Posted:
#1
Tough card to call, lots of no-names. 8 fights set at 1.5 over/under so maybe I can get that lean working again. Anybody see anything that jumps out, feel free to post!!!
UFC FN 62
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Views: 1170
Posts: 25
Posted:
#2
I'm looking at these ones:
LaFlare -160 over Maia - a lot of people are comparing this fight to Maia/Fitch, but I think LaFlare is much more comfortable on the feet than Fitch ever has been. This is a 5 rounder and Maia has been shown to have gas issues. Also, LaFlare is training a lot with the Blackzillians now (very white guy), so I think that helps him too.
Martin -105 over Santos - I think Martin got an unlucky draw with Magomedov and Dariush as his first 2 ufc opponents but he took a round from both of them. I think he's a much better athlete than Santos and if he can avoid the ground, should be able to win 2 of 3 rounds here.
Pepey +220 over Fili - both of these two are powerful, flash-strikers with acrobatic kicks and knees. I think Fili is a bit more technical on the feet but Pepey has a big advantage on the ground and if he tags Fili, he can finish. If Pepey was +100 I'd pass but I just like this line.
Arreola +165 over Trinaldo
A couple very strong grapplers with heavy hands. Trinaldo has shown issues with wearing down, and I think he's borderline over the hill at 36, especially at LW.
So based on my recent 5 events or so, just fade these ones and you should be fine.
LaFlare -160 over Maia - a lot of people are comparing this fight to Maia/Fitch, but I think LaFlare is much more comfortable on the feet than Fitch ever has been. This is a 5 rounder and Maia has been shown to have gas issues. Also, LaFlare is training a lot with the Blackzillians now (very white guy), so I think that helps him too.
Martin -105 over Santos - I think Martin got an unlucky draw with Magomedov and Dariush as his first 2 ufc opponents but he took a round from both of them. I think he's a much better athlete than Santos and if he can avoid the ground, should be able to win 2 of 3 rounds here.
Pepey +220 over Fili - both of these two are powerful, flash-strikers with acrobatic kicks and knees. I think Fili is a bit more technical on the feet but Pepey has a big advantage on the ground and if he tags Fili, he can finish. If Pepey was +100 I'd pass but I just like this line.
Arreola +165 over Trinaldo
A couple very strong grapplers with heavy hands. Trinaldo has shown issues with wearing down, and I think he's borderline over the hill at 36, especially at LW.
So based on my recent 5 events or so, just fade these ones and you should be fine.
Posted:
#4
Couple things we know for sure. It will be hot as Hades in Brazil. The crowd should be crazy unlike the last time when all the dogs were going crazy!!! Boy I just don't know about LaFlare, big step up against a sneaky vet. Both will gas and normally I love the wrestler, BJJ match up still not sure about it though. Not sure about Martin either but I'm not sold on Santos either, lol. Now I like the Pepey line a lot and Arreola even more. I'm really gonna bear down later this week after the Madness begins.
Posted:
#10
Quote Originally Posted by sawman:
Laflare Maia all comes down to Laflare's TDD. I don't know how strong it is. But Maia, in his own style of grappling and TDs, is pretty successful at getting ahold of a guy and getting him down. Except Rory he couldn't get down.
Laflare Maia all comes down to Laflare's TDD. I don't know how strong it is. But Maia, in his own style of grappling and TDs, is pretty successful at getting ahold of a guy and getting him down. Except Rory he couldn't get down.
I'm pretty sure Maia had Corey's back the whole first round before he gassed badly!!!
Posted:
#11
Quote Originally Posted by OnTheO:
I'm looking at these ones:LaFlare -160 over Maia - a lot of people are comparing this fight to Maia/Fitch, but I think LaFlare is much more comfortable on the feet than Fitch ever has been. This is a 5 rounder and Maia has been shown to have gas issues. Also, LaFlare is training a lot with the Blackzillians now (very white guy), so I think that helps him too. Martin -105 over Santos - I think Martin got an unlucky draw with Magomedov and Dariush as his first 2 ufc opponents but he took a round from both of them. I think he's a much better athlete than Santos and if he can avoid the ground, should be able to win 2 of 3 rounds here.Pepey +220 over Fili - both of these two are powerful, flash-strikers with acrobatic kicks and knees. I think Fili is a bit more technical on the feet but Pepey has a big advantage on the ground and if he tags Fili, he can finish. If Pepey was +100 I'd pass but I just like this line. Arreola +165 over TrinaldoA couple very strong grapplers with heavy hands. Trinaldo has shown issues with wearing down, and I think he's borderline over the hill at 36, especially at LW. So based on my recent 5 events or so, just fade these ones and you should be fine.
I'm looking at these ones:LaFlare -160 over Maia - a lot of people are comparing this fight to Maia/Fitch, but I think LaFlare is much more comfortable on the feet than Fitch ever has been. This is a 5 rounder and Maia has been shown to have gas issues. Also, LaFlare is training a lot with the Blackzillians now (very white guy), so I think that helps him too. Martin -105 over Santos - I think Martin got an unlucky draw with Magomedov and Dariush as his first 2 ufc opponents but he took a round from both of them. I think he's a much better athlete than Santos and if he can avoid the ground, should be able to win 2 of 3 rounds here.Pepey +220 over Fili - both of these two are powerful, flash-strikers with acrobatic kicks and knees. I think Fili is a bit more technical on the feet but Pepey has a big advantage on the ground and if he tags Fili, he can finish. If Pepey was +100 I'd pass but I just like this line. Arreola +165 over TrinaldoA couple very strong grapplers with heavy hands. Trinaldo has shown issues with wearing down, and I think he's borderline over the hill at 36, especially at LW. So based on my recent 5 events or so, just fade these ones and you should be fine.
