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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    MLB Breakdown Wed 06/29

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    bodio
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 3:43 AM ET #1

    San Francisco Giants 46-34 (58%) @ Chicago Cubs 32-48 (40%)

    T. Lincecum, starting for San Francisco Giants, has a FIP of 2.84 (#19 in MLB), xFIP of 2.88 (#6 in MLB), and tERA of 3.13 (#15 in MLB), with a BABIP of .294, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.33. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.97, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent BA of .222. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 51%, FB%: 31% for a 1.62 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.

    R. Dempster, starting for Chicago Cubs, has a FIP of 4.15 (#122 in MLB), xFIP of 3.39 (#35 in MLB), and tERA of 4.98 (#156 in MLB), with a BABIP of .334, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 1.16. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.49, with a WHIP of 1.49, and opponent BA of .28. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 33% for a 1.43 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.

    San Francisco Giants have the #2 bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #13 in fielding. They have a road record of 22-21 (51%), ranked #11 in MLB and have Won 7 in a row.

    Chicago Cubs have the #25 bullpen, #13 offense, and are rated #26 in fielding. They have a home record of 17-24 (41%), ranked #27 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.

    Dempster has allowed 17 hits and 7 walks in his last 11.3 innings pitched (10k's helped keep to 5 total ER's). He is 3-8 against SFG with a 5.33 ERA and 1.6 WHIP. He has averaged 112 pitches per start over his last 5 outings (102 P/GS YTD). Lincecum gave up 8 hits and 6 ER's in his one start agains the Cubs in 2010. He's coming off a dominant outing with 7 innings pitched, 3 hits allowed, and 12K's to 2 BB's against a weak-hitting Twinkies lineup.

    Odds: SFG -130 (57%) CHC +122 (45%) O/U =

    Lean: Giants
    =======================================

    Cincinnati Reds 41-40 (51%) @ Tampa Bay Rays 45-35 (56%)

    E. Volquez, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a FIP of 5.02 (#177 in MLB), xFIP of 4.02 (#110 in MLB), and tERA of 5.4 (#176 in MLB), with a BABIP of .313, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.75. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.5, with a WHIP of 1.68, and opponent BA of .257. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 30% for a 1.77 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 18%.

    J. Shields, starting for Tampa Bay Rays, has a FIP of 3.1 (#34 in MLB), xFIP of 2.89 (#7 in MLB), and tERA of 3.33 (#30 in MLB), with a BABIP of .25, LOB% of 84%, and E-F of -0.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.18, with a WHIP of 0.96, and opponent BA of .204. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 37% for a 1.2 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.

    Cincinnati Reds have the #23 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #3 in fielding. They have a road record of 19-21 (48%), ranked #15 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

    Tampa Bay Rays have the #29 bullpen, #15 offense, and are rated #1 in fielding. They have a home record of 19-19 (50%), ranked #18 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.

    First time both of these pitchers face these teams. Rays are 9-2 last 11, Reds are 4-7.

    Odds: CIN +155 (39%) TBR -165 (62%) O/U = 8

    Lean: UNDER
    =======================================

    Los Angeles Dodgers 36-45 (44%) @ Minnesota Twins 33-45 (42%)

    R. De La Rosa, starting for Los Angeles Dodgers, has a FIP of 4.89 (#169 in MLB), xFIP of 3.88 (#96 in MLB), and tERA of 5.9 (#185 in MLB), with a BABIP of .373, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 1.21. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.47, with a WHIP of 1.79, and opponent BA of .289. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 24%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 32% for a 1.35 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.

    S. Baker, starting for Minnesota Twins, has a FIP of 3.64 (#74 in MLB), xFIP of 3.49 (#49 in MLB), and tERA of 3.92 (#68 in MLB), with a BABIP of .295, LOB% of 80%, and E-F of -0.25. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.29, with a WHIP of 1.21, and opponent BA of .245. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 36%, FB%: 44% for a 0.8 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

    Los Angeles Dodgers have the #22 bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #19 in fielding. They have a road record of 17-21 (45%), ranked #21 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

    Minnesota Twins have the #30 bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #10 in fielding. They have a home record of 15-17 (47%), ranked #24 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.

    De La Rosa has allowed 13 ER's on 18 hits in his last 15.2 innings pitched (3 starts). He has 18 K's to 10 BB's in that span. Baker is coming off a 'rough' outing @ Milwaukee (8 hits / 4 ER's) but has a 2.70 ERA at home, a full run lower than on the road. Neither pitcher has faced these lineups before.

    Odds: LAD +130 (43%) MIN -138 (58%) O/U = 8

    Lean: Twins
    =======================================

    Kansas City Royals 33-47 (41%) @ San Diego Padres 36-45 (44%)

    B. Chen, starting for Kansas City Royals, has a FIP of 4.66 (#159 in MLB), xFIP of 4.45 (#159 in MLB), and tERA of 5.2 (#171 in MLB), with a BABIP of .288, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of -0.77. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.75, with a WHIP of 1.38, and opponent BA of .271. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 35%, FB%: 45% for a 0.77 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

    T. Stauffer, starting for San Diego Padres, has a FIP of 3.09 (#33 in MLB), xFIP of 2.97 (#11 in MLB), and tERA of 3.52 (#41 in MLB), with a BABIP of .306, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of 0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.57, with a WHIP of 1.21, and opponent BA of .253. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 24% for a 2.28 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

    Kansas City Royals have the #18 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #15 in fielding. They have a road record of 40839 (51%), ranked #12 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.

