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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    September Dogs - Starting with $4k

    «First Previous 323334 ... 646566 Next Last»
    Pendo
    herbshack
    capskip
    mandy1
    keeper1688
    ...
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    Views: 768918
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    «First Previous 323334 ... 646566 Next Last»
     
    Pendo
    Pendo
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    Posted: Aug. 11, 2016 - 6:25 AM ET #776

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Rockie bullpen choked hard there. Thought we had that one in the bag...

    $274 to win 484.98 
    Tampa Bay Rays +177 
    vs Toronto Blue Jays
    Pair up a situation I like (road weekday dog off of a divisional win) with the heaviest public fade on today's card and I think you have a good bet... 


    Herbs, He Heating Up
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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Rockie bullpen choked hard there. Thought we had that one in the bag...

    $274 to win 484.98 
    Tampa Bay Rays +177 
    vs Toronto Blue Jays
    Pair up a situation I like (road weekday dog off of a divisional win) with the heaviest public fade on today's card and I think you have a good bet... 


    Herbs, He Heating Up
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2016 - 1:32 PM ET #777

    $411 to win $674.04 
    St. Louis Cardinals +164 
    vs Chicago Cubs
    --
    A few trends:
    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28starter%3DAdam%20Wainwright%20and%20%28AD%20or%20F%29%29%20as%20%22FILTER%3A%20Adam%20Wainwright%20is%20140-80%20%2863.6%25%2C%20%2B27.6%20units%29%20SU%20as%20a%20road%20dog%20or%20a%20favorite.%22 I first sent this one out in my newsletter when it was 140-80 +27.6 units. Solid gainer.

    Other thing:
    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28day%20%3D%20Friday%20and%20streak%20%3E%207%29%20as%20%22Team%20going%20into%20the%20weekend%20on%20a%20win%20streak%20of%208%20or%20more%3A%2016-32%20SU%20%28%2B23.19%20units%2C%20%2B42.6%25%20roi%20to%20fade%29%22 - Since inception, this trend has gained me about 4 units. (Fade the Cubs)




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    $411 to win $674.04 
    St. Louis Cardinals +164 
    vs Chicago Cubs
    --
    A few trends:
    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28starter%3DAdam%20Wainwright%20and%20%28AD%20or%20F%29%29%20as%20%22FILTER%3A%20Adam%20Wainwright%20is%20140-80%20%2863.6%25%2C%20%2B27.6%20units%29%20SU%20as%20a%20road%20dog%20or%20a%20favorite.%22 I first sent this one out in my newsletter when it was 140-80 +27.6 units. Solid gainer.

    Other thing:
    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28day%20%3D%20Friday%20and%20streak%20%3E%207%29%20as%20%22Team%20going%20into%20the%20weekend%20on%20a%20win%20streak%20of%208%20or%20more%3A%2016-32%20SU%20%28%2B23.19%20units%2C%20%2B42.6%25%20roi%20to%20fade%29%22 - Since inception, this trend has gained me about 4 units. (Fade the Cubs)




     
    capskip
    capskip
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2016 - 2:15 PM ET #778

    Best of luck tonight buddy
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    Best of luck tonight buddy
     
    mandy1
    mandy1
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2016 - 3:16 PM ET #779

    Good luck Herb
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    Good luck Herb
     
    keeper1688
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2016 - 4:18 PM ET #780

    Doesn't look Herb today.  Keep on capping and winning.  2 loss don't define you. 
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    Doesn't look Herb today.  Keep on capping and winning.  2 loss don't define you. 
     
    KeenMoney
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2016 - 6:31 PM ET #781

    Hang in there.  You will pick a winner next time.  
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    Hang in there.  You will pick a winner next time.  
     
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 15, 2016 - 12:28 PM ET #782

    August is a tough month because I just don't find any clear and consistent trends at this point of the season. July is easy; take home favorites on the blind; April is easy and September is usually easy (althought not so much lately since the new wild card spot was added): take dogs almost on the blind. I usually sit back a bit in August and start hitting dogs harder in September and in the playoffs. 

