JMHO 6/17

33-46-6, -1,053.96 - ROR -13.2%

6/17/2026

FG – Reds +116 McLean/Lodolo

Looks to me like linemakers and bettors are buying into the “won’t get swept” angle. Well, I’m not buying it. McLean has not been impressive lately and Lodolo has been coming along very nicely. The R/L matchup is to the Reds advantage and they have defeated seven straight right-handed starters in the starter vs starter category. The Mets have not beaten a lefty in that category in quite some time.

I will almost assuredly have another later, but more work to do.

Play At Your Own Risk.

Good luck Key.  

@KeyElement

 Reds playing good baseball, BOL!!

BOL today Key!  

Did you mean to type FG?  You're usually a F5 guy and your write-up suggest Reds have the starter vs starter advantage here.

@kimoinsd808

 Yes, I like F5, but too many games this year have been lost or tied in F5 before my team gets rolling. Full game is usually slightly better odds than F5. In this case either will work, and that is normally the case. Good question, Thanx

I like it, fwiw...

Supposed to be a bunch of bad weather moving through the Midwest and Ohio Valley today, not sure if Cincinnati is in the path or not.

Talk to me about the Angels game if you may. 

Aldegheri's last 3 outings(11.1 innings) 0.79 era. Sample size from a young kid I know.

Eduardo Rodriguez last 3 outings(15 innings) 3.60 era, but a 5.63 fip. And, he was only able to finish 2.2 innings last time out on 85 pitches. He labored, something may be up?

Should the Snakes be -166 here?

Good Luck Key 

@kimoinsd808

 Oh, and, sometimes F5 lines are not yet posted, and I want to play early to avoid bad change in odds.

@undermysac

 No way snakes should be that high, but I am still looking at that game. More later, and if it is not a pick of mine I will update my opinion for YOU.

@KeyElement

KEY 

Nothing else for me today, the balance of the card is a mess. Wednesdays and Thursdays lately these teams look like they don't have any idea what to do, just a bunch of bullpen starts with questionable regulars coming in after. Bah-Humbug

Cya tomorrow.

All good!

enjoy your evening