MLB Playoffs

Bo Sox +115

Who's pitching game 1?

My guess is G Crochet vs M Fried 

I have data that goes back years and playing these strong ROI lines 

bottom line pitching is not a factor in my decisions. Long term these baseball playoffs are bread and butter profits.  It may have a rare bad season but the next season come back stronger. 

some season the -200 lines are strong but even those have bad seasons.  I don’t play those.  Those are hitting or pitching mismatches 

I play lower lines that are head up even match ups.  With history on my side and the odds dictating my play. 

Also the totals must be reasonable 

no big totals over 9 and no totals under 7 

under 7 jeans a possible pitching dominant performance snd over 9.5 could be a possible hitter dominant game. 

A total of 7 in this game with all the studs the Yankees have to be states a Yankee weakness. 

We will see. 

Don’t bet any dog that listens to 2 in a row.  We need the dogs to be consistent and stay relatively hot.  Keep hitting and pitching strong.  One bad game fine no problem

2 bad games we’ll I’ll let the line and decipher the indicated play. 

The dogs that fit into my system are over 55% winning percentage over 15 years. 

What exactly is the edge here? Is there a specific thing that says Boston?

I think Bos is 4-0 when G Crochet start against the Spankees.

Good luck Spottie.  

Okay: I am using historical data in a data based and my searching and deciphering which games I play is based upon :

away dogs 

lines 

totals 

The indicated dog not on an extended losing streak 

what game in the series.   The data gets marginal in long series because of bullpens and starting rotation and pitchers on short rest.   

not a World Series game 

add all these up together and the data base spits out a side then I bet.  It’s not based upon teams or matchups or anything else.  

Im just posting what works for me.  You guys are in the dark because you have not seen it.  That’s good 

I advise you to do your own capping and if we match on the sides that’s a bonus. 

Dominate teams and matchups are the big lined games.  I target coin flip type games and it has been very fruitful. 

On the other hand not all seasons made profits and some season were -5 units or more. 

Thats the risk 

best wishes 

@football_007

 The line is a coin flip we get a real good pitcher and the rest is about hitting mistakes and errors.  And of course if the pitcher has a good or bad performance.  

The ROI on these wagers since 2006 is 24%

I don’t martingale on one bad game but if a season was previously a loser I do increase my best the next season. 

2024 season these favorites went 4-8 straight up and 0-8 vs the -1.5 tun line. 
I do not expect this type of success every season but 6-6 or even 5-6 is still profitable. 

If anyone is looking for more success than 6-6 or an even type record this is probably not congruent with your outlook. 

24% ROI is grinding out profits slowly but surely.  This can have winning and losing streaks as well. 

I have given you the heads up on all the details available to me.  

best wishes on your plays

@football_007

 That dont mean $hit now. Yankees lineup beat Trevor rogers twice down the stretch and fried has locked in. Fried can match crochet and Yankees can get to bosoxs pen. 

Of course. I wouldn't touch Boston at first. Probably live to see how the game goes. Fried postseason record is not that good as a Braves fan I know...lol

Spankees blowpen is what you need to worry about.

And excuse me but Spankees didn't beat T Rogers twice as you said....go check it out.

I’m not trying to break these games down or handicap based upon any thing baseball is.  I’m simply using a books line and total and history with in a grouping of plays that fit.  Low line coin flips are strong ROI this fits what works well for me. 

if you can use and apply more info to your needs do be it best wishes to all 

Sup spottie. I'm looking into BoSox too they have been outshining the Yanks in the playoffs since the mid 2000's. Thank you for your insight and good luck this postseason !

@Digitalkarma

best wishes thx for stopping in 

SU: 79-64 (0.4, 55.2%) ROI =20.3%  +$2,907    RL: 85-43-0 (2.2, 66.4%)       OU: 72-63-8  2.1% 

playoffs=1 and D and line<140 and game number>161 and league=o:league and opS(W)>82 and p:runs<10 and pp:runs<7 and 3>ou streak and line>104

27% ROI

playoffs=1 and D and line<130 and game number>161 and league=o:league and opS(W)>82 and p:runs<10 and pp:runs<7 and 3>ou streak and line>104

@football_007

 You are right.  They crushed rogers once and he shut them down once. 

Really have to know these pitchers imo… runs at a premium GL everybody 

Hope your system has a winning Fall 

@JJWoods

the line does all that for me.  predict a performance is the unknown and difficult.  

playoffs = 1 and series game < 5 and H and F and line > -155 and t:team = Yankees

4-12

GL  on your plays @spottie2935