas? Mu ha ha ha.....Tryin to talk you into bettin the under..Mu ha ha..
Cause "Vegas" only wins when you lose right? Mu ha ha ha....Its like talking baseball with people that dont know where first base is..
Wow
id hate to admit it but i kind of agree with big doug on this one 
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Posted:
#799
It kinda surpises me...not really... that all this talking head 'football experts' bomb so badly w/ their picks......did Chris Berman even have a winning record? SU? ... it's not safe to reason that their is some kind on 'influence' into their 'expert' picks?
just saying... it's a fair question... almost as bad as covers 'experts'
Pete Prisco - 115-125-0 ATS
Clark Judge 117-123-0 ATS
Dave Richard 118-122-0 ATS
Ryan Wilson 11-129-0 ATS ...
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