Posted:
#1
YTD:
16-9 +$1230
Prop Bets:
0-4 -$330
Parlays:
4-19 +$1606
16-9 +$1230
Prop Bets:
0-4 -$330
Parlays:
4-19 +$1606
UFC Fight Night 61
Views: 1126
Posts: 12
Posted:
#2
Current Leans:
Jorge over Shockey
Gibson over Andrade
Olivera over Waldburger
Trator over de la Torre
Macario over Dwyer
Andrade over Reneau
Strickland over Ponzinibbio
Alcantara over Saenz
Khabilov over Martins
Alvey over Ferreira
Barboza over Johnson
Current Plays:
Frank Mir +230 over Antonio Silva
Risking $100 to win $230
Jorge over Shockey
Gibson over Andrade
Olivera over Waldburger
Trator over de la Torre
Macario over Dwyer
Andrade over Reneau
Strickland over Ponzinibbio
Alcantara over Saenz
Khabilov over Martins
Alvey over Ferreira
Barboza over Johnson
Current Plays:
Frank Mir +230 over Antonio Silva
Risking $100 to win $230
Posted:
#9
Thanks guys..
Let's start with my parlays (some of these were put in before the Waldburger fight was called off).
Barboza/Khabilov/Alcantara/Andrade
$200 wins $453
Jorge/Gibson/Waldburger/Macario
$25 wins $106
Mir/Barboza/Strickland/Waldburger
$25 wins $430
Jorge/Gibson/Waldburger/Trator
$25 wins $131
Gibson/Waldburger/Trator/Macario
$25 wins $125
Waldburger/Trator/Macario/Andrade
$25 wins $128
Jorge/Trator/Macario/Andrade
$75 wins $217
Let's start with my parlays (some of these were put in before the Waldburger fight was called off).
Barboza/Khabilov/Alcantara/Andrade
$200 wins $453
Jorge/Gibson/Waldburger/Macario
$25 wins $106
Mir/Barboza/Strickland/Waldburger
$25 wins $430
Jorge/Gibson/Waldburger/Trator
$25 wins $131
Gibson/Waldburger/Trator/Macario
$25 wins $125
Waldburger/Trator/Macario/Andrade
$25 wins $128
Jorge/Trator/Macario/Andrade
$75 wins $217
Posted:
#10
Straight Plays:
Ivan Jorge -260 over Josh Shockey
While Shockey is still young, Jorge is a little better all around. Better striking and grappling. Pretty much a loser leaves town fight.
Risking $260 to win $100.
Cody Gibson -260 over Douglas Silva de Andrade
Andrade has some power, but hasn't fought since last Feb. I think the rust effects him more then people think.
Risking $260 to win $100
Tiago Trator -210 over Mike de la Torre
Trator is a great submission guy, where as Torre sucks against submissions, with all four losses coming via submission. That being said, if Torre has worked on his submission defense, Trator could be in for a long night.
Risking $210 to win $100
William Macario -300 over Matt Dwyer
Glad I got this at -300, it's up to -380 at my book now. -300 is usually my limit with straight bets, anything over that I like to parlay with another high favorite. Dwyer was knocked out in his first fight, which is a bad sign considering Macario is a power striker. I believe this will end quickly, as I think Macario can tag him quite easily. I might play a prop on Macario by KO as well if my book offers one.
Risking $300 to win $100
Jessica Andrade -240 over Marion Reneau
Reneau is tough, but Andrade is more aggressive and experienced. I think the mixture of her coming forward and UFC experience will be the difference here.
Risking $240 to win $100
Sean Strickland -170 over Santiago Ponzinibbio
Ponzinibbio has some power, and that's always dangerous. Strickland has the wrestling though and I think he'll be able to control Ponzinibbio on the mat.
Risking $170 to win $100
Iuri Alcantara -600 over Frankie Saenz
Showcase fight for Alcantara. At -600 though, the odds are too steep for me.
Rustam Khabilov -500 over Adriano Martins
Much like Alcantara, this is a showcase fight, made to get Khabilov a win. Too steep odds for my taste though. I would stick Khabilov and Alcantara on a parlay with another pick for a decent parlay though.
Sam Alvey +260 over Cezar Ferreira
Ferreira has gas tank problems and Alvey is tough to knockout. If Ferreira can show improved cardio, I think he wins this easily. That being said, I won't believe it until I see it.
Risking $100 to win $260
Edson Barboza -155 over Michael Johnson
Two great strikers in what many believe to be the best fight on the card. In my opinion, Barboza's leg and body kicks will be the difference. Look for him to use them early and often to sap Johnson's cardio and limit his mobility.
Risking $155 to win $100
Almost all chalk for me, didn't see much underdogs I liked. Hopefully it doesn't comeback to bite me.
Ivan Jorge -260 over Josh Shockey
While Shockey is still young, Jorge is a little better all around. Better striking and grappling. Pretty much a loser leaves town fight.
Risking $260 to win $100.