Hey O, wanna go 5 on Santos/Martin since its even??? Maybe this will get you out of your mini-skump!!!!
Posted:
#14
Quote Originally Posted by Ferrari29:
Quote Originally Posted by OnTheO:
I'm looking at these ones:LaFlare -160 over Maia - a lot of people are comparing this fight to Maia/Fitch, but I think LaFlare is much more comfortable on the feet than Fitch ever has been. This is a 5 rounder and Maia has been shown to have gas issues. Also, LaFlare is training a lot with the Blackzillians now (very white guy), so I think that helps him too. Martin -105 over Santos - I think Martin got an unlucky draw with Magomedov and Dariush as his first 2 ufc opponents but he took a round from both of them. I think he's a much better athlete than Santos and if he can avoid the ground, should be able to win 2 of 3 rounds here.Pepey +220 over Fili - both of these two are powerful, flash-strikers with acrobatic kicks and knees. I think Fili is a bit more technical on the feet but Pepey has a big advantage on the ground and if he tags Fili, he can finish. If Pepey was +100 I'd pass but I just like this line. Arreola +165 over TrinaldoA couple very strong grapplers with heavy hands. Trinaldo has shown issues with wearing down, and I think he's borderline over the hill at 36, especially at LW. So based on my recent 5 events or so, just fade these ones and you should be fine.
Hey O, wanna go 5 on Santos/Martin since its even??? Maybe this will get you out of your mini-skump!!!!I'm looking at these ones:LaFlare -160 over Maia - a lot of people are comparing this fight to Maia/Fitch, but I think LaFlare is much more comfortable on the feet than Fitch ever has been. This is a 5 rounder and Maia has been shown to have gas issues. Also, LaFlare is training a lot with the Blackzillians now (very white guy), so I think that helps him too. Martin -105 over Santos - I think Martin got an unlucky draw with Magomedov and Dariush as his first 2 ufc opponents but he took a round from both of them. I think he's a much better athlete than Santos and if he can avoid the ground, should be able to win 2 of 3 rounds here.Pepey +220 over Fili - both of these two are powerful, flash-strikers with acrobatic kicks and knees. I think Fili is a bit more technical on the feet but Pepey has a big advantage on the ground and if he tags Fili, he can finish. If Pepey was +100 I'd pass but I just like this line. Arreola +165 over TrinaldoA couple very strong grapplers with heavy hands. Trinaldo has shown issues with wearing down, and I think he's borderline over the hill at 36, especially at LW. So based on my recent 5 events or so, just fade these ones and you should be fine.
For sure! What's the running total? I have Martin, you get Santos.
Posted:
#17
Ok from the top:
LaFlare(-120) 2.40 gets me 2.
Silva(-425) 85 gets me 20.
Under 1.5 Silva/Koscheck fight 26 gets me 20.
Under 1.5 Martin/Santos fight 2 gets me 3.
Nunes(-430) 21.50 gets me 5.
Under 1.5 Nunes/Baszler fight 2 gets me 2.
Pepey(+235) 2 gets me 4.70.
Under 1.5 Fili/Pepey fight 2 gets me 2.50
Arreola(+160) 2 gets me 3.20
Under 1.5 Trinaldo/Arreola fight 2 gets me 3.40.
Under 1.5 Souza/Kikuno fight 2 gets me 2.40.
Under 1.5 Mafra/Carrizosa fight 2 gets me 2.10.
Serrano(+135) 2 gets me 2.70.
LaFlare(-120) 2.40 gets me 2.
Silva(-425) 85 gets me 20.
Under 1.5 Silva/Koscheck fight 26 gets me 20.
Under 1.5 Martin/Santos fight 2 gets me 3.
Nunes(-430) 21.50 gets me 5.
Under 1.5 Nunes/Baszler fight 2 gets me 2.
Pepey(+235) 2 gets me 4.70.
Under 1.5 Fili/Pepey fight 2 gets me 2.50
Arreola(+160) 2 gets me 3.20
Under 1.5 Trinaldo/Arreola fight 2 gets me 3.40.
Under 1.5 Souza/Kikuno fight 2 gets me 2.40.
Under 1.5 Mafra/Carrizosa fight 2 gets me 2.10.
Serrano(+135) 2 gets me 2.70.
Posted:
#24
Quote Originally Posted by Ferrari29:
$152.90 in action. Thought about hedging my Silva bet with everybody else besides Sawman on Koscheck, but screw it. I'll go out on my sword with Silva!!!!!!!!! I'm looking for a few short fights, lol. best of luck guys and let's beat up them books!!!!!!!!
$152.90 in action. Thought about hedging my Silva bet with everybody else besides Sawman on Koscheck, but screw it. I'll go out on my sword with Silva!!!!!!!!! I'm looking for a few short fights, lol. best of luck guys and let's beat up them books!!!!!!!!
Got Silva on the last leg of a $400 parlay with Nunes and Burns.. Hedged Koscheck just to be safe..
Posted:
#25
Quote Originally Posted by OnTheO:
I agree - you're the Phil Baroni of mma cappers. And you won our head to head.
I agree - you're the Phil Baroni of mma cappers. And you won our head to head.
Phil Baroni couldn't shine my shoes, lol!!!!!!!!!!! Me being the best capper in here is laughable, I'm just seeing it good. Plenty of good cappers in here who give nice info to help me with plays!!!!!!!!
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