    San Diego Padres have the #5 bullpen, #29 offense, and are rated #17 in fielding. They have a home record of 18-27 (40%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.

    Stauffer has allowed 3 ER's in his last 4 starts, 29 innings pitched. Chan is pitching his 2nd game since coming off a DL. In his first outing he gave up 4 ER's and 8 hits in 6 innings pitched. Neither pitcher has faced these lineups before. Padres are 6-1 their last 7. KC is 2-8 their last 10.

    Odds: KCR +137 (42%) SDP -146 (59%) O/U = 7

    Lean: Padres and Under
    =======================================

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    San Francisco Giants 46-34 (58%) @ Chicago Cubs 32-48 (40%)

    T. Lincecum, starting for San Francisco Giants, has a FIP of 2.84 (#19 in MLB), xFIP of 2.88 (#6 in MLB), and tERA of 3.13 (#15 in MLB), with a BABIP of .294, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.33. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.97, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent BA of .222. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 51%, FB%: 31% for a 1.62 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.

    R. Dempster, starting for Chicago Cubs, has a FIP of 4.15 (#122 in MLB), xFIP of 3.39 (#35 in MLB), and tERA of 4.98 (#156 in MLB), with a BABIP of .334, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 1.16. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.49, with a WHIP of 1.49, and opponent BA of .28. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 33% for a 1.43 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.

    San Francisco Giants have the #2 bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #13 in fielding. They have a road record of 22-21 (51%), ranked #11 in MLB and have Won 7 in a row.

    Chicago Cubs have the #25 bullpen, #13 offense, and are rated #26 in fielding. They have a home record of 17-24 (41%), ranked #27 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.

    Dempster has allowed 17 hits and 7 walks in his last 11.3 innings pitched (10k's helped keep to 5 total ER's). He is 3-8 against SFG with a 5.33 ERA and 1.6 WHIP. He has averaged 112 pitches per start over his last 5 outings (102 P/GS YTD). Lincecum gave up 8 hits and 6 ER's in his one start agains the Cubs in 2010. He's coming off a dominant outing with 7 innings pitched, 3 hits allowed, and 12K's to 2 BB's against a weak-hitting Twinkies lineup.

    Odds: SFG -130 (57%) CHC +122 (45%) O/U =

    Lean: Giants
    =======================================

    Cincinnati Reds 41-40 (51%) @ Tampa Bay Rays 45-35 (56%)

    E. Volquez, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a FIP of 5.02 (#177 in MLB), xFIP of 4.02 (#110 in MLB), and tERA of 5.4 (#176 in MLB), with a BABIP of .313, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.75. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.5, with a WHIP of 1.68, and opponent BA of .257. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 30% for a 1.77 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 18%.

    J. Shields, starting for Tampa Bay Rays, has a FIP of 3.1 (#34 in MLB), xFIP of 2.89 (#7 in MLB), and tERA of 3.33 (#30 in MLB), with a BABIP of .25, LOB% of 84%, and E-F of -0.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.18, with a WHIP of 0.96, and opponent BA of .204. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 37% for a 1.2 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.

    Cincinnati Reds have the #23 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #3 in fielding. They have a road record of 19-21 (48%), ranked #15 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

    Tampa Bay Rays have the #29 bullpen, #15 offense, and are rated #1 in fielding. They have a home record of 19-19 (50%), ranked #18 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.

    First time both of these pitchers face these teams. Rays are 9-2 last 11, Reds are 4-7.

    Odds: CIN +155 (39%) TBR -165 (62%) O/U = 8

    Lean: UNDER
    =======================================

    Los Angeles Dodgers 36-45 (44%) @ Minnesota Twins 33-45 (42%)

    R. De La Rosa, starting for Los Angeles Dodgers, has a FIP of 4.89 (#169 in MLB), xFIP of 3.88 (#96 in MLB), and tERA of 5.9 (#185 in MLB), with a BABIP of .373, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 1.21. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.47, with a WHIP of 1.79, and opponent BA of .289. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 24%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 32% for a 1.35 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.

    S. Baker, starting for Minnesota Twins, has a FIP of 3.64 (#74 in MLB), xFIP of 3.49 (#49 in MLB), and tERA of 3.92 (#68 in MLB), with a BABIP of .295, LOB% of 80%, and E-F of -0.25. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.29, with a WHIP of 1.21, and opponent BA of .245. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 36%, FB%: 44% for a 0.8 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

    Los Angeles Dodgers have the #22 bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #19 in fielding. They have a road record of 17-21 (45%), ranked #21 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

    Minnesota Twins have the #30 bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #10 in fielding. They have a home record of 15-17 (47%), ranked #24 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.

    De La Rosa has allowed 13 ER's on 18 hits in his last 15.2 innings pitched (3 starts). He has 18 K's to 10 BB's in that span. Baker is coming off a 'rough' outing @ Milwaukee (8 hits / 4 ER's) but has a 2.70 ERA at home, a full run lower than on the road. Neither pitcher has faced these lineups before.

