Mr. Nuggets’ 5-Star – Disciplined Edges Only

Cubs vs. Mets – NRFI

• Tylor Megill has consistently shut down hitters in the first inning, maintaining strong early command.
• The Cubs struggle against right-handed pitching, posting a 21.5% strikeout rate.
• The NRFI has cashed in five straight Mets home games, reinforcing the trend.

Reds vs. Astros – NRFI

• Brady Singer holds a 5-2 NRFI record this season, following an elite 26-6 NRFI mark last year.
• Lance McCullers Jr. has historically been a strong first-inning pitcher, posting a 23-5 NRFI record in 2021 and a 7-1 NRFI record in 2022.
• The Astros rank last in MLB in first-inning offense, recording the lowest wOBA and wRC+.

Key Takeaways

• All plays meet strict NRFI criteria, reinforcing disciplined exposure.

5-Star Over Plays – May 10, 2025

             Nationals vs. Cardinals – Over 9.5

• Nationals’ bullpen owns the worst ERA in MLB (7.29), making late-game runs highly likely.
• Cardinals' offense is capable of capitalizing on bad relief pitching.
• Weak starting pitching (Williams vs. Pallante) sets the stage for early scoring.

Ouch

Ouch fr.

Tough Day – But We Stay Dialed In

 We’ve been here before—variance hits, but execution stays sharp. A couple of losses don’t shake the foundation we’ve built.

Big-Picture Mentality:  Our reads were solid—NRFI spots had logic behind them.  Variance played against us today, but the process stays the same.  Bankroll discipline keeps us in control—we bounce back methodically.

Final Approach: This isn’t chasing—it’s strategic adjustments, recalibrating exposure, and staying sharp for the next play.

It all sounds great, even sophisticated!