Posted:
#1
I got my a$$ kicked, how about everyone else?
Did the public just tee off on the sharps today?
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Views: 891
Posts: 10
Posted:
#6
Ha! No such thing as sharps. Just winners and losers. "Sharp" and "Square" are too of the most overused terms in all of sports handicapping. Oddsmakers factor public perception more than anything else when setting odds, lines, spreads. And of course the general public more times than not are flat out wrong but it's gotten to the point where people think "dog" is synonymous with "sharp" and "favorite" is synonymous with "square".
R.I.P. #94 MARSHAWN KNEELAND - DC4L
Posted:
#9
The last month or so of the season you should ONLY be betting on teams that have a shot to make the playoffs. Pick your spots and grab the best plays available. Any team that's playing to win the division, or any team that's a couple games out of the wild card at best. It makes no sense trying to be a genius at this time of year, and go against a team who's giving their all to make the playoffs. I've taken this approach every single year for the past 6 years or so, and September is always my most profitable month of baseball year in and year out.
Take last night for example:
1. Boston --playing for a division title and were EVEN money
1. Cubs -- playing for a division title and were underdogs
3. Milawukee -- playing against probably the absolute worst team in baseball who was on a 7 game losing streak and have lost 12 of their last 13 games and can't score to save their lives were EVEN money
4. STL -- yeah their 5 games back or so of the wild card, but they're coming off getting swept by the cubbies playing the reds whoa re one of the leagues worst teams. They NEEDED to win to keep any sort of life in them. They were only a very short favorite.
This approach should only be taken when the line is reasonable. Maybe never taking a favorite over -150. It may have seemed like a trap to take the cubs or milwaukee last night, but what is the point of trying to be a genius going against these teams who have played the last 5 months to get to the point their in? Which is getting to the playoffs.
Take two nights agao. Again same situation for Boston and Milwaukee. Both were short dogs/EVEN against Pittsburgh and Baltimore, and both came out victorious. Just keep riding the good squads, under -150, and in the playoff hunt and you will cash the next 10 days.
Today POUND Colorado. The line opened at -133 and is downt o -121. The books are trying the scare tactic again to entice you to take San Francisco. Colorado has a 1 game lead in the wild card and NEED to win. On top of that, Chatwood is 7-3 career vs. Giants and Moore is 1-3 career vs. Colorado. Great spot to pound the Rockies today.
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