    I do have a play I like for today though, and I am sure there are tons of things you can find wrong with it, but you always will, and the value is here. Let's go with the Royals:

    Kansas City Royals +128 vs Detroit Tigers
    $685 to win $876.80 

    One big thought (of quite a number on this one) is that, last game, we had the Royals keeping their last game tight with the Twins in Minnesota. 1-1 game into the 4th and the Royals banged in 6 runs in one inning and opened things up. The key thing I was liking was that they kept their foot on the pedal and dialed up 4 more runs after that. Generally, the Royals have a lot of unfavorable season to date stats in this one (eg. 17-38 on the road since Apr 16th). A significant pct of the public is going against a quality, working hard now on getting to .500 team betting for a plus .500 good team that might not take them seriously here...


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    August is a tough month because I just don't find any clear and consistent trends at this point of the season. July is easy; take home favorites on the blind; April is easy and September is usually easy (althought not so much lately since the new wild card spot was added): take dogs almost on the blind. I usually sit back a bit in August and start hitting dogs harder in September and in the playoffs. 

    I do have a play I like for today though, and I am sure there are tons of things you can find wrong with it, but you always will, and the value is here. Let's go with the Royals:

    Kansas City Royals +128 vs Detroit Tigers
    $685 to win $876.80 

    One big thought (of quite a number on this one) is that, last game, we had the Royals keeping their last game tight with the Twins in Minnesota. 1-1 game into the 4th and the Royals banged in 6 runs in one inning and opened things up. The key thing I was liking was that they kept their foot on the pedal and dialed up 4 more runs after that. Generally, the Royals have a lot of unfavorable season to date stats in this one (eg. 17-38 on the road since Apr 16th). A significant pct of the public is going against a quality, working hard now on getting to .500 team betting for a plus .500 good team that might not take them seriously here...


     
    Wiser
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    Posted: Aug. 15, 2016 - 5:15 PM ET #783

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    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 16, 2016 - 12:53 PM ET #784

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Kansas City Royals +128 vs Detroit Tigers
    $685 to win $876.80  WINNER

    Current Bankroll: $9,837.93
    from $4000 (+144.94 units)

    That's another all time high for us...
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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Kansas City Royals +128 vs Detroit Tigers
    $685 to win $876.80  WINNER

    Current Bankroll: $9,837.93
    from $4000 (+144.94 units)

    That's another all time high for us...
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2016 - 1:03 PM ET #785

    Let's keep on moving onto the $10,000.00 mark (+150 units).

    Milwaukee Brewers +271 vs Chicago Cubs
    $136 to win $368.56

    No one wants any part of the Brewers here as is usually the case when a team was a 180+ dog in 3 straight games. Historically, this spot is $$$ 
    Don't overthink this one. 

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    Let's keep on moving onto the $10,000.00 mark (+150 units).

    Milwaukee Brewers +271 vs Chicago Cubs
    $136 to win $368.56

    No one wants any part of the Brewers here as is usually the case when a team was a 180+ dog in 3 straight games. Historically, this spot is $$$ 
    Don't overthink this one. 

     
    KeenMoney
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2016 - 1:58 PM ET #786

    I'm on your side. Good luck to us.  
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    I'm on your side. Good luck to us.  
     
