YTD (0-0 ATS)
For some years now, I have not been able to play baseball. You can believe what you want, but there is good reason for it and it's not up for debate. I'm just sharing with you why I post in most sports, comment on baseball, but don't post on it. So, with that said, I am going to jump back in and provide some observations and analysis when appropriate.
To begin, after the ASB, many pitchers don't have the same control they had before the ASB (and some have more b/c they were awful before it). That is due to the layoff and to the pitch clock, which pitchers will tell you they hate. It forces them at times to overthink and then see time waning before they need to deliver a pitch. For that reason, and this year is NOT an aberration, you will see many more OVERS than UNDERS, at least in the short term. But I will be playing both sides as there is no such thing as only being a one sided handicapper and having winning seasons.
You will also see teams that surge, and others that collapse after the ASB. This too is an annual happening and when you get guys like Eugenio Suarez, who has become a beast, hitting like an MVP so he won't be traded away from a team and clubhouse he loves, it shows you how zoned in these guys can get when they want to. And that, my friends, is contagious in a clubhouse. Some teams I think can make a realistic run to the playoffs and potentially even further: Brewers (obv), Diamondbacks, Mariners, Indians, and Rangers. I do not think the Cardinals have enough nor do I think the Giants do but we will see what happens at the trade deadline. Though I do sneakily like the Mets to get some pitchers back and start to roll.
Just to clarify, for those of you who don't know my system, I will put one unit on every play unless it's a BIG PLAY. In that case, I will be putting at least 2 units and will count it as such. It's honestly too much trouble to deal with the actual pricing of the games plus the record but I will do my best to include that too. I rarely will play favorites in the $200 range as errors and crummy bullpens are all over this years version of MLB. With that said, here are my plays:
NYY (-115): Gausman has been HORRID against the Yankees this year. I know it's hard to beat a guy 3 times but the Yankee bats have come alive and I believe they have the motivation to halt the Jays run tonight. Plus Rodon has bee sublime in night affairs.
SFG (+115): Elder is a fade when pitching at home. Elder is pitching tonight and the Giants need this game. Heart says ATL but head says SF
UNDER 8.5 (LAA/NYM): The Mets just arent' getting it done but they have also missed pitchers such as Senga, who seems to always be injured. Well at least he knows how to pitch when he comes off the IL. I am wagering that this continues against a LHP in Tyler Anderson whom the Mets haven't fared great against LHP this year.
I'm going to post these then maybe make a play on some later games. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all..
Wishing you the best my man…and I’m slightly curious (unless it’s private) how your previous work history limits you from wagering? 
Hot Forum Topics
