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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    6-0 posted plays... Reverse line moves

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    CMonet
    RichieRich97
    PureHoppiness
    baylor237
    Docdulac
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    CMonet
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 4:22 PM ET #826

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    RichieRich97
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 5:13 PM ET #827

    Hey Mike no players listed as injured for Creighton. I think N Iowa is a good play
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    Hey Mike no players listed as injured for Creighton. I think N Iowa is a good play
     
    PureHoppiness
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 5:21 PM ET #828

    Creighton has been crushing teams and spreads lately. The RLM looks intriguing on the game for N. Iowa but be very scared to bet against Creighton right now. Interested to see nropps insight on this game if he has any when he posts his write up for tn
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    Creighton has been crushing teams and spreads lately. The RLM looks intriguing on the game for N. Iowa but be very scared to bet against Creighton right now. Interested to see nropps insight on this game if he has any when he posts his write up for tn
     
    baylor237
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 5:34 PM ET #829

    Agree with you. Obvious RLM but dangerous to go against creighton . Will see if Neil weighs in.
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    Agree with you. Obvious RLM but dangerous to go against creighton . Will see if Neil weighs in.
     
    Docdulac
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 5:39 PM ET #830

    Quote Originally Posted by usikbasterd:

    LOL chill big dog...dont channel ur anger towards me! i aint do nuffin

    u need hot tub time machine to relive ur glory days back in '94...u probably had a full head of hair then


    That is Quote of the FREAKIN Week!

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    Quote Originally Posted by usikbasterd:

    LOL chill big dog...dont channel ur anger towards me! i aint do nuffin

    u need hot tub time machine to relive ur glory days back in '94...u probably had a full head of hair then


    That is Quote of the FREAKIN Week!

     
    Docdulac
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 5:44 PM ET #831

    BTFW ... Creighton ATS 12-3, gone from 13 to 11 vs N Iowa.
    Still like Creighton in a blow out 18 point win....IMHO
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    BTFW ... Creighton ATS 12-3, gone from 13 to 11 vs N Iowa.
    Still like Creighton in a blow out 18 point win....IMHO
     
    TriniMike
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 5:47 PM ET #832

    Okay fellas, some good conversations today, I learned a few new tricks that I'll be testing out on my own(off the thread) before I implement them in my RLM picks. Here are my 2 picks for today:

    Charlotte bobcats +8 1.5 Units (7.5 in some places, still a play)

    Northern Iowa +11 CBB

    I also like for personal plays:
    Toronto Raptors +7, even though the line didn't move... not sure if you can have reverse LINE MOVEMENT without a line move.

    Houston Rockets -3, Not a huge % on either side, but large line move, could be because of cp3

    I think there's value in Bucks +6 and Denver -9, but I can't trust the Lakers games anymore... Just putting it out there in case you guys want a lean...

    Follow, Fade or Ignore, It's all good... BOL all


    15-7-1 in all posted picks beggining the day, 2 picks in play...

    Looking forward to a good night... let the bashing begin...LOL  





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    Okay fellas, some good conversations today, I learned a few new tricks that I'll be testing out on my own(off the thread) before I implement them in my RLM picks. Here are my 2 picks for today:

    Charlotte bobcats +8 1.5 Units (7.5 in some places, still a play)

    Northern Iowa +11 CBB

    I also like for personal plays:
    Toronto Raptors +7, even though the line didn't move... not sure if you can have reverse LINE MOVEMENT without a line move.

    Houston Rockets -3, Not a huge % on either side, but large line move, could be because of cp3

    I think there's value in Bucks +6 and Denver -9, but I can't trust the Lakers games anymore... Just putting it out there in case you guys want a lean...

    Follow, Fade or Ignore, It's all good... BOL all


    15-7-1 in all posted picks beggining the day, 2 picks in play...

