Posted:
#26
si1ly...Good luck buddy....
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Saturday Afternoon - MLB
Posted:
#28
Quote Originally Posted by Pasteur:
With you on the Doyers and I'm chicken..I took the sox at +1.5. Let's get that vegas donation
With you on the Doyers and I'm chicken..I took the sox at +1.5. Let's get that vegas donation
I thought about the +1.5, but one run games are rare for both the Sox and Yankees. Usually when these two teams play it's all or nothing. Best of luck though!
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Posted:
#30
Quote Originally Posted by Mahatma12:
How come no projections for the Tribe/Twins game? Leaning Tribe. Thoughts?
Btw, on the Doyers. Thanks for all you do. You are a true asset to this forum!
How come no projections for the Tribe/Twins game? Leaning Tribe. Thoughts?
Btw, on the Doyers. Thanks for all you do. You are a true asset to this forum!
The data is all crooked on the Twins starter due to limited sample size. I decided to exclude it because of inaccuracy. I lean hard on the Tribe. It's the only game I'm still considering putting action on tonight.
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Posted:
#31
Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:
I thought about the +1.5, but one run games are rare for both the Sox and Yankees. Usually when these two teams play it's all or nothing. Best of luck though!
That's a good point, and I nullified most of the value by taking the +1.5. Oh well..I'm a Sox fan so I'll just be happy if they can pull it off.
Today I'm also taking Cleveland and the Cleveland TT over 4.5. It's kinda late now but I meant to ask you what you thought of it. Deduno has been lucky to keep his ERA under 4 and I was thinking his luck will run out against the righty-hitting Tribe.
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Posted:
#32
Quote Originally Posted by Pasteur:
That's a good point, and I nullified most of the value by taking the +1.5. Oh well..I'm a Sox fan so I'll just be happy if they can pull it off.
Today I'm also taking Cleveland and the Cleveland TT over 4.5. It's kinda late now but I meant to ask you what you thought of it. Deduno has been lucky to keep his ERA under 4 and I was thinking his luck will run out against the righty-hitting Tribe.
That's a good point, and I nullified most of the value by taking the +1.5. Oh well..I'm a Sox fan so I'll just be happy if they can pull it off.
Today I'm also taking Cleveland and the Cleveland TT over 4.5. It's kinda late now but I meant to ask you what you thought of it. Deduno has been lucky to keep his ERA under 4 and I was thinking his luck will run out against the righty-hitting Tribe.
Big YES.
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Posted:
#37
Quote Originally Posted by hotshots23:
Si1y those +1 1/2 on the road are not good bets enless it's a big road dog. +1 1/2 on a home dog is one thing. Not sure why you don't agree.
Si1y those +1 1/2 on the road are not good bets enless it's a big road dog. +1 1/2 on a home dog is one thing. Not sure why you don't agree.
The fact that I went 2-1 over the last 3 days betting the dog at +1.5 should tell you that they're working for me.
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Posted:
#38
The Sox strike first. My run of 'team to score first prop' is over 10 games in a row now and hitting about 75% this month. I'm not personally betting it, but I remember somebody told me they play that prop when they tail. What a streak!
And as I'm typing this another double in the left-center gap and the Sox jump out to a 3-0 early lead with a runner still in scoring position.
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Posted:
#42
Quote Originally Posted by hotshots23:
Haha!!!. Did you lose by one run on your two wins??.
Haha!!!. Did you lose by one run on your two wins??.
On Houston when they gave up 2 in the top of the 9th last night. The Rays lost by 2 in a game where they only allowed runs in one inning. If there's one thing that I'm extremely confident in, it's my ability to analyze the lines and make the most appropriate value play. I appreciate the thought, but I know what I'm doing.
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Posted:
#48
Quote Originally Posted by hotshots23:
I'm just saying you missed out on some profit when Cleveland won str8 up and covered the reverse run line +1 1/2 was nver a factor nor is it most of the time but, if you want to be a dick about it.
I'm just saying you missed out on some profit when Cleveland won str8 up and covered the reverse run line +1 1/2 was nver a factor nor is it most of the time but, if you want to be a dick about it.
Back off hotshot. He's hitting close to 65% this season. I don't think he has a problem with making profit.
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Posted:
#49
Quote Originally Posted by hotshots23:
I'm just saying you missed out on some profit when Cleveland won str8 up and covered the reverse run line +1 1/2 was nver a factor nor is it most of the time but, if you want to be a dick about it.
I'm just saying you missed out on some profit when Cleveland won str8 up and covered the reverse run line +1 1/2 was nver a factor nor is it most of the time but, if you want to be a dick about it.
The +1.5 is a factor in about 28% of major league games. In games that are projected to be closer, this number goes up to over 1/3 games. If it saves a loss of a full unit one out of the three times that I play it, but I miss out on the 60 cents of juice on the other time that the dog wins outright, I'm still a net +0.4 units. I'm not being a dick, I appreciate the gesture, but I disagree with you, that's all. And I think my record on these types of plays speaks for itself.
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