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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    September Dogs - Starting with $4k

    «First Previous 141516 ... 646566 Next Last»
    herbshack
    gbpackman
    JEFFTHEHAT
    cappernyc
    tommyd222
    ...
    Participants:
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    «First Previous 141516 ... 646566 Next Last»
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posts: 913
    Posted: May. 28, 2013 - 1:02 PM ET #326

    For 5.28.2013 Take:

    #954 Houston Astros +162 ($258 to win $417.96)
    over the Colorado Rockies

    Home Dogs are 12-5 (70.6%, +8.54 units, +50.2% roi) in Interleague games this season.
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    For 5.28.2013 Take:

    #954 Houston Astros +162 ($258 to win $417.96)
    over the Colorado Rockies

    Home Dogs are 12-5 (70.6%, +8.54 units, +50.2% roi) in Interleague games this season.
     
    gbpackman
    gbpackman
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    Posts: 5107
    Posted: May. 28, 2013 - 3:10 PM ET #327

    The Twins entered the series opener in similar fashion as Milwaukee, but won for the second time in three games following a 10-game losing streak. 
    The Twins are a so so team.
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    The Twins entered the series opener in similar fashion as Milwaukee, but won for the second time in three games following a 10-game losing streak. 
    The Twins are a so so team.
     
    JEFFTHEHAT
    JEFFTHEHAT
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    Posted: May. 28, 2013 - 6:12 PM ET #328

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    For 5.28.2013 Take:

    #954 Houston Astros +162 ($258 to win $417.96)
    over the Colorado Rockies

    Home Dogs are 12-5 (70.6%, +8.54 units, +50.2% roi) in Interleague games this season.

    Herb, my data shows 16-8 up 7.91 units including today. There was 5 home dog winners just yesterday
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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    For 5.28.2013 Take:

    #954 Houston Astros +162 ($258 to win $417.96)
    over the Colorado Rockies

    Home Dogs are 12-5 (70.6%, +8.54 units, +50.2% roi) in Interleague games this season.

    Herb, my data shows 16-8 up 7.91 units including today. There was 5 home dog winners just yesterday
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posts: 913
    Posted: Jun. 9, 2013 - 12:46 PM ET #329

    Sorry, haven't been online much. Bought a house and it has been a real pain in the behind...

    For today (6.9.2013) take:

    #968 Detroit Tigers -1 +122 ($430 to win $524.60)
    over the Cleveland Indians

    Detroit tops the league in a three year duration for units won on the runline as home favorites so for this one, take either the -1 or the -1.5. For home teams in general , I prefer the -1 as they get one less inning than the visitor if they get ahead.

    Cleveland is on a nasty skid, they do badly there and also on road stands...Detroit is good at exploiting cheap or average bullpens.


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    Sorry, haven't been online much. Bought a house and it has been a real pain in the behind...

    For today (6.9.2013) take:

    #968 Detroit Tigers -1 +122 ($430 to win $524.60)
    over the Cleveland Indians

    Detroit tops the league in a three year duration for units won on the runline as home favorites so for this one, take either the -1 or the -1.5. For home teams in general , I prefer the -1 as they get one less inning than the visitor if they get ahead.

    Cleveland is on a nasty skid, they do badly there and also on road stands...Detroit is good at exploiting cheap or average bullpens.


     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posts: 913
    Posted: Jun. 10, 2013 - 11:51 AM ET #330

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Sorry, haven't been online much. Bought a house and it has been a real pain in the behind...

    For today (6.9.2013) take:

    #968 Detroit Tigers -1 +122 ($430 to win $524.60) WINNER!
    over the Cleveland Indians

    Detroit tops the league in a three year duration for units won on the runline as home favorites so for this one, take either the -1 or the -1.5. For home teams in general , I prefer the -1 as they get one less inning than the visitor if they get ahead.

    Cleveland is on a nasty skid, they do badly there and also on road stands...Detroit is good at exploiting cheap or average bullpens.



    New Bankroll: $6,317.56 (+57.9 units)
    from $4000

    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Sorry, haven't been online much. Bought a house and it has been a real pain in the behind...

