I might consider this auto-play as the season progresses . . . find an average or mediocre pitcher who shoves it up the back side of the Astros and fade that guy in his next start. I've seen enough Mariners baseball since 2004 to know what a bad team looks like, and none of those teams are close to what we've seen from Houston in the past 9 days.
Those looking at Joe Saunders pitching line will find a 3.48 next week when he faces the Rangers, and they'll also see his career record at Safeco Field, and they'll forget that safeco record is built on the back of bad mariners teams and a team that makes the 2010 mariners look like the world series champs.
there's an old saying in baseball, every team wins 54 and loses 54 games, it's the other 54 games that determine the great, good, average, bad, and ugly teams . . . i dont think that applies to Houston.
In the expansion era, the 2010 Diamondbacks have the worst strikeout rate at 4.04 PA per batter K, the 2013 Astros are a whopping 28% worse than that. I know it's a small sample size, but it's an alarming trend.
In addition, the 1966 Cardinals have the worst batter walk rate in the same era, and the 2013 Astros are an astounding 38% worse, walking just once per 23.9 Plate Appearances.
And now here's the real scary thing, the Astros BABIP in 2013 is 10 points better than the AL average of the past two seasons, it's fair to say they've gotten lucky a bit and could easily regress to that mean.
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I might consider this auto-play as the season progresses . . . find an average or mediocre pitcher who shoves it up the back side of the Astros and fade that guy in his next start. I've seen enough Mariners baseball since 2004 to know what a bad team looks like, and none of those teams are close to what we've seen from Houston in the past 9 days.
Those looking at Joe Saunders pitching line will find a 3.48 next week when he faces the Rangers, and they'll also see his career record at Safeco Field, and they'll forget that safeco record is built on the back of bad mariners teams and a team that makes the 2010 mariners look like the world series champs.
there's an old saying in baseball, every team wins 54 and loses 54 games, it's the other 54 games that determine the great, good, average, bad, and ugly teams . . . i dont think that applies to Houston.
In the expansion era, the 2010 Diamondbacks have the worst strikeout rate at 4.04 PA per batter K, the 2013 Astros are a whopping 28% worse than that. I know it's a small sample size, but it's an alarming trend.
In addition, the 1966 Cardinals have the worst batter walk rate in the same era, and the 2013 Astros are an astounding 38% worse, walking just once per 23.9 Plate Appearances.
And now here's the real scary thing, the Astros BABIP in 2013 is 10 points better than the AL average of the past two seasons, it's fair to say they've gotten lucky a bit and could easily regress to that mean.
good write-up, I've been cashing fading the astros and picking their team total under. But I am afraid to touch the game tonight with erik bedard going on the mound vs this below average mariners lineup. Also it seems like Astros are due for a win here.
0
good write-up, I've been cashing fading the astros and picking their team total under. But I am afraid to touch the game tonight with erik bedard going on the mound vs this below average mariners lineup. Also it seems like Astros are due for a win here.
good write-up, I've been cashing fading the astros and picking their team total under. But I am afraid to touch the game tonight with erik bedard going on the mound vs this below average mariners lineup. Also it seems like Astros are due for a win here.
Bedard doesnt scare me, he is a mental midget, but of course is capable of a good performance. It's worth noting that he "scratched himself" from his first start back in baltimore. I'm not sure -150 is a good enough price to put my money where my mouth is though.
I would be careful of "astros are due" line of reasoning until they show some life at the plate. they could very well be the worst MLB team to take the field since the 1899 Cleveland Spiders.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Cuno144:
good write-up, I've been cashing fading the astros and picking their team total under. But I am afraid to touch the game tonight with erik bedard going on the mound vs this below average mariners lineup. Also it seems like Astros are due for a win here.
Bedard doesnt scare me, he is a mental midget, but of course is capable of a good performance. It's worth noting that he "scratched himself" from his first start back in baltimore. I'm not sure -150 is a good enough price to put my money where my mouth is though.
I would be careful of "astros are due" line of reasoning until they show some life at the plate. they could very well be the worst MLB team to take the field since the 1899 Cleveland Spiders.
I am findin it tough to stay away from the Mariners RL. While it's certainly possible that Bedard will pitch well tonight, i think it's more likely that he does not pitch exceedingly well.
Even if he does pitch well, I think the Mariners bats are superior enough to overcome a decent Bedard outing. Maurer was great in Arizona, and I won't read too much into his first start in Oakland. Now, if he does the same thing tonight, I will have caution before backing him again.
0
I am findin it tough to stay away from the Mariners RL. While it's certainly possible that Bedard will pitch well tonight, i think it's more likely that he does not pitch exceedingly well.
Even if he does pitch well, I think the Mariners bats are superior enough to overcome a decent Bedard outing. Maurer was great in Arizona, and I won't read too much into his first start in Oakland. Now, if he does the same thing tonight, I will have caution before backing him again.
so that means they should win 1game out of every 4 games or so then?
This group of Astros players certainly proved on Opening night that they can play with heart and purpose, and when they play a flawless game, they can win. But this is a very difficult game to play without flaws. I would imagine their numbers will progress to the mean to a certain extent, or minor leaguers will get called up and perform better.
This is a team with replacement level players or worse.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Cuno144:
so that means they should win 1game out of every 4 games or so then?
This group of Astros players certainly proved on Opening night that they can play with heart and purpose, and when they play a flawless game, they can win. But this is a very difficult game to play without flaws. I would imagine their numbers will progress to the mean to a certain extent, or minor leaguers will get called up and perform better.
This is a team with replacement level players or worse.
Let's see how the Oakland rookie kid pitches in his next AAA start. Darvish didnnt exactly look like Johnny VanderMeer on Sunday night. and I doubt Joe Saunders has a ton of success versus the Rangers this weekend.
0
Let's see how the Oakland rookie kid pitches in his next AAA start. Darvish didnnt exactly look like Johnny VanderMeer on Sunday night. and I doubt Joe Saunders has a ton of success versus the Rangers this weekend.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.