Cody Gibson -260 over Douglas Silva de Andrade
Andrade has some power, but hasn't fought since last Feb. I think the rust effects him more then people think.
Risking $260 to win $100
Tiago Trator -210 over Mike de la Torre
Trator is a great submission guy, where as Torre sucks against submissions, with all four losses coming via submission. That being said, if Torre has worked on his submission defense, Trator could be in for a long night.
Risking $210 to win $100
William Macario -300 over Matt Dwyer
Glad I got this at -300, it's up to -380 at my book now. -300 is usually my limit with straight bets, anything over that I like to parlay with another high favorite. Dwyer was knocked out in his first fight, which is a bad sign considering Macario is a power striker. I believe this will end quickly, as I think Macario can tag him quite easily. I might play a prop on Macario by KO as well if my book offers one.
Risking $300 to win $100
Jessica Andrade -240 over Marion Reneau
Reneau is tough, but Andrade is more aggressive and experienced. I think the mixture of her coming forward and UFC experience will be the difference here.
Risking $240 to win $100
Sean Strickland -170 over Santiago Ponzinibbio
Ponzinibbio has some power, and that's always dangerous. Strickland has the wrestling though and I think he'll be able to control Ponzinibbio on the mat.
Risking $170 to win $100
Iuri Alcantara -600 over Frankie Saenz
Showcase fight for Alcantara. At -600 though, the odds are too steep for me.
Rustam Khabilov -500 over Adriano Martins
Much like Alcantara, this is a showcase fight, made to get Khabilov a win. Too steep odds for my taste though. I would stick Khabilov and Alcantara on a parlay with another pick for a decent parlay though.
Sam Alvey +260 over Cezar Ferreira
Ferreira has gas tank problems and Alvey is tough to knockout. If Ferreira can show improved cardio, I think he wins this easily. That being said, I won't believe it until I see it.
Risking $100 to win $260
Edson Barboza -155 over Michael Johnson
Two great strikers in what many believe to be the best fight on the card. In my opinion, Barboza's leg and body kicks will be the difference. Look for him to use them early and often to sap Johnson's cardio and limit his mobility.
Risking $155 to win $100
Almost all chalk for me, didn't see much underdogs I liked. Hopefully it doesn't comeback to bite me.
Posted:
#11
Current Card:
Straight Plays:
Ivan Jorge -260 over Josh Shockey
Risking $260 to win $100.
Cody Gibson -260 over Douglas Silva de Andrade
Risking $260 to win $100
Tiago Trator -210 over Mike de la Torre
Risking $210 to win $100
William Macario -300 over Matt Dwyer
Risking $300 to win $100
Jessica Andrade -240 over Marion Reneau
Risking $240 to win $100
Sean Strickland -170 over Santiago Ponzinibbio
Risking $170 to win $100
Sam Alvey +260 over Cezar Ferreira
Risking $100 to win $260
Edson Barboza -155 over Michael Johnson
Risking $155 to win $100
Frank Mir +230 over Antonio Silva
Risking $100 to win $230
Parlays:
Barboza/Khabilov/Alcantara/Andrade
$200 wins $453
Jorge/Gibson/Waldburger/Macario
$25 wins $106
Mir/Barboza/Strickland/Waldburger
$25 wins $430
Jorge/Gibson/Waldburger/Trator
$25 wins $131
Gibson/Waldburger/Trator/Macario
$25 wins $125
Waldburger/Trator/Macario/Andrade
$25 wins $128
Jorge/Trator/Macario/Andrade
$75 wins $217
GL on Sunday night ladies (if any are reading these threads) and gentlemen. Comments and insight are always appreciated. I'll try and check back in before the fights start and answer any questions anyone might have.
Straight Plays:
Ivan Jorge -260 over Josh Shockey
Risking $260 to win $100.
Cody Gibson -260 over Douglas Silva de Andrade
Risking $260 to win $100
Tiago Trator -210 over Mike de la Torre
Risking $210 to win $100
William Macario -300 over Matt Dwyer
Risking $300 to win $100
Jessica Andrade -240 over Marion Reneau
Risking $240 to win $100
Sean Strickland -170 over Santiago Ponzinibbio
Risking $170 to win $100
Sam Alvey +260 over Cezar Ferreira
Risking $100 to win $260
Edson Barboza -155 over Michael Johnson
Risking $155 to win $100
Frank Mir +230 over Antonio Silva
Risking $100 to win $230
Parlays:
Barboza/Khabilov/Alcantara/Andrade
$200 wins $453
Jorge/Gibson/Waldburger/Macario
$25 wins $106
Mir/Barboza/Strickland/Waldburger
$25 wins $430
Jorge/Gibson/Waldburger/Trator
$25 wins $131
Gibson/Waldburger/Trator/Macario
$25 wins $125
Waldburger/Trator/Macario/Andrade
$25 wins $128
Jorge/Trator/Macario/Andrade
$75 wins $217
GL on Sunday night ladies (if any are reading these threads) and gentlemen. Comments and insight are always appreciated. I'll try and check back in before the fights start and answer any questions anyone might have.
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