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 20, 2016 - 12:44 PM ET #787

    $272 to win $323.68 San Diego Padres +119 vs Arizona Diamondbacks

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28H%20and%20-120%3Cline%3C160%20and%20month%3E%3D8%20and%20wins-o%3Awins%3E1%20and%20division%3Do%3Adivision%29%20as%20%22A%20home%20dog%20or%20small%20favorite%20trying%20to%20hold%20a%20division%20lead%20of%202%20or%20more%20wins%20late%20season.%20195-128%20%2B71.22%20units%20%2B20.7%25%20roi%20SU%22..
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    $272 to win $323.68 San Diego Padres +119 vs Arizona Diamondbacks

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28H%20and%20-120%3Cline%3C160%20and%20month%3E%3D8%20and%20wins-o%3Awins%3E1%20and%20division%3Do%3Adivision%29%20as%20%22A%20home%20dog%20or%20small%20favorite%20trying%20to%20hold%20a%20division%20lead%20of%202%20or%20more%20wins%20late%20season.%20195-128%20%2B71.22%20units%20%2B20.7%25%20roi%20SU%22..
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 21, 2016 - 12:15 PM ET #788

    $331 to win $423.68 
    Miami Marlins +128 
    vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    --
    Looking at a public fade dog off of a win as a dog where 3 or fewer runs were put up. Historically a +10% roi scenario.
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    $331 to win $423.68 
    Miami Marlins +128 
    vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    --
    Looking at a public fade dog off of a win as a dog where 3 or fewer runs were put up. Historically a +10% roi scenario.
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2016 - 11:27 AM ET #789

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    $331 to win $423.68 
    Miami Marlins +128 
    vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    WINNER

    Current Bankroll: $9,853.61
    from $4000 (+146.34 units)

    All time high units mark
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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    $331 to win $423.68 
    Miami Marlins +128 
    vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    WINNER

    Current Bankroll: $9,853.61
    from $4000 (+146.34 units)

    All time high units mark
     
    TheOtherTimTBo
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2016 - 11:55 AM ET #790

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:


    Current Bankroll: $9,853.61
    from $4000 (+146.34 units)

    All time high units mark

    Congrats brotha. Anything for today?
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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:


    Current Bankroll: $9,853.61
    from $4000 (+146.34 units)

    All time high units mark

    Congrats brotha. Anything for today?
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2016 - 3:01 PM ET #791

    Quote Originally Posted by TheOtherTimTBo:


    Congrats brotha. Anything for today?

    I got on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES +108 earlier this morning.
    The line is now -130 -- I was just going to put this pick out here, but the line lost value. Still, public is fading them hard. I'd avoid the pick and pass today.

    The Brewers look like a possibility and the Under in Pittsburgh.

    Let's pass today.
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheOtherTimTBo:


    Congrats brotha. Anything for today?

    I got on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES +108 earlier this morning.
    The line is now -130 -- I was just going to put this pick out here, but the line lost value. Still, public is fading them hard. I'd avoid the pick and pass today.

    The Brewers look like a possibility and the Under in Pittsburgh.

    Let's pass today.
     
    TheOtherTimTBo
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    Posted: Aug. 23, 2016 - 10:16 AM ET #792

    Herb you are amazing . You gave me Brewers pittunder and orioles all 3 hit. Amazing work. Can you check your messages or please shed some light on a pick today I am in a hole man could use the help f you have the time
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    Herb you are amazing . You gave me Brewers pittunder and orioles all 3 hit. Amazing work. Can you check your messages or please shed some light on a pick today I am in a hole man could use the help f you have the time
     
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 23, 2016 - 11:46 AM ET #793

    Quote Originally Posted by TheOtherTimTBo:

    Herb you are amazing . You gave me Brewers pittunder and orioles all 3 hit. Amazing work. Can you check your messages or please shed some light on a pick today I am in a hole man could use the help f you have the time
    Cheers to that.

    No quick fixes really for getting out of a hole.
    Worst thing to do is to start over thinking your strategy. Just keep grinding whatever you're doing. If, over several years, you haven't made money or you've lost a lot, gambling might not be for you. Gotta face that reality.

    I'll respond to your pms asap...
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheOtherTimTBo:

    Herb you are amazing . You gave me Brewers pittunder and orioles all 3 hit. Amazing work. Can you check your messages or please shed some light on a pick today I am in a hole man could use the help f you have the time
    Cheers to that.