    Looking forward to a good night... let the bashing begin...LOL  





     
    TriniMike
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 5:49 PM ET #833

    Ouch... Just posted N Iowa as a pick, then read the posts before my picks came out  ... Wish me luck 
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    Ouch... Just posted N Iowa as a pick, then read the posts before my picks came out  ... Wish me luck 
     
    composite
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 5:49 PM ET #834

    Quote Originally Posted by Docdulac:

    BTFW ... Creighton ATS 12-3, gone from 13 to 11 vs N Iowa.
    Still like Creighton in a blow out 18 point win....IMHO

    80% of bettors on Creighton.  Line drops from 13 to 11.  This is classic RLM.  Bookies don't donate $$.  Take N. Iowa.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Docdulac:

    BTFW ... Creighton ATS 12-3, gone from 13 to 11 vs N Iowa.
    Still like Creighton in a blow out 18 point win....IMHO

    80% of bettors on Creighton.  Line drops from 13 to 11.  This is classic RLM.  Bookies don't donate $$.  Take N. Iowa.

     
    composite
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 5:53 PM ET #835

    Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

    Ouch... Just posted N Iowa as a pick, then read the posts before my picks came out  ... Wish me luck 

    What posts bother you about N Iowa as a pick?

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    Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

    Ouch... Just posted N Iowa as a pick, then read the posts before my picks came out  ... Wish me luck 

    What posts bother you about N Iowa as a pick?

     
    nuggins
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 5:59 PM ET #836

    BOL Mike... 
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    BOL Mike... 
     
    playing4mylife
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 5:59 PM ET #837

    Any thoughts on the Rockets total? Opened at 206, went to 206.5/207 and now back down to 206. Reverse line movement? Majority of the people are on the over.
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    Any thoughts on the Rockets total? Opened at 206, went to 206.5/207 and now back down to 206. Reverse line movement? Majority of the people are on the over.
     
    Ulwen
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 6:08 PM ET #838

    lots of juice going in on hornets - 76 U, started at 184 and has dropped to 182,5/182 with 61% betting over...
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    lots of juice going in on hornets - 76 U, started at 184 and has dropped to 182,5/182 with 61% betting over...
     
    composite
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 6:08 PM ET #839

    Quote Originally Posted by PureHoppiness:

    Creighton has been crushing teams and spreads lately. The RLM looks intriguing on the game for N. Iowa but be very scared to bet against Creighton right now. Interested to see nropps insight on this game if he has any when he posts his write up for tn

    nropp leans N Iowa.

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    Quote Originally Posted by PureHoppiness:

    Creighton has been crushing teams and spreads lately. The RLM looks intriguing on the game for N. Iowa but be very scared to bet against Creighton right now. Interested to see nropps insight on this game if he has any when he posts his write up for tn

    nropp leans N Iowa.

     
    twodigitz
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 6:11 PM ET #840

    Quote Originally Posted by PureHoppiness:

    Creighton has been crushing teams and spreads lately. The RLM looks intriguing on the game for N. Iowa but be very scared to bet against Creighton right now. Interested to see nropps insight on this game if he has any when he posts his write up for tn


    Neil(Nropp) has n.iowa as a lean at +11.
    I had this last night at +13...I do think this is great spot for n.iowa and I sprinkled a lil on the ML.
    I know it seems scary on paper but scared money=no money...BOL on whatever u decide to do.

    love the thread TriniMike!
    this is just my opinion on your personal play so take it for a grain of salt.
    houston is not a good play today, if u want to play houston this week, u should look for them on friday vs the pacers. if u want to bet them today, I advise the under.

    Also here are some FISHY line tennis plays today that I spotted, dont go crazy on them but I got 3 mens singles matches and 2 women singles matches that look very interesting.
    I will play the 3 men singles for very small and the 2 women singles even smaller.
    they are: F. Lopez, X. Malisse, and R. Bautista Agut for the men
    K.Flipkens and Kr. Pliskova for the womens


    BOL today sir!!
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    Quote Originally Posted by PureHoppiness:

    Creighton has been crushing teams and spreads lately. The RLM looks intriguing on the game for N. Iowa but be very scared to bet against Creighton right now. Interested to see nropps insight on this game if he has any when he posts his write up for tn


    Neil(Nropp) has n.iowa as a lean at +11.
    I had this last night at +13...I do think this is great spot for n.iowa and I sprinkled a lil on the ML.
    I know it seems scary on paper but scared money=no money...BOL on whatever u decide to do.

    love the thread TriniMike!
    this is just my opinion on your personal play so take it for a grain of salt.
    houston is not a good play today, if u want to play houston this week, u should look for them on friday vs the pacers. if u want to bet them today, I advise the under.

