Posted:
#1
2026 MLB posted: 19-17-0 +$241.
Pirates F5 RL -108 (Ashcraft/Civale) listed $108-100
Pirates F7 RL -110 (Ashcraft/Civale) listed $110-100
Civale has a 4.20 ERA, but a 5.48 FIP, indicating it's doubtful he's going to continue to be this good with runners in scoring position (.109 BAA). He's got bad numbers against lefties, a bad home ERA a bad nighttime ERA and on top of all that a bad throwing shoulder that caused him to miss three weeks.
One issue here is the unpredictability of this ballpark. Flyballs turn into 3-run homeruns etc., but I'll side with the talented Ashcraft for the F5 and F7. I think he'll at least be a run better in those two scenarios. Both pens are bad. I don't want to be exposed to a full-game bet.
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