    For today (6.9.2013) take:

    #968 Detroit Tigers -1 +122 ($430 to win $524.60) WINNER!
    over the Cleveland Indians

    Detroit tops the league in a three year duration for units won on the runline as home favorites so for this one, take either the -1 or the -1.5. For home teams in general , I prefer the -1 as they get one less inning than the visitor if they get ahead.

    Cleveland is on a nasty skid, they do badly there and also on road stands...Detroit is good at exploiting cheap or average bullpens.



    New Bankroll: $6,317.56 (+57.9 units)
    from $4000

     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Jun. 10, 2013 - 11:55 AM ET #331

    For 6.10.2013 take:

    #910 Baltimore Orioles +116 ($87 to win $100.92)
    over the LA Angels

    List: Weaver / Garcia

    In Baltimore:
    *Home dogs (not July or August) are SU : 2146-2530 (-0.66, 45.9%, +86.19 units)...or +1.8% roi in a 4600+ game sample!
    **Jered Weaver is 76-28 (73.1%, +29.09 units) at home. 73.5% as a home favorite. That rounds out to a nice career record and people end up hating to bet against Weaver...and usually they love wherever they can get him cheap (ironically that is where he fails): on the road it is a whole different story...he's just 58-52 -0.59 units
    *The Angels are just 20-27 -15 units this season against right handed starters. You may not see a lot of offense...consider the +1 for the O's today...
    *They're just 13-22 -16.92 units this season after a loss. 
    *Freddy Garcia is 39-26 +20.75 units , +31.9% roi career as a dog. 
    *The O's are 20-5 +18.26 units, 80%, +66.3% roi since 2011 against bad .350 to .450 teams.

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    For 6.10.2013 take:

    #910 Baltimore Orioles +116 ($87 to win $100.92)
    over the LA Angels

    List: Weaver / Garcia

    In Baltimore:
    *Home dogs (not July or August) are SU : 2146-2530 (-0.66, 45.9%, +86.19 units)...or +1.8% roi in a 4600+ game sample!
    **Jered Weaver is 76-28 (73.1%, +29.09 units) at home. 73.5% as a home favorite. That rounds out to a nice career record and people end up hating to bet against Weaver...and usually they love wherever they can get him cheap (ironically that is where he fails): on the road it is a whole different story...he's just 58-52 -0.59 units
    *The Angels are just 20-27 -15 units this season against right handed starters. You may not see a lot of offense...consider the +1 for the O's today...
    *They're just 13-22 -16.92 units this season after a loss. 
    *Freddy Garcia is 39-26 +20.75 units , +31.9% roi career as a dog. 
    *The O's are 20-5 +18.26 units, 80%, +66.3% roi since 2011 against bad .350 to .450 teams.

     
    herbshack
    herbshack
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2013 - 11:10 AM ET #332

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    For 6.10.2013 take:

    #910 Baltimore Orioles +116 ($87 to win $100.92) WINNER!
    over the LA Angels

    List: Weaver / Garcia

    In Baltimore:
    *Home dogs (not July or August) are SU : 2146-2530 (-0.66, 45.9%, +86.19 units)...or +1.8% roi in a 4600+ game sample!
    **Jered Weaver is 76-28 (73.1%, +29.09 units) at home. 73.5% as a home favorite. That rounds out to a nice career record and people end up hating to bet against Weaver...and usually they love wherever they can get him cheap (ironically that is where he fails): on the road it is a whole different story...he's just 58-52 -0.59 units
    *The Angels are just 20-27 -15 units this season against right handed starters. You may not see a lot of offense...consider the +1 for the O's today...
    *They're just 13-22 -16.92 units this season after a loss. 
    *Freddy Garcia is 39-26 +20.75 units , +31.9% roi career as a dog. 
    *The O's are 20-5 +18.26 units, 80%, +66.3% roi since 2011 against bad .350 to .450 teams.