    Also here are some FISHY line tennis plays today that I spotted, dont go crazy on them but I got 3 mens singles matches and 2 women singles matches that look very interesting.
    I will play the 3 men singles for very small and the 2 women singles even smaller.
    they are: F. Lopez, X. Malisse, and R. Bautista Agut for the men
    K.Flipkens and Kr. Pliskova for the womens


    BOL today sir!!
     
    RichieRich97
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 6:12 PM ET #841

    Good Luck Mike! I'm with you on N Iowa, Charlotte,and bucks. I also like New Orleans. Don't worry about n Iowa pick. These head scratchers are hard to pick but usually hit the most. Lets do this! 
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    Good Luck Mike! I'm with you on N Iowa, Charlotte,and bucks. I also like New Orleans. Don't worry about n Iowa pick. These head scratchers are hard to pick but usually hit the most. Lets do this! 
     
    CMonet
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 6:13 PM ET #842

    whos nropp?
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    whos nropp?
     
    CMonet
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 6:14 PM ET #843

    whos nropp?
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    whos nropp?
     
    Docdulac
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 6:14 PM ET #844

    Creighton near the top of ATS winners, remember last year it was New Mex and S Dakota,the store will try to move this line to play into the RLM theory. Still could be sharps!?! We will see!

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    Creighton near the top of ATS winners, remember last year it was New Mex and S Dakota,the store will try to move this line to play into the RLM theory. Still could be sharps!?! We will see!

     
    FritoLay
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 6:16 PM ET #845

    Where do you get the information about who is betting what the percentages on over or under per say?

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    Where do you get the information about who is betting what the percentages on over or under per say?

     
    FadeAndLay4
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 6:17 PM ET #846

    Sorry for the language ... When I say move on that means its still good. DO NOT PASS ON BET. To the question asked about how many times will it exceed 80%... I really haven't paid much attention, you must stay patient and when opportunity arises, put a couple units on it, nothing crazy but more than the average bet. Also these bets rarely occur for the "big games" but will happen midweek. Also forgot to clarify about the top 10 bet ordeal... If there are big events... NFL Playoffs, Final 4, those type events ... I tend to go a little past 10 because of the influx in people gambling on those events. I'll keep posting what I see and try to answer more questions. Good Thread
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    Sorry for the language ... When I say move on that means its still good. DO NOT PASS ON BET. To the question asked about how many times will it exceed 80%... I really haven't paid much attention, you must stay patient and when opportunity arises, put a couple units on it, nothing crazy but more than the average bet. Also these bets rarely occur for the "big games" but will happen midweek. Also forgot to clarify about the top 10 bet ordeal... If there are big events... NFL Playoffs, Final 4, those type events ... I tend to go a little past 10 because of the influx in people gambling on those events. I'll keep posting what I see and try to answer more questions. Good Thread
     
    Da_Shouta
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 6:17 PM ET #847

    Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

    Okay fellas, some good conversations today, I learned a few new tricks that I'll be testing out on my own(off the thread) before I implement them in my RLM picks. Here are my 2 picks for today:

    Charlotte bobcats +8 1.5 Units (7.5 in some places, still a play)

    Northern Iowa +11 CBB

    I also like for personal plays:
    Toronto Raptors +7, even though the line didn't move... not sure if you can have reverse LINE MOVEMENT without a line move.

    Houston Rockets -3, Not a huge % on either side, but large line move, could be because of cp3

    I think there's value in Bucks +6 and Denver -9, but I can't trust the Lakers games anymore... Just putting it out there in case you guys want a lean...

    Follow, Fade or Ignore, It's all good... BOL all


    15-7-1 in all posted picks beggining the day, 2 picks in play...