    Odds: LAD +130 (43%) MIN -138 (58%) O/U = 8

    Lean: Twins
    =======================================

    Kansas City Royals 33-47 (41%) @ San Diego Padres 36-45 (44%)

    B. Chen, starting for Kansas City Royals, has a FIP of 4.66 (#159 in MLB), xFIP of 4.45 (#159 in MLB), and tERA of 5.2 (#171 in MLB), with a BABIP of .288, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of -0.77. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.75, with a WHIP of 1.38, and opponent BA of .271. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 35%, FB%: 45% for a 0.77 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

    T. Stauffer, starting for San Diego Padres, has a FIP of 3.09 (#33 in MLB), xFIP of 2.97 (#11 in MLB), and tERA of 3.52 (#41 in MLB), with a BABIP of .306, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of 0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.57, with a WHIP of 1.21, and opponent BA of .253. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 24% for a 2.28 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

    Kansas City Royals have the #18 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #15 in fielding. They have a road record of 40839 (51%), ranked #12 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.

    San Diego Padres have the #5 bullpen, #29 offense, and are rated #17 in fielding. They have a home record of 18-27 (40%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.

    Stauffer has allowed 3 ER's in his last 4 starts, 29 innings pitched. Chan is pitching his 2nd game since coming off a DL. In his first outing he gave up 4 ER's and 8 hits in 6 innings pitched. Neither pitcher has faced these lineups before. Padres are 6-1 their last 7. KC is 2-8 their last 10.

    Odds: KCR +137 (42%) SDP -146 (59%) O/U = 7

    Lean: Padres and Under
    =======================================

     
    bodio
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 3:43 AM ET #2


    Atlanta Braves 46-35 (57%) @ Seattle Mariners 39-41 (49%)

    D. Lowe, starting for Atlanta Braves, has a FIP of 3.55 (#68 in MLB), xFIP of 3.4 (#37 in MLB), and tERA of 3.98 (#78 in MLB), with a BABIP of .303, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.78. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.03, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .258. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 59%, FB%: 23% for a 2.61 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

    F. Hernandez, starting for Seattle Mariners, has a FIP of 2.84 (#19 in MLB), xFIP of 3.09 (#18 in MLB), and tERA of 3.21 (#19 in MLB), with a BABIP of .288, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.35. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.03, with a WHIP of 1.16, and opponent BA of .224. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 48%, FB%: 32% for a 1.5 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.

    Atlanta Braves have the #1 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #23 in fielding. They have a road record of 24-18 (57%), ranked #4 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.

    Seattle Mariners have the #10 bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #27 in fielding. They have a home record of 23-21 (52%), ranked #16 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.

    Lowe has allowed 13 ER's on 23 hits in his last 16 innings pitched. Two of those games were at SD and at HOU (3rd was vs TEX). Hernandez is coming off a dominant performance in Florida and has never faced Atlanta before.

    Odds: ATL +136 (42%) SEA -144 (59%) O/U = 6

    Lean: none
    =======================================


    Cleveland Indians 41-37 (53%) @ Arizona Diamondbacks 44-37 (54%)

    C. Carrasco, starting for Cleveland Indians, has a FIP of 3.31 (#44 in MLB), xFIP of 3.7 (#73 in MLB), and tERA of 3.58 (#43 in MLB), with a BABIP of .279, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 0.31. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.3, with a WHIP of 1.21, and opponent BA of .246. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 50%, FB%: 32% for a 1.56 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.

    Z. Duke, starting for Arizona Diamondbacks, has a FIP of 3.16 (#35 in MLB), xFIP of 3.9 (#98 in MLB), and tERA of 3.95 (#74 in MLB), with a BABIP of .385, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 2.57. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.33, with a WHIP of 1.67, and opponent BA of .34. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 36% for a 1.2 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.

    Cleveland Indians have the #19 bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #18 in fielding. They have a road record of 17-23 (43%), ranked #23 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

    Arizona Diamondbacks have the #8 bullpen, #8 offense, and are rated #2 in fielding. They have a home record of 23-18 (56%), ranked #11 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.

    Carasco has allowed 2 ER's in his last 29.2 innings pitched. He has never faced this Arizona lineup before. Duke got 'shelled' for 3rd consecutive start. Indians's offense is bottom 10 against lefty pitchers.

    Odds: CLE -104 (51%) ARI -102 (50%) O/U = 9.5

    Lean: none
    =======================================

    Washington Nationals 40-40 (50%) @ LAA Angels 41-40 (51%)

    J. Zimmermann, starting for Washington Nationals, has a FIP of 2.75 (#14 in MLB), xFIP of 3.66 (#69 in MLB), and tERA of 2.96 (#10 in MLB), with a BABIP of .281, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.53, with a WHIP of 1.11, and opponent BA of .237. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 42% for a 0.98 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 3%.

    D. Haren, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP of 2.76 (#16 in MLB), xFIP of 3.06 (#15 in MLB), and tERA of 2.81 (#8 in MLB), with a BABIP of .283, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.32. He has a K/BB ratio of 5.35, with a WHIP of 1.07, and opponent BA of .235. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 38% for a 1.2 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.

    Washington Nationals have the #19 bullpen, #24 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a road record of 18-27 (40%), ranked #24 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.

    LAA Angels have the #21 bullpen, #18 offense, and are rated #4 in fielding. They have a home record of 17-20 (46%), ranked #25 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.

    Zimmermann hasn't allowed more than 3 ER's (only once) in any of his starts since May 1st. He has never faced this Angels lineup. Haren has allowed 3 or more ER's in 6 consecutive starts (23 ER's in 36 innings). He has allowed 9 ER's on 17 hits in his last 10 innings pitched (2 starts) with 2 HR's and 5K's to 2 BB's.

