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There's a good chance Cliff Lee will come back to earth today in Toronto

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Posted: #51
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

 

 

I used to think like this - back when I was 21 and got introduced to betting on baseball.  The next thing I got introduced to was something called a "payment plan."

 
Legend
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Posted: #52
Quote Originally Posted by MojoGypson:

IMO- Don't over analyze baseball- just play the better team. 
8 out 10 times the better team wins. 
I'm on Philly again as I have been. 
I have been making much $$$ betting Philly/Boston/Yankees last few weeks. High juice- but a whole lot of wins.

GL

 

 

You know, if those powerhouse, big name teams could only play like powerhouses for six months solid, with no slumps, you'd really have something there.  Then again, if they could do that, you'd be layng between -300 and -400 all the time, so maybe you wouldn't have something there.

 
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Posted: #53
Quote Originally Posted by Imakeplays:

I cant fathom why you would pick this game to play instead of finding another game on this gigantic July 3rd Card. 

 

 

Am I limited to just one?  I'm sure I'll have at least four or five plays today, maybe more. 

 
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Posted: #54
Take a look at Reyes' numbers in games following a bad outing.  Pretty surprising actually.

In outings after Reyes was pulled with fewer than 4 innings pitched
he has a 2.17 ERA and averages 7.25 IP.
 
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Posted: #55
what do you think about Tor +2.5 at -175?
 
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Posted: #56

Quote Originally Posted by hammer22:

Bator, so you don't believe in not predicting when a trend is going to end? Meaning I was always taught to never predict when a pitcher is going to come out of a slump or go into a slump, or when a hot teams winning streak is going to end but wait until they actually DO lose.

what do you think

 

 

I think that no athlete can dominate to this extent for very long and I think that baseball is a humbling game.  I'll be amazed if Cliff Lee throws another complete game shutout today or anything close to it.

 
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Posted: #57

If Doug Davis can shutdown the Yankees, then anything is possible for JoJo.  I like the fact that he has faced this team in the past and the Jays' lineup looks solid with Hill leading off, Juan in the 5 hole and Old McDonald in the nine spot.  And even if I could get 170 with the Jays at home, I still feel like I'm being robbed.  Should be like +220, IMO.

Thanks for the write-up.

 

 
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Posted: #58
I'm going to wait to see if Escobar is in the lineup.  He has hit Lee well.
 
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Posted: #59
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

 

 

Am I limited to just one?  I'm sure I'll have at least four or five plays today, maybe more. 

Please share

 
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Posted: #60
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

 

 

 

Judging by your imagery, I suspect your personal gay porn library to be vast.  Take it easy on that stuff.  The deviance of the material is seeping into other areas of your life and I'll bet you don't even realize it.

 
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Posted: #61

Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:

Take a look at Reyes' numbers in games following a bad outing.  Pretty surprising actually.

In outings after Reyes was pulled with fewer than 4 innings pitched
he has a 2.17 ERA and averages 7.25 IP.

 

 

Nice!  I didn't know that.   

 
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Posted: #62

Quote Originally Posted by xxgambler:

what do you think about Tor +2.5 at -175?

 

 

Plus 2.5 runs would have been a great idea for me.......yesterday.

 

   

Nice throw to second on the easy double play ball, Jon Rauch, you big animal.

 
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Posted: #63

What about  Cards +135   Gigantes +120  Twins +118  Doyers +129  Tribe +164 and Royals+140  none of these stand out?  Play all 6 and you will come out with a nice profit in my Opinion  

 

 
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Posted: #64

on it also

 

Did you have Zito yesterday +162?

 
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Posted: #65
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

 

 

I used to think like this - back when I was 21 and got introduced to betting on baseball.  The next thing I got introduced to was something called a "payment plan."



Classic Bator
 
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Posted: #66

Quote Originally Posted by BigUnit:

If you really believe this then the over might be worth a look, otherwise I would stay away.
LEE

ADV 9in last 3 starts

ZERO ER

Can't go against this Roll

 
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Posted: #67
Quote Originally Posted by Jimmag:

on it also

 

Did you have Zito yesterday +162?

 

 

No.  This line closed +175 at the Las Vegas Hilton.  All indications were that the Tigers were going to roll.  I wonder if the pitchers on the Tigers staff are permitted to make eye contact with Justin Verlander, or if they have to bow their heads to him when they walk past each other?

 
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Posted: #68
Quote Originally Posted by goinggone:

LEE

ADV 9in last 3 starts

ZERO ER

Can't go against this Roll

 

 

It takes courage to do it, but I think that now is the time.  Now is the ideal time.  Either Jays, the over, or the Jays team total over.  Any of that should be worth a play.

 
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Posted: #69
Damn, this total went from 7.5 -110 to 8 -120!
 
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Posted: #70
A. Hill 2bE. Thames rfJ. Bautista 3bA. Lind dhJ. Rivera lfE. Encarnacion 1bJ.P. Arencibia cR. Davis cfJ. McDonald ss
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .239
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .319
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .328
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .307
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .246
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .219
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .224
 
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Posted: #71
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

 

 

No.  This line closed +175 at the Las Vegas Hilton.  All indications were that the Tigers were going to roll.  I wonder if the pitchers on the Tigers staff are permitted to make eye contact with Justin Verlander, or if they have to bow their heads to him when they walk past each other?



Yeah, I fell for it with the SFG TT UNDER and the DET TT OVER. Couldn't have been more wrong but I think it was statistically the right play in the long term. Funny though when you have a TT bet that loses in the first inning, doesn't sting nearly as much
 
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Posted: #72
J. Rollins ssP. Polanco dhC. Utley 2bR. Howard 1bS. Victorino cfB. Francisco lfD. Brown rfC. Ruiz cW. Valdez 3b
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .254
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .280
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .286
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .256
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .299
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .226
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .217
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .247
 
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Posted: #73
Great shit, UncleB.


*handshake*
 
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Posted: #74
Quote Originally Posted by hammer22:

Bator, so you don't believe in not predicting when a trend is going to end? Meaning I was always taught to never predict when a pitcher is going to come out of a slump or go into a slump, or when a hot teams winning streak is going to end but wait until they actually DO lose.

what do you think
Agree.. you will save a bunch of
 
 
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Posted: #75
I was on Lee in his last 2 starts.............I'm going to ride him until he loses. While, I agree that he has been phenomenal ......... he doesn't NEED to be phenomenal to get the win. I just can't wait until Philly gets into that Toronto pen.
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