Posted:
#3801
Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵
Posted:
#3807
2026 season
Normally I DO NOT begin betting MLB until around the first week of May. My capping is heavily influenced by team/player averages to date - and that requires workable stats beyond a tiny sample size. For starting pitchers I need at least 5 starts worth of stats (current season!) but preferably 6 starts in 90% of my capping scenarios or I pass on that starter/game due to the higher volatility on probability (ie, less confidence with smaller sample size)
This 2026 season I thought I might try betting some selective spots, prior to MAY, despite the limited season stats.
All bets I post (not the leans!) are counted in my record, and are REAL $ BETS of significant sums, usually averaging 2% of my bankroll each. I bet considerably more on my *Best Bets (BB) My record will reflect the common one unit bet per game (ie, laying the juice on favs to win one unit or laying one unit to win plus money values) This makes comparisons fair & equal.
However, it will be noted that while they still count win or lose, any bets by me in early-mid April is experimental, as I am stepping outside the box in which I am normally successful (ie, May and beyond) If needed, I may begin posting/updating a 2nd record which will reflect my usual MLB handicapping methodology which normally starts in MAY...
April 07: Brewers +135 and over 6 -115
MLB average player salary hits record 
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