    Odds: WSN +132 (43%) LAA -140 (58%) O/U = 6.5

    Lean: Nats
    =======================================

    New York Mets 40-39 (51%) @ Detroit Tigers 43-37 (54%)

    C. Capuano, starting for New York Mets, has a FIP of 3.8 (#89 in MLB), xFIP of 3.7 (#73 in MLB), and tERA of 3.6 (#45 in MLB), with a BABIP of .316, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of 0.13. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.09, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA of .269. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 41% for a 1.07 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.

    P. Coke, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a FIP of 3.57 (#70 in MLB), xFIP of 4.68 (#174 in MLB), and tERA of 4.04 (#84 in MLB), with a BABIP of .29, LOB% of 62%, and E-F of 0.63. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.29, with a WHIP of 1.4, and opponent BA of .257. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 42%, FB%: 39% for a 1.08 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 3%.

    New York Mets have the #14 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #22 in fielding. They have a road record of 22-19 (54%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.

    Detroit Tigers have the #24 bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #8 in fielding. They have a home record of 25-16 (61%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

    Coke has given up 9 ER's in his last 9 innings pitched with 3 K's and 9 BB's. Capuano has given up 3 ER's in his last 25 innings pitched. Tigers are 16-8 against lefties this year.

    Odds: NYM +122 (45%) DET -130 (57%) O/U = 9.5

    Lean: none
    =======================================

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    Atlanta Braves 46-35 (57%) @ Seattle Mariners 39-41 (49%)

    D. Lowe, starting for Atlanta Braves, has a FIP of 3.55 (#68 in MLB), xFIP of 3.4 (#37 in MLB), and tERA of 3.98 (#78 in MLB), with a BABIP of .303, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.78. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.03, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .258. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 59%, FB%: 23% for a 2.61 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

    F. Hernandez, starting for Seattle Mariners, has a FIP of 2.84 (#19 in MLB), xFIP of 3.09 (#18 in MLB), and tERA of 3.21 (#19 in MLB), with a BABIP of .288, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.35. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.03, with a WHIP of 1.16, and opponent BA of .224. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 48%, FB%: 32% for a 1.5 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.

    Atlanta Braves have the #1 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #23 in fielding. They have a road record of 24-18 (57%), ranked #4 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.

    Seattle Mariners have the #10 bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #27 in fielding. They have a home record of 23-21 (52%), ranked #16 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.

    Lowe has allowed 13 ER's on 23 hits in his last 16 innings pitched. Two of those games were at SD and at HOU (3rd was vs TEX). Hernandez is coming off a dominant performance in Florida and has never faced Atlanta before.

    Odds: ATL +136 (42%) SEA -144 (59%) O/U = 6

    Lean: none
    =======================================


    Cleveland Indians 41-37 (53%) @ Arizona Diamondbacks 44-37 (54%)

    C. Carrasco, starting for Cleveland Indians, has a FIP of 3.31 (#44 in MLB), xFIP of 3.7 (#73 in MLB), and tERA of 3.58 (#43 in MLB), with a BABIP of .279, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 0.31. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.3, with a WHIP of 1.21, and opponent BA of .246. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 50%, FB%: 32% for a 1.56 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.

    Z. Duke, starting for Arizona Diamondbacks, has a FIP of 3.16 (#35 in MLB), xFIP of 3.9 (#98 in MLB), and tERA of 3.95 (#74 in MLB), with a BABIP of .385, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 2.57. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.33, with a WHIP of 1.67, and opponent BA of .34. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 36% for a 1.2 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.

    Cleveland Indians have the #19 bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #18 in fielding. They have a road record of 17-23 (43%), ranked #23 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

    Arizona Diamondbacks have the #8 bullpen, #8 offense, and are rated #2 in fielding. They have a home record of 23-18 (56%), ranked #11 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.

    Carasco has allowed 2 ER's in his last 29.2 innings pitched. He has never faced this Arizona lineup before. Duke got 'shelled' for 3rd consecutive start. Indians's offense is bottom 10 against lefty pitchers.

    Odds: CLE -104 (51%) ARI -102 (50%) O/U = 9.5

    Lean: none
    =======================================

    Washington Nationals 40-40 (50%) @ LAA Angels 41-40 (51%)

    J. Zimmermann, starting for Washington Nationals, has a FIP of 2.75 (#14 in MLB), xFIP of 3.66 (#69 in MLB), and tERA of 2.96 (#10 in MLB), with a BABIP of .281, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.53, with a WHIP of 1.11, and opponent BA of .237. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 42% for a 0.98 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 3%.

    D. Haren, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP of 2.76 (#16 in MLB), xFIP of 3.06 (#15 in MLB), and tERA of 2.81 (#8 in MLB), with a BABIP of .283, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.32. He has a K/BB ratio of 5.35, with a WHIP of 1.07, and opponent BA of .235. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 38% for a 1.2 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.

    Washington Nationals have the #19 bullpen, #24 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a road record of 18-27 (40%), ranked #24 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.

    LAA Angels have the #21 bullpen, #18 offense, and are rated #4 in fielding. They have a home record of 17-20 (46%), ranked #25 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.

    Zimmermann hasn't allowed more than 3 ER's (only once) in any of his starts since May 1st. He has never faced this Angels lineup. Haren has allowed 3 or more ER's in 6 consecutive starts (23 ER's in 36 innings). He has allowed 9 ER's on 17 hits in his last 10 innings pitched (2 starts) with 2 HR's and 5K's to 2 BB's.