    New Bankroll: $6,418.48 (+60.46 units)
    from $4000

    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    For 6.10.2013 take:

    #910 Baltimore Orioles +116 ($87 to win $100.92) WINNER!
    over the LA Angels

    List: Weaver / Garcia

    In Baltimore:
    *Home dogs (not July or August) are SU : 2146-2530 (-0.66, 45.9%, +86.19 units)...or +1.8% roi in a 4600+ game sample!
    **Jered Weaver is 76-28 (73.1%, +29.09 units) at home. 73.5% as a home favorite. That rounds out to a nice career record and people end up hating to bet against Weaver...and usually they love wherever they can get him cheap (ironically that is where he fails): on the road it is a whole different story...he's just 58-52 -0.59 units
    *The Angels are just 20-27 -15 units this season against right handed starters. You may not see a lot of offense...consider the +1 for the O's today...
    *They're just 13-22 -16.92 units this season after a loss. 
    *Freddy Garcia is 39-26 +20.75 units , +31.9% roi career as a dog. 
    *The O's are 20-5 +18.26 units, 80%, +66.3% roi since 2011 against bad .350 to .450 teams.


    New Bankroll: $6,418.48 (+60.46 units)
    from $4000

     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posts: 913
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2013 - 11:11 AM ET #333

    Diamondbacks today for +105 ($89 to win $93.45)
    List Corbin and Ryu
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    Diamondbacks today for +105 ($89 to win $93.45)
    List Corbin and Ryu
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Jun. 13, 2013 - 11:06 AM ET #334

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Diamondbacks today for +105 ($89 to win $93.45) WINNER!
    List Corbin and Ryu

    New Bankroll: $6,511.93 (+62.8 units)
    from $4000

    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Diamondbacks today for +105 ($89 to win $93.45) WINNER!
    List Corbin and Ryu

    New Bankroll: $6,511.93 (+62.8 units)
    from $4000

     
    herbshack
    herbshack
    Rookie
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    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Jun. 13, 2013 - 11:10 AM ET #335

    For today take: 

    Oakland -1 +138 ($90 to win $124.20)
    List: Parker

    *Oakland is 45-27 +19.99 units (+24.7% roi) since 2012 at home vs. plus .500 teams.
    *Career, Jarrod Parker is 21-11 +12.34 units where the total is between 6.5 and 9.0.

    Hint: Google '1RL Calculator' to make your own free runline and beat the offered odds...you can find a free excel application.
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    For today take: 

    Oakland -1 +138 ($90 to win $124.20)
    List: Parker

    *Oakland is 45-27 +19.99 units (+24.7% roi) since 2012 at home vs. plus .500 teams.
    *Career, Jarrod Parker is 21-11 +12.34 units where the total is between 6.5 and 9.0.

    Hint: Google '1RL Calculator' to make your own free runline and beat the offered odds...you can find a free excel application.
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posts: 913
    Posted: Jun. 14, 2013 - 2:19 AM ET #336

    pushed
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    pushed
     
    cappernyc
    cappernyc
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    Posts: 202
    Posted: Jun. 14, 2013 - 4:08 AM ET #337

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    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posts: 913
    Posted: Jun. 15, 2013 - 11:55 AM ET #338

    For 6.15.2013 Take:

    #966 Baltimore +104 ($90 to win $93.6)
    over the Boston Red Sox

    List: Garcia / Lackey

    *Since 2009, -150 to -100 teams seeking revenge for a shutout loss are just 94-114 (45.2%, -38.08 units, +12.9% roi to fade).
    ***That's 57-84 (+23.4% roi to fade) if the team is above .500 and a massive 22-44 (+37.5% roi to fade) if the opponent is above .500 as well!

    *The Orioles are 76-63 (54.7%, +36.25 units, +26.1% roi) since 2012 as underdogs.
    **That's 54-42 (56.2%, +31% roi) against plus .500 teams. SU: 31-21 (59.6%, +20.61 units, +39.6% roi) against plus .500 division teams.