    Looking forward to a good night... let the bashing begin...LOL  






    Rockets in a good situational spot vs the Clippers who are off a b2b, took some Hou 1Q and 1H's as well

    everyone is dead Right about Creighton they have been balling but as another poster said the books don't usually give out free $$ to a side with 80% of the action

    the raptors game also interests me as you would think with 70%+ action on Brooklyn the line would have moved a little maybe a 1/2 point

    anyways the O/U in the Charlotte/Indiana game I have moving a full point down with 60+% action on the over and I liked the under already

    these are all todays rlm plays imo

    Bobcats +7.5, Bobcats U183, Houston -3.5, and NIowa +11
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    Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

    Okay fellas, some good conversations today, I learned a few new tricks that I'll be testing out on my own(off the thread) before I implement them in my RLM picks. Here are my 2 picks for today:

    Charlotte bobcats +8 1.5 Units (7.5 in some places, still a play)

    Northern Iowa +11 CBB

    I also like for personal plays:
    Toronto Raptors +7, even though the line didn't move... not sure if you can have reverse LINE MOVEMENT without a line move.

    Houston Rockets -3, Not a huge % on either side, but large line move, could be because of cp3

    I think there's value in Bucks +6 and Denver -9, but I can't trust the Lakers games anymore... Just putting it out there in case you guys want a lean...

    Follow, Fade or Ignore, It's all good... BOL all


    15-7-1 in all posted picks beggining the day, 2 picks in play...

    Looking forward to a good night... let the bashing begin...LOL  






    Rockets in a good situational spot vs the Clippers who are off a b2b, took some Hou 1Q and 1H's as well

    everyone is dead Right about Creighton they have been balling but as another poster said the books don't usually give out free $$ to a side with 80% of the action

    the raptors game also interests me as you would think with 70%+ action on Brooklyn the line would have moved a little maybe a 1/2 point

    anyways the O/U in the Charlotte/Indiana game I have moving a full point down with 60+% action on the over and I liked the under already

    these are all todays rlm plays imo

    Bobcats +7.5, Bobcats U183, Houston -3.5, and NIowa +11
     
    CMonet
    CMonet
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 6:17 PM ET #848

    n. iowa back up to +11.5
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    n. iowa back up to +11.5
     
    CMonet
    CMonet
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 6:20 PM ET #849

    and i have bobcats U 185
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    and i have bobcats U 185
     
     
    twfc
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2013 - 6:26 PM ET #850

    College ball is a bit tricky with the rlm. Gotta watch out til the last possible moment to make your play.

    There were a couple of rlm's yesterday.

    Weber - Idaho -- Opened at -13 went to -11,5 with 74% on the Weber!
    Idaho covered at the half 28-26, then got destroyed in the second 70-54.

    NC Greensboro - Appalachian -- Opened at -6 down to -5 with 68% on Appalachian.
    Greensboro led at the half by 7, lost the game by 13..

    Both games were good at the half but the teams crumbled in the second. My point being - if there's a rlm, and the underdogs are awful - then try to play them at the half cos there's a chance they won't be able to keep the pace for the rest of the game.

    There was a rlm play that went through yesterday. Wofford - Furman.
    Opened at -7 Wofford. Went steady throughout the day, even jumped to -7,5. Then it went down fast, maybe thirty minutes before the game to -5,5. Might have been some news of an injury, I don't know. Public was on Wofford around 60% - they lost 65-69.
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    College ball is a bit tricky with the rlm. Gotta watch out til the last possible moment to make your play.

    There were a couple of rlm's yesterday.

    Weber - Idaho -- Opened at -13 went to -11,5 with 74% on the Weber!
    Idaho covered at the half 28-26, then got destroyed in the second 70-54.

    NC Greensboro - Appalachian -- Opened at -6 down to -5 with 68% on Appalachian.
    Greensboro led at the half by 7, lost the game by 13..

    Both games were good at the half but the teams crumbled in the second. My point being - if there's a rlm, and the underdogs are awful - then try to play them at the half cos there's a chance they won't be able to keep the pace for the rest of the game.

    There was a rlm play that went through yesterday. Wofford - Furman.
    Opened at -7 Wofford. Went steady throughout the day, even jumped to -7,5. Then it went down fast, maybe thirty minutes before the game to -5,5. Might have been some news of an injury, I don't know. Public was on Wofford around 60% - they lost 65-69.
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