    Odds: WSN +132 (43%) LAA -140 (58%) O/U = 6.5

    Lean: Nats
    =======================================

    New York Mets 40-39 (51%) @ Detroit Tigers 43-37 (54%)

    C. Capuano, starting for New York Mets, has a FIP of 3.8 (#89 in MLB), xFIP of 3.7 (#73 in MLB), and tERA of 3.6 (#45 in MLB), with a BABIP of .316, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of 0.13. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.09, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA of .269. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 41% for a 1.07 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.

    P. Coke, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a FIP of 3.57 (#70 in MLB), xFIP of 4.68 (#174 in MLB), and tERA of 4.04 (#84 in MLB), with a BABIP of .29, LOB% of 62%, and E-F of 0.63. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.29, with a WHIP of 1.4, and opponent BA of .257. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 42%, FB%: 39% for a 1.08 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 3%.

    New York Mets have the #14 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #22 in fielding. They have a road record of 22-19 (54%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.

    Detroit Tigers have the #24 bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #8 in fielding. They have a home record of 25-16 (61%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

    Coke has given up 9 ER's in his last 9 innings pitched with 3 K's and 9 BB's. Capuano has given up 3 ER's in his last 25 innings pitched. Tigers are 16-8 against lefties this year.

    Odds: NYM +122 (45%) DET -130 (57%) O/U = 9.5

    Lean: none
    =======================================

     
    bodio
    bodio
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 3:44 AM ET #3


    St Louis Cardinals 42-38 (53%) @ Baltimore Orioles 35-41 (46%)

    C. Carpenter, starting for St Louis Cardinals, has a FIP of 3.37 (#50 in MLB), xFIP of 3.26 (#23 in MLB), and tERA of 4.23 (#107 in MLB), with a BABIP of .323, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 0.89. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.4, with a WHIP of 1.35, and opponent BA of .275. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 24%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 29% for a 1.6 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 20%.

    C. Jakubauskas, starting for Baltimore Orioles, has a FIP of 3.49 (#64 in MLB), xFIP of 3.86 (#94 in MLB), and tERA of 5.17 (#169 in MLB), with a BABIP of .317, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.94. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.78, with a WHIP of 1.48, and opponent BA of .263. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 26%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 33% for a 1.25 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.

    St Louis Cardinals have the #26 bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #24 in fielding. They have a road record of 21-20 (51%), ranked #10 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.

    Baltimore Orioles have the #16 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #30 in fielding. They have a home record of 22-20 (52%), ranked #15 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

    Carpenter has thrown 124 pitches in 2 consecutive outings (YTD: 106 P/GS). Jakubauskas is coming off a 76 pitch outing. He has an ERA of 2.70 in his 2 home starts.

    Odds: STL -133 (57%) BAL +125 (44%) O/U = 8.5

    Lean: none
    =======================================

    Boston Red Sox 45-33 (58%) @ Philadelphia Phillies 50-30 (63%)

    J. Lackey, starting for Boston Red Sox, has a FIP of 5.08 (#180 in MLB), xFIP of 5.03 (#190 in MLB), and tERA of 5.65 (#181 in MLB), with a BABIP of .313, LOB% of 59%, and E-F of 2.28. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.46, with a WHIP of 1.6, and opponent BA of .288. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 38%, FB%: 41% for a 0.91 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.

    V. Worley, starting for Philadelphia Phillies, has a FIP of 3.34 (#47 in MLB), xFIP of 4.28 (#149 in MLB), and tERA of 3.83 (#60 in MLB), with a BABIP of .293, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of -0.43. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.64, with a WHIP of 1.42, and opponent BA of .244. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 38% for a 1.17 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.

    Boston Red Sox have the #10 bullpen, #1 offense, and are rated #5 in fielding. They have a road record of 23-17 (58%), ranked #3 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

    Philadelphia Phillies have the #28 bullpen, #20 offense, and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a home record of 31-13 (70%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.

    Bostoni s 1-5 their last 6 inter-league games. Offense seems to be struggling without Ortiz and Crawford. Worley has given up 1 ER in his last 2 starts (11 innings) albeit against OAK and SEA. He has never faced any of the Red Sox batters.

    Odds: BOS +120 (45%) PHI -127 (56%) O/U = 9.5

    Lean: Philly
    =======================================

    Pittsburgh Pirates 40-38 (51%) @ Toronto Blue Jays 39-41 (49%)

    P. Maholm, starting for Pittsburgh Pirates, has a FIP of 3.69 (#79 in MLB), xFIP of 4.02 (#110 in MLB), and tERA of 4.38 (#118 in MLB), with a BABIP of .25, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.48. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.7, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent BA of .22. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 32% for a 1.48 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.

    B. Morrow, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has a FIP of 2.7 (#12 in MLB), xFIP of 3.33 (#28 in MLB), and tERA of 3.47 (#38 in MLB), with a BABIP of .337, LOB% of 64%, and E-F of 2.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 3, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .245. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 25%, GB%: 30%, FB%: 45% for a 0.66 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.

    Pittsburgh Pirates have the #13 bullpen, #25 offense, and are rated #9 in fielding. They have a road record of 21-18 (54%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.

    Toronto Blue Jays have the #9 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #25 in fielding. They have a home record of 17-19 (47%), ranked #23 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.

    Maholm is a lefty and Toronto crushes 'lefty' pitchers this year. Maholm's road ERA of 4.63 is 2.55 higher than his home ERA of 2.08. Morrow has never faced the Pirates but has a home ERA of 8.13 this season. Pirates are 5-1 their last 6 and are very respectable on the road this year.

