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Post Nos. 5 and 20 generally have the best win percentage (10.5% each) for Derby horses. But last year, neither position produced a top-five horse. Post No. 17 remains as the only regularly used position that has yet to produce a winner with only three in-the-money finishes, making it the least favorable spot. When it comes to a top-three placing, Post No. 10 is the best option, having a horse finish in-the-money during 29.5% of the 88 races the post has been used.
Before you place your bets, here’s a look at where the most winners and in-the-money horses have come from:
Fastest winner: Hill Gail, 2:01 3/5 (1952)
Record (Entries-win-place-show): 95-8-5-5
Win percentage: 8.4%
In-the-money percentage: 18.9%
Ferdinand (1986) was the last horse to win at this position, with the average placing for horses being 8.2.
Fastest winner: Affirmed, 2:01 1/5 (1978)
Record (Entries-win-place-show): 95-7-6-13
Win percentage: 7.4%
In-the-money percentage: 27.4%
Boasts the second-best rate (27.4%) of horses finishing top three among the 20 post positions. Four of the seven wins from this spot came in the 1970s: Dust Commander (1970), Cannonade (1974), Bold Forbes (1976) and Affirmed (1978). There have been no winners since.
Win percentage: 6.3%
In-the-money percentage: 23.2%
Two of the six wins from this post came in the 1970s — 1975 (Foolish Pleasure) and 1979 (Spectacular Bid) — with Mystik Dan adding a win to the position last year. It's the third straight year the post has had a top-three horse after Two Phil's finished second in 2023 and Epicenter was the 2022 runner-up.
Record (Entries-win-place-show): 95-5-6-4
Win percentage: 5.3%
In-the-money percentage: 15.8%
Super Saver’s 2010 Derby victory was the last for the post.
Fastest winner: War Emblem, 2:01.13 (2002)
Record (Entries-win-place-show): 95-10-8-4
Win percentage: 10.5%
In-the-money percentage: 23.2%
The winningest position with 10 champions. Four have come since 2000: War Emblem (2002), Funny Cide (2003), California Chrome (2014) and Always Dreaming (2017).
Record (Entries-win-place-show): 95-2-8-3
Win percentage: 2.1%
In-the-money percentage: 13.7%
Has the least number of wins of the first 10 posts with two but has eight second-place finishes, tied with Posts 3 and 5 for the most. Good Magic finished second in 2018 from the sixth post.
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