    No quick fixes really for getting out of a hole.
    Worst thing to do is to start over thinking your strategy. Just keep grinding whatever you're doing. If, over several years, you haven't made money or you've lost a lot, gambling might not be for you. Gotta face that reality.

    I'll respond to your pms asap...
     
    TheOtherTimTBo
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    Joined: Aug, 2009
    Posts: 890
    Posted: Aug. 23, 2016 - 12:04 PM ET #794

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Cheers to that.

    No quick fixes really for getting out of a hole.
    Worst thing to do is to start over thinking your strategy. Just keep grinding whatever you're doing. If, over several years, you haven't made money or you've lost a lot, gambling might not be for you. Gotta face that reality.

    I'll respond to your pms asap...

    I have just hit a bad stretch I was rolling all season long and taking bad beats left and right. I sent you a friend request it wont let me PM you unless we are friends on here. Thanks again bud.
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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Cheers to that.

    No quick fixes really for getting out of a hole.
    Worst thing to do is to start over thinking your strategy. Just keep grinding whatever you're doing. If, over several years, you haven't made money or you've lost a lot, gambling might not be for you. Gotta face that reality.

    I'll respond to your pms asap...

    I have just hit a bad stretch I was rolling all season long and taking bad beats left and right. I sent you a friend request it wont let me PM you unless we are friends on here. Thanks again bud.
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Aug. 23, 2016 - 1:21 PM ET #795

    Quote Originally Posted by TheOtherTimTBo:


    I have just hit a bad stretch I was rolling all season long and taking bad beats left and right. I sent you a friend request it wont let me PM you unless we are friends on here. Thanks again bud.

    Gotcha. Just accepted request..

    Here's what I've got for today:

    $136 to win $141.44
    Los Angeles Dodgers +104 
    vs San Francisco Giants
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheOtherTimTBo:


    I have just hit a bad stretch I was rolling all season long and taking bad beats left and right. I sent you a friend request it wont let me PM you unless we are friends on here. Thanks again bud.

    Gotcha. Just accepted request..

    Here's what I've got for today:

    $136 to win $141.44
    Los Angeles Dodgers +104 
    vs San Francisco Giants
     
    Peyton4220
    Peyton4220
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2014
    Posts: 133
    Posted: Aug. 23, 2016 - 11:07 PM ET #796

    Herbshack  I like you pick you get hot Gl LA.DOGER 

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    Herbshack  I like you pick you get hot Gl LA.DOGER 

     
    TheOtherTimTBo
    TheOtherTimTBo
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2009
    Posts: 890
    Posted: Aug. 24, 2016 - 6:05 AM ET #797

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:


    Gotcha. Just accepted request..

    Here's what I've got for today:

    $136 to win $141.44
    Los Angeles Dodgers +104 
    vs San Francisco Giants

    You my friend are an animal got me back on the winning side love it!
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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:


    Gotcha. Just accepted request..

    Here's what I've got for today:

    $136 to win $141.44
    Los Angeles Dodgers +104 
    vs San Francisco Giants

    You my friend are an animal got me back on the winning side love it!
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Aug. 24, 2016 - 12:08 PM ET #798

    Current Bankroll: $9,995.05
    from $4000 (+149.87 units)

    Almost to $10k after the Dodgers win...
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    Current Bankroll: $9,995.05
    from $4000 (+149.87 units)

    Almost to $10k after the Dodgers win...
     
    Peyton4220
    Peyton4220
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2014
    Posts: 133
    Posted: Aug. 24, 2016 - 1:08 PM ET #799

    Any pick today
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    Any pick today
     
     
    Scatman777
    Scatman777
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2015
    Posts: 84
    Posted: Aug. 24, 2016 - 3:08 PM ET #800

    Lets go Herby Lets go!
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    Lets go Herby Lets go!
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