    Odds: PIT +161 (38%) TOR -172 (63%) O/U = 8

    Lean: OVER
    =======================================

    Milwaukee Brewers 44-36 (55%) @ New York Yankees 46-31 (60%)

    S. Marcum, starting for Milwaukee Brewers, has a FIP of 3.16 (#35 in MLB), xFIP of 3.34 (#29 in MLB), and tERA of 3.27 (#24 in MLB), with a BABIP of .256, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.21. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.44, with a WHIP of 1.06, and opponent BA of .212. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 36%, FB%: 45% for a 0.79 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.

    A. Burnett, starting for New York Yankees, has a FIP of 4.57 (#153 in MLB), xFIP of 3.92 (#100 in MLB), and tERA of 4.93 (#152 in MLB), with a BABIP of .245, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of -0.41. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.88, with a WHIP of 1.26, and opponent BA of .22. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 36% for a 1.31 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 14%.

    Milwaukee Brewers have the #4 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #12 in fielding. They have a road record of 15-25 (38%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

    New York Yankees have the #17 bullpen, #2 offense, and are rated #6 in fielding. They have a home record of 26-18 (59%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.

    Marcum is a much better pitcher statistically but backign him in NY is tough to do. Brewers are one of the worst road teams in the league and Marcum has an ERA of 6.47 and WHIP of 1.6 against the Yankees. He is 1-4 in those games, with this team at 3-6. Marcum did throw a total of 98 pitches in his last 2 starts (4 total innings) due to some sort of a hip injury. Supposedly he's healthy. I think it's best to just watch this one.

    Odds: MIL +130 (43%) NYY -138 (58%) O/U = 9

    Lean: none
    =======================================

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    St Louis Cardinals 42-38 (53%) @ Baltimore Orioles 35-41 (46%)

    C. Carpenter, starting for St Louis Cardinals, has a FIP of 3.37 (#50 in MLB), xFIP of 3.26 (#23 in MLB), and tERA of 4.23 (#107 in MLB), with a BABIP of .323, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 0.89. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.4, with a WHIP of 1.35, and opponent BA of .275. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 24%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 29% for a 1.6 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 20%.

    C. Jakubauskas, starting for Baltimore Orioles, has a FIP of 3.49 (#64 in MLB), xFIP of 3.86 (#94 in MLB), and tERA of 5.17 (#169 in MLB), with a BABIP of .317, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.94. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.78, with a WHIP of 1.48, and opponent BA of .263. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 26%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 33% for a 1.25 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.

    St Louis Cardinals have the #26 bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #24 in fielding. They have a road record of 21-20 (51%), ranked #10 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.

    Baltimore Orioles have the #16 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #30 in fielding. They have a home record of 22-20 (52%), ranked #15 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

    Carpenter has thrown 124 pitches in 2 consecutive outings (YTD: 106 P/GS). Jakubauskas is coming off a 76 pitch outing. He has an ERA of 2.70 in his 2 home starts.

    Odds: STL -133 (57%) BAL +125 (44%) O/U = 8.5

    Lean: none
    =======================================

    Boston Red Sox 45-33 (58%) @ Philadelphia Phillies 50-30 (63%)

    J. Lackey, starting for Boston Red Sox, has a FIP of 5.08 (#180 in MLB), xFIP of 5.03 (#190 in MLB), and tERA of 5.65 (#181 in MLB), with a BABIP of .313, LOB% of 59%, and E-F of 2.28. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.46, with a WHIP of 1.6, and opponent BA of .288. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 38%, FB%: 41% for a 0.91 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.

    V. Worley, starting for Philadelphia Phillies, has a FIP of 3.34 (#47 in MLB), xFIP of 4.28 (#149 in MLB), and tERA of 3.83 (#60 in MLB), with a BABIP of .293, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of -0.43. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.64, with a WHIP of 1.42, and opponent BA of .244. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 38% for a 1.17 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.

    Boston Red Sox have the #10 bullpen, #1 offense, and are rated #5 in fielding. They have a road record of 23-17 (58%), ranked #3 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

    Philadelphia Phillies have the #28 bullpen, #20 offense, and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a home record of 31-13 (70%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.

    Bostoni s 1-5 their last 6 inter-league games. Offense seems to be struggling without Ortiz and Crawford. Worley has given up 1 ER in his last 2 starts (11 innings) albeit against OAK and SEA. He has never faced any of the Red Sox batters.

    Odds: BOS +120 (45%) PHI -127 (56%) O/U = 9.5

    Lean: Philly
    =======================================

    Pittsburgh Pirates 40-38 (51%) @ Toronto Blue Jays 39-41 (49%)

    P. Maholm, starting for Pittsburgh Pirates, has a FIP of 3.69 (#79 in MLB), xFIP of 4.02 (#110 in MLB), and tERA of 4.38 (#118 in MLB), with a BABIP of .25, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.48. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.7, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent BA of .22. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 32% for a 1.48 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.

    B. Morrow, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has a FIP of 2.7 (#12 in MLB), xFIP of 3.33 (#28 in MLB), and tERA of 3.47 (#38 in MLB), with a BABIP of .337, LOB% of 64%, and E-F of 2.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 3, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .245. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 25%, GB%: 30%, FB%: 45% for a 0.66 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.

    Pittsburgh Pirates have the #13 bullpen, #25 offense, and are rated #9 in fielding. They have a road record of 21-18 (54%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.

    Toronto Blue Jays have the #9 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #25 in fielding. They have a home record of 17-19 (47%), ranked #23 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.