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    For 6.15.2013 Take:

    #966 Baltimore +104 ($90 to win $93.6)
    over the Boston Red Sox

    List: Garcia / Lackey

    *Since 2009, -150 to -100 teams seeking revenge for a shutout loss are just 94-114 (45.2%, -38.08 units, +12.9% roi to fade).
    ***That's 57-84 (+23.4% roi to fade) if the team is above .500 and a massive 22-44 (+37.5% roi to fade) if the opponent is above .500 as well!

    *The Orioles are 76-63 (54.7%, +36.25 units, +26.1% roi) since 2012 as underdogs.
    **That's 54-42 (56.2%, +31% roi) against plus .500 teams. SU: 31-21 (59.6%, +20.61 units, +39.6% roi) against plus .500 division teams.

     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Jun. 15, 2013 - 11:56 AM ET #339

    Current Bankroll: $6,511.93 (+62.8 units)
    from $4000

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    Current Bankroll: $6,511.93 (+62.8 units)
    from $4000

     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posts: 913
    Posted: Jun. 16, 2013 - 7:19 AM ET #340

    Take: Oakland -1 +128 ($180 to win $230.40)
    List Colon / Iwakuma

    *Oakland is a nice solid 49-27 (+22.21 units, +24.2% roi) since 2012, at home, against right handed starters.
    *The Oakland A's are 23-6 (79.3%, +13.72 units, +30.1% roi) on the ML since 2012 as home favorites against sub .500 teams where the total is between 6.5 and 9.
    *That's 20-9 (60.9%, +19.24 units, +66.2% roi) on the runline. Bartolo Colon 4-1 SU and 4-1 on the RL in this spot.

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    Take: Oakland -1 +128 ($180 to win $230.40)
    List Colon / Iwakuma

    *Oakland is a nice solid 49-27 (+22.21 units, +24.2% roi) since 2012, at home, against right handed starters.
    *The Oakland A's are 23-6 (79.3%, +13.72 units, +30.1% roi) on the ML since 2012 as home favorites against sub .500 teams where the total is between 6.5 and 9.
    *That's 20-9 (60.9%, +19.24 units, +66.2% roi) on the runline. Bartolo Colon 4-1 SU and 4-1 on the RL in this spot.

     
    herbshack
    herbshack
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Jun. 18, 2013 - 3:24 PM ET #341

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Take: Oakland -1 +128 ($180 to win $230.40) WINNER!
    List Colon / Iwakuma

    *Oakland is a nice solid 49-27 (+22.21 units, +24.2% roi) since 2012, at home, against right handed starters.
    *The Oakland A's are 23-6 (79.3%, +13.72 units, +30.1% roi) on the ML since 2012 as home favorites against sub .500 teams where the total is between 6.5 and 9.
    *That's 20-9 (60.9%, +19.24 units, +66.2% roi) on the runline. Bartolo Colon 4-1 SU and 4-1 on the RL in this spot.


    Current Bankroll: $6,652.33 (+66.31 units)
    from $4000

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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Take: Oakland -1 +128 ($180 to win $230.40) WINNER!
    List Colon / Iwakuma

    *Oakland is a nice solid 49-27 (+22.21 units, +24.2% roi) since 2012, at home, against right handed starters.
    *The Oakland A's are 23-6 (79.3%, +13.72 units, +30.1% roi) on the ML since 2012 as home favorites against sub .500 teams where the total is between 6.5 and 9.
    *That's 20-9 (60.9%, +19.24 units, +66.2% roi) on the runline. Bartolo Colon 4-1 SU and 4-1 on the RL in this spot.


    Current Bankroll: $6,652.33 (+66.31 units)
    from $4000

     
    herbshack
    herbshack
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Jun. 18, 2013 - 3:26 PM ET #342

    For 6.18.2013 Take:

    Pittsburgh +1 +113 ($92 to win $103.96)
    over the Reds

    List: Morton / Latos


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    For 6.18.2013 Take:

    Pittsburgh +1 +113 ($92 to win $103.96)
    over the Reds

    List: Morton / Latos


     
    tommyd222
    tommyd222
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2009
    Posts: 2275
    Posted: Jun. 18, 2013 - 3:35 PM ET #343

    Reply
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    herbshack
    herbshack
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Jun. 22, 2013 - 11:34 AM ET #344

