BenZolina's MLB 6/26/26 - These numbers don't add up for McGreevy

2026 MLB posted:  21-18-0    +$341.

Marlins -105 (Meyer/McGreevy) listed  $ 210-200

This might get rained out, but if it doesn't, here's the thinking ....

McGreevy is 5 for 7 in quality starts at home with an ERA in those games of 2.25. Very impressive. But when you look at his StatCast numbers, they tell another story (5.70 xERA with an xBAA of .294). When the real numbers are so different from the projected numbers, I tend to side with the projected numbers.

Meyer has also been more than solid and the bullpen advantage goes to the Marlins as well.

@BenZolina

@FelixFermin21

appreciate it 

updated:

2026 MLB posted:  22-18-0  +$541.

Marlins -105 (Meyer/McGreevy) listed  $ 210-200  

@BenZolina

 Wish I woulda read this before I fired on the Cards.. nice pick & nice win! 

thanks Dub. To be fair, the McGreevy regression angle didn't work at all, but the Marlins better bullpen angle did. Just how it goes sometimes.

Good luck with your plays today.