    Maholm is a lefty and Toronto crushes 'lefty' pitchers this year. Maholm's road ERA of 4.63 is 2.55 higher than his home ERA of 2.08. Morrow has never faced the Pirates but has a home ERA of 8.13 this season. Pirates are 5-1 their last 6 and are very respectable on the road this year.

    Odds: PIT +161 (38%) TOR -172 (63%) O/U = 8

    Lean: OVER
    =======================================

    Milwaukee Brewers 44-36 (55%) @ New York Yankees 46-31 (60%)

    S. Marcum, starting for Milwaukee Brewers, has a FIP of 3.16 (#35 in MLB), xFIP of 3.34 (#29 in MLB), and tERA of 3.27 (#24 in MLB), with a BABIP of .256, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.21. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.44, with a WHIP of 1.06, and opponent BA of .212. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 36%, FB%: 45% for a 0.79 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.

    A. Burnett, starting for New York Yankees, has a FIP of 4.57 (#153 in MLB), xFIP of 3.92 (#100 in MLB), and tERA of 4.93 (#152 in MLB), with a BABIP of .245, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of -0.41. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.88, with a WHIP of 1.26, and opponent BA of .22. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 36% for a 1.31 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 14%.

    Milwaukee Brewers have the #4 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #12 in fielding. They have a road record of 15-25 (38%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

    New York Yankees have the #17 bullpen, #2 offense, and are rated #6 in fielding. They have a home record of 26-18 (59%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.

    Marcum is a much better pitcher statistically but backign him in NY is tough to do. Brewers are one of the worst road teams in the league and Marcum has an ERA of 6.47 and WHIP of 1.6 against the Yankees. He is 1-4 in those games, with this team at 3-6. Marcum did throw a total of 98 pitches in his last 2 starts (4 total innings) due to some sort of a hip injury. Supposedly he's healthy. I think it's best to just watch this one.

    Odds: MIL +130 (43%) NYY -138 (58%) O/U = 9

    Lean: none
    =======================================

     
    bodio
    bodio
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 3:44 AM ET #4


    Texas Rangers 42-38 (53%) @ Houston Astros 28-52 (35%)

    C. Lewis, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 4.94 (#172 in MLB), xFIP of 4.1 (#123 in MLB), and tERA of 5.04 (#162 in MLB), with a BABIP of .27, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.51. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.85, with a WHIP of 1.26, and opponent BA of .251. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 31%, FB%: 52% for a 0.6 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.

    B. Myers, starting for Houston Astros, has a FIP of 5.01 (#176 in MLB), xFIP of 3.95 (#102 in MLB), and tERA of 4.88 (#146 in MLB), with a BABIP of .275, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.37. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.34, with a WHIP of 1.32, and opponent BA of .259. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 15%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 42% for a 1.04 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.

    Texas Rangers have the #27 bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #7 in fielding. They have a road record of 19-22 (46%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.

    Houston Astros have the #6 bullpen, #18 offense, and are rated #29 in fielding. They have a home record of 13-29 (31%), ranked #30 in MLB and have Lost 4 in a row.

    Rematch of last week's meeting between the same two pitchers. Lewis left after 7 without giving up a run, but Rangers' pen blew it in a 5-3 loss. Myers was pretty effective also, allowing 2 ER's in 6 innings.

    Odds: TEX -138 (58%) HOU +130 (43%) O/U = 8.5

    Lean: none
    =======================================

    Chicago White Sox 38-42 (48%) @ Colorado Rockies 39-40 (49%)

    M. Buehrle, starting for Chicago White Sox, has a FIP of 3.87 (#99 in MLB), xFIP of 4.25 (#144 in MLB), and tERA of 4.27 (#109 in MLB), with a BABIP of .299, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.14. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.13, with a WHIP of 1.31, and opponent BA of .277. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 41% for a 1.01 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.

    U. Jimenez, starting for Colorado Rockies, has a FIP of 3.74 (#84 in MLB), xFIP of 3.78 (#85 in MLB), and tERA of 4.65 (#133 in MLB), with a BABIP of .299, LOB% of 65%, and E-F of 0.76. He has a K/BB ratio of 2, with a WHIP of 1.39, and opponent BA of .246. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 34% for a 1.36 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.

    Chicago White Sox have the #7 bullpen, #15 offense, and are rated #21 in fielding. They have a road record of 19-22 (46%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.

    Colorado Rockies have the #3 bullpen, #9 offense, and are rated #11 in fielding. They have a home record of 20-19 (51%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.

    Buehrle has allowed 3 ER's or less in 10 straight starts. He has never faced the Rockies. Jimenez has an ERA of 6.86 at home with a 1-5 record. He is coming off 119 pitches, the most he's thrown this year.

    Odds: CHW +141 (41%) COL -150 (60%) O/U = 9

    Lean: White Sox and OVER
    =======================================
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    Texas Rangers 42-38 (53%) @ Houston Astros 28-52 (35%)

    C. Lewis, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 4.94 (#172 in MLB), xFIP of 4.1 (#123 in MLB), and tERA of 5.04 (#162 in MLB), with a BABIP of .27, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.51. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.85, with a WHIP of 1.26, and opponent BA of .251. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 31%, FB%: 52% for a 0.6 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.

    B. Myers, starting for Houston Astros, has a FIP of 5.01 (#176 in MLB), xFIP of 3.95 (#102 in MLB), and tERA of 4.88 (#146 in MLB), with a BABIP of .275, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.37. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.34, with a WHIP of 1.32, and opponent BA of .259. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 15%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 42% for a 1.04 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.