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    For 6.18.2013 Take:

    Pittsburgh +1 +113 ($92 to win $103.96) WINNER!
    over the Reds

    List: Morton / Latos



    Current Bankroll: $6,756.29 (+68.91 units)
    from $4000

    For today (6.22.2013) Take:

    San Diego -1 +144 ($93 to win $133.92)
    over the LA Dodgers

    List: Volquez / Greinke


    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    For 6.18.2013 Take:

    Pittsburgh +1 +113 ($92 to win $103.96) WINNER!
    over the Reds

    List: Morton / Latos



    Current Bankroll: $6,756.29 (+68.91 units)
    from $4000

    For today (6.22.2013) Take:

    San Diego -1 +144 ($93 to win $133.92)
    over the LA Dodgers

    List: Volquez / Greinke


     
    ringoboy11
    ringoboy11
    Banned
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    Joined: Apr, 2013
    Posts: 29
    Posted: Jun. 22, 2013 - 12:38 PM ET #345

    Are you posting anymore?
    Reply
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    Are you posting anymore?
     
    ringoboy11
    ringoboy11
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    Joined: Apr, 2013
    Posts: 29
    Posted: Jun. 22, 2013 - 12:40 PM ET #346

    How's the work on the house going?
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    How's the work on the house going?
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
    Rookie
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    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Jun. 28, 2013 - 4:29 PM ET #347

    Quote Originally Posted by ringoboy11:

    How's the work on the house going?

    Thanks for asking. Lots of work and it is keeping me a little too busy to run my main business and post here regularly.

    I'm taking Tampa Bay today as home dogs. We're up another 10-15% since I last posted!

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    Quote Originally Posted by ringoboy11:

    How's the work on the house going?

    Thanks for asking. Lots of work and it is keeping me a little too busy to run my main business and post here regularly.

    I'm taking Tampa Bay today as home dogs. We're up another 10-15% since I last posted!

     
    herbshack
    herbshack
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Jun. 28, 2013 - 4:31 PM ET #348

    (For today)

    Tampa Bay +126 ($184 to win $231.84)
    over the Detroit Tigers

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    (For today)

    Tampa Bay +126 ($184 to win $231.84)
    over the Detroit Tigers

     
    herbshack
    herbshack
    Rookie
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    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Jul. 2, 2013 - 2:01 PM ET #349

    Two Team Parlay:
    #910 Atlanta Braves ML
    #921 Tampa Bay Rays ML
    ($276 units to win $326.80)

    *Since 2009, -150 and up favorites are 176-56 (75.9%, +79.58 units, +19.3% roi) in July division games.
    You could substitute Texas (ML) here for Tampa Bay; however, I think we've got a better bet in TB and a better starting pitcher.
    **The Astros are just 9-45 (16.7%) SU since 2011 in July games. 3-25 (10.7%, -21.23 units) SU since 2012.

    *Kris Medlen is 17-2 SU (89.2%, +14.56 units, +50.9% roi) in division games (career).
    Reply
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    Two Team Parlay:
    #910 Atlanta Braves ML
    #921 Tampa Bay Rays ML
    ($276 units to win $326.80)

    *Since 2009, -150 and up favorites are 176-56 (75.9%, +79.58 units, +19.3% roi) in July division games.
    You could substitute Texas (ML) here for Tampa Bay; however, I think we've got a better bet in TB and a better starting pitcher.
    **The Astros are just 9-45 (16.7%) SU since 2011 in July games. 3-25 (10.7%, -21.23 units) SU since 2012.

    *Kris Medlen is 17-2 SU (89.2%, +14.56 units, +50.9% roi) in division games (career).
     
     
    gbpackman
    gbpackman
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    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 5107
    Posted: Jul. 3, 2013 - 11:32 AM ET #350

    Nice win! I was worried about Medlin at first. He seemed off his game. He was lights out last year. I guess you could call it a semi-sophomore slump.
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    Nice win! I was worried about Medlin at first. He seemed off his game. He was lights out last year. I guess you could call it a semi-sophomore slump.
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