Now reading my post it looks like bragging and awkward - sorry about that - you know what I mean Bodio - did not mean to advertise cause there is no need - just that I am furious about stupidity. Capping folk like ourselves have a hard time tailing anyone - does not matter how talented - let alone paying for it so it is unbelievable that someone actually supports stealing and selling by buying it.
Thats it Buddy - I am dom=ne with this subject
Bodio, I have a question and I apologize if you've answered it before but do you depreciate a pitchers arm during the season? If so, is it weighted heavily in you model? Personally, I look at abuse points but I guess I was just wondering if that was something you take into account and whether you thought it was a big deal or not. I understand everyone handicaps a little differently but I was just curious on your take on the issue. I saw an article about it here on covers which made me think of it though I had thought about the issue pretty in-depth before.
I know each pitcher is different so to compare apple to apples you would have to compare a pitcher season over season (i.e. do they historically show fatigue in the middle or late in the season) and then as a pitcher ages you would have to weigh it more heavily (amplify the effect of wear and tear on an arm).
Now reading my post it looks like bragging and awkward - sorry about that - you know what I mean Bodio - did not mean to advertise cause there is no need - just that I am furious about stupidity. Capping folk like ourselves have a hard time tailing anyone - does not matter how talented - let alone paying for it so it is unbelievable that someone actually supports stealing and selling by buying it.
Thats it Buddy - I am dom=ne with this subject
Thanks for taking the time to reply Bodio.
I have been keeping a close eye on pitchers who have had a drop off on their career gb/ao ratios for the season but the early indications from a small sample size are that the angle isnt particularly profitable. I assume this is because if a ground ball pitchers ground ball rate is down then his era is probably already inflated and the information is very much public. The most obvious example of this would be Aaron Cook but every scouting report you read on him atm eludes to the fact that his sinker is not doing its job. He was around +240 taking on CC at Yankee stadium last week, incidentally I am quite surprised that he has opened at pick with Jake Peavy tomorrow given how Peavy has pitched whilst he has been healthy this season, although Peavy does fit into your Morrow/Greinke mould so not sure Coors is the best place for him to pitch!
LD% (i assume Line drive?) is something i have never come across before but i am very intrigued now you bring it up. I guess it directly relates to BABIP but is maybe even a more deep indicator of pitcher 'luck'? Would you mind sharing which website you use for this stat?
Thanks for taking the time to reply Bodio.
I have been keeping a close eye on pitchers who have had a drop off on their career gb/ao ratios for the season but the early indications from a small sample size are that the angle isnt particularly profitable. I assume this is because if a ground ball pitchers ground ball rate is down then his era is probably already inflated and the information is very much public. The most obvious example of this would be Aaron Cook but every scouting report you read on him atm eludes to the fact that his sinker is not doing its job. He was around +240 taking on CC at Yankee stadium last week, incidentally I am quite surprised that he has opened at pick with Jake Peavy tomorrow given how Peavy has pitched whilst he has been healthy this season, although Peavy does fit into your Morrow/Greinke mould so not sure Coors is the best place for him to pitch!
LD% (i assume Line drive?) is something i have never come across before but i am very intrigued now you bring it up. I guess it directly relates to BABIP but is maybe even a more deep indicator of pitcher 'luck'? Would you mind sharing which website you use for this stat?
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