    Texas Rangers have the #27 bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #7 in fielding. They have a road record of 19-22 (46%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.

    Houston Astros have the #6 bullpen, #18 offense, and are rated #29 in fielding. They have a home record of 13-29 (31%), ranked #30 in MLB and have Lost 4 in a row.

    Rematch of last week's meeting between the same two pitchers. Lewis left after 7 without giving up a run, but Rangers' pen blew it in a 5-3 loss. Myers was pretty effective also, allowing 2 ER's in 6 innings.

    Odds: TEX -138 (58%) HOU +130 (43%) O/U = 8.5

    Lean: none
    =======================================

    Chicago White Sox 38-42 (48%) @ Colorado Rockies 39-40 (49%)

    M. Buehrle, starting for Chicago White Sox, has a FIP of 3.87 (#99 in MLB), xFIP of 4.25 (#144 in MLB), and tERA of 4.27 (#109 in MLB), with a BABIP of .299, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.14. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.13, with a WHIP of 1.31, and opponent BA of .277. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 41% for a 1.01 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.

    U. Jimenez, starting for Colorado Rockies, has a FIP of 3.74 (#84 in MLB), xFIP of 3.78 (#85 in MLB), and tERA of 4.65 (#133 in MLB), with a BABIP of .299, LOB% of 65%, and E-F of 0.76. He has a K/BB ratio of 2, with a WHIP of 1.39, and opponent BA of .246. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 34% for a 1.36 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.

    Chicago White Sox have the #7 bullpen, #15 offense, and are rated #21 in fielding. They have a road record of 19-22 (46%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.

    Colorado Rockies have the #3 bullpen, #9 offense, and are rated #11 in fielding. They have a home record of 20-19 (51%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.

    Buehrle has allowed 3 ER's or less in 10 straight starts. He has never faced the Rockies. Jimenez has an ERA of 6.86 at home with a 1-5 record. He is coming off 119 pitches, the most he's thrown this year.

    Odds: CHW +141 (41%) COL -150 (60%) O/U = 9

    Lean: White Sox and OVER
    =======================================
     
    crayoncrawler
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 3:56 AM ET #5

    great stuff! thanks for your hard work
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    great stuff! thanks for your hard work
     
    LasVegasLord
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 4:02 AM ET #6

    BOL Bodio
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    BOL Bodio
     
    LanceLogan
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 4:04 AM ET #7

    Holy fuck dude,talk about putting some work in,good shit
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    Holy fuck dude,talk about putting some work in,good shit
     
    Ezmoney123
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 4:09 AM ET #8

    You have some sick write-ups bro
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    You have some sick write-ups bro
     
    Dgretzky69
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 4:20 AM ET #9

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    IcyFlame
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 4:22 AM ET #10

    just curious, how long did it take you to do these write-ups for today?
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    just curious, how long did it take you to do these write-ups for today?
     
    LasVegasLord
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 4:29 AM ET #11

    As long as I don't post Cash Magician does not steal my picks and sell them.    Just glad he does not look at my WBA Pick.

    All the best brother. 
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    As long as I don't post Cash Magician does not steal my picks and sell them.    Just glad he does not look at my WBA Pick.

    All the best brother. 
     
    unclebruce
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 4:59 AM ET #12

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    Dogjimbo
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 5:17 AM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by LasVegasLord:

    As long as I don't post Cash Magician does not steal my picks and sell them.    Just glad he does not look at my WBA Pick.

    All the best brother. 
    You ain't that good brother.  No one is gonna steal a pick. Atleast not me LVL.    haha..just play'n
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    Quote Originally Posted by LasVegasLord:

    As long as I don't post Cash Magician does not steal my picks and sell them.    Just glad he does not look at my WBA Pick.

    All the best brother. 
    You ain't that good brother.  No one is gonna steal a pick. Atleast not me LVL.    haha..just play'n
     
    xmatt21x
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 5:45 AM ET #14

    Appreciate your write-ups Bodio, your the best!
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    Appreciate your write-ups Bodio, your the best!
     
    timdogs17
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 6:11 AM ET #15

    Great stuff bodio
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    Great stuff bodio
     
    Iw1nBets
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 6:36 AM ET #16

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    ajcoleman22
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 7:24 AM ET #17

    Nice
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    Nice
     
    Louis_IV
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 7:28 AM ET #18

    nice info bodio

    thanks

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    nice info bodio

    thanks

     
    TomGermany
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 8:04 AM ET #19

    nice work
    bol today
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    nice work
    bol today
     
    5t4r5align
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 8:07 AM ET #20

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    comefrombehind
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 8:10 AM ET #21

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    michaelpaul1
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 8:12 AM ET #22

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    Barbosa212
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 8:26 AM ET #23

    The good news was way better than the bad news.  This is complete awesomeness.   

    @LVL Cash Magician is a little slime-ball and that website blowz.  
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    The good news was way better than the bad news.  This is complete awesomeness.   

    @LVL Cash Magician is a little slime-ball and that website blowz.  
     
    DanTos8715
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 8:33 AM ET #24

    Does bullpen just mean exactly that, bullpen?  Because I am having a hard time believing that the Brewers have the #4 bullpen.  It seems like they have been pretty brutal this year.
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    Does bullpen just mean exactly that, bullpen?  Because I am having a hard time believing that the Brewers have the #4 bullpen.  It seems like they have been pretty brutal this year.
     
     
    I_Need_A_Detox
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2011 - 8:54 AM ET #25

    GL Bodio
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    GL Bodio
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