My play on this early game is the under 7.5 -115. The Phillies have won each of Lee's last three starts, thanks to a 1.33 ERA over that time frame. He has allowed just three runs total during this time. He has been effective in daytime starts this season with a 3.14 ERA in nine starts. He should benefit here from facing Miami a lineup that averages just 3.8 rpg vs. lefties. In addition, the Phillies are a NL best 13-4 since Aug 23rd. Only problem here is that Rollins and the rest of the top of the Phillies' order has really struggled when facing Johnson. Ryan Howard, Chase Utley and Carlos Ruiz are a combined 0 for 12 vs. Johnson this year with six strikeouts. It's interesting to note that before scoring nine runs last night, Philadelphia wasn't even averaging four runs per game over their previous seven contests. They are 35-24 Under during the second half of the season. Miami is 27-16 Under this season on the road when the O/U line falls between 7 and 8.5.
I am parlaying the under pick with Angels -122 and D'Backs -125.
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