My personal rules that can improve your sports betting:
1. Money management. Bet less than 5% of your total current bankroll per bet. Use Kelly Criterion Calculator. Be discipline.
For example: If your total bankroll is $2000. 5% of your $2000 is $100. If you lose your $100 bet, now you have $1900. 5% of your $1900 is $95. Now you bet $95 instead of $100 because of your total current bankroll has changed. Bet like this and you can either slowly gain or slowly lose but can never be completely broke.
2. Be a strategic gambler by picking your spots and wait for the right opportunity. Never be a compulsive gambler by betting because it's your favorite team or for the action. Do your research. 3. Stay emotionless all the time. Bet like a robot. There's no place for emotions in this profession. Be unbiased. 4. Do not judge a team based on what they did last week. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kd3A7ODxhTU 5. Never bet on heavily juiced/vig lines. Like a line at -1000 for example. 6. Never bet on heavily valued lines. Like a terrible team at 100 to 1 odds to win championship. 7. Parlays should be no longer than 2 teams, the bigger the parlay is, the bigger the House Edge. Research and Secure your first pick before moving on to your second pick. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=89HtJmQgjww 8. Teasers should never pass through the zero. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RP3P9OJvukQ Maximize your odds by betting on 7 point teasers on sides. Ignore teasers that are 6 point, 6.5 point and on totals. Teasers and Parlays give the sportsbooks the most house edge. If you had to bet on one of these, it would be on the 7 point teaser. https://wizardofodds.com/games/sports-betting/appendix/10/ https://wizardofodds.com/games/sports-betting/nfl-parlay/ 9. Teams with home field/court advantage tend to win games. Sportsbooks know this and favorites the home team. "Whoever is first in the field and awaits the coming of the enemy, will be fresh for the fight; whoever is second in the field and has to hasten to battle will arrive exhausted." -Sun Tzu, the Art of War Since sportsbooks likes to juice the ATS and ML on home teams this gives the disadvantage to gamblers. So I like teasing home teams than away teams because that gives me the better spread with home field advantage. 10. Never bet on double digit road favorites. You will lose in the long run. 11. Never bet on preseason games on any sport. Predicting on 2nd string teams is stupid because of the lack of game footage on mostly unknown players. 12. Understand how to bet on underdogs ML and ATS: https://www.wagerminds.com/blog/nfl-handicapping/how-often-do-nfl-underdogs-win-outright-a-historical-analysis-by-spread-ranges-2496/ 13. If you are extremely compulsive, arrogant, drunk and biased. The best advice is to "Don't Gamble". 14. Learn from your mistakes. Most gamblers don't learn from their mistakes. That's why I made these gambling rules.
I found this useful info from another source:
1. Establish a base line for the game to determine value when a line is more or less than your number. You can do this by using power ratings and weekly adjustment charts to update each team's power rating weekly.
2. Situational handicapping- look for things like revenge, maybe a player is shooting his mouth off, key injuries. Note; linemakers are sharp and generally build the line to compensate for the injury, it's when the public overbets the injury to look at playing the otherside.
3. Statistical handicapping- does a team have a top ranked rushing or passing game going against a low ranked defense. Turnovers?
4. Fundemental handicapping- are their any strong trends or coaching advantages. How well do they play on the road? What is their red zone %, are they able to run the clock out with a lead, etc...
My personal rules that can improve your sports betting:
1. Money management. Bet less than 5% of your total current bankroll per bet. Use Kelly Criterion Calculator. Be discipline.
For example: If your total bankroll is $2000. 5% of your $2000 is $100. If you lose your $100 bet, now you have $1900. 5% of your $1900 is $95. Now you bet $95 instead of $100 because of your total current bankroll has changed. Bet like this and you can either slowly gain or slowly lose but can never be completely broke.
2. Be a strategic gambler by picking your spots and wait for the right opportunity. Never be a compulsive gambler by betting because it's your favorite team or for the action. Do your research. 3. Stay emotionless all the time. Bet like a robot. There's no place for emotions in this profession. Be unbiased. 4. Do not judge a team based on what they did last week. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kd3A7ODxhTU 5. Never bet on heavily juiced/vig lines. Like a line at -1000 for example. 6. Never bet on heavily valued lines. Like a terrible team at 100 to 1 odds to win championship. 7. Parlays should be no longer than 2 teams, the bigger the parlay is, the bigger the House Edge. Research and Secure your first pick before moving on to your second pick. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=89HtJmQgjww 8. Teasers should never pass through the zero. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RP3P9OJvukQ Maximize your odds by betting on 7 point teasers on sides. Ignore teasers that are 6 point, 6.5 point and on totals. Teasers and Parlays give the sportsbooks the most house edge. If you had to bet on one of these, it would be on the 7 point teaser. https://wizardofodds.com/games/sports-betting/appendix/10/ https://wizardofodds.com/games/sports-betting/nfl-parlay/ 9. Teams with home field/court advantage tend to win games. Sportsbooks know this and favorites the home team. "Whoever is first in the field and awaits the coming of the enemy, will be fresh for the fight; whoever is second in the field and has to hasten to battle will arrive exhausted." -Sun Tzu, the Art of War Since sportsbooks likes to juice the ATS and ML on home teams this gives the disadvantage to gamblers. So I like teasing home teams than away teams because that gives me the better spread with home field advantage. 10. Never bet on double digit road favorites. You will lose in the long run. 11. Never bet on preseason games on any sport. Predicting on 2nd string teams is stupid because of the lack of game footage on mostly unknown players. 12. Understand how to bet on underdogs ML and ATS: https://www.wagerminds.com/blog/nfl-handicapping/how-often-do-nfl-underdogs-win-outright-a-historical-analysis-by-spread-ranges-2496/ 13. If you are extremely compulsive, arrogant, drunk and biased. The best advice is to "Don't Gamble". 14. Learn from your mistakes. Most gamblers don't learn from their mistakes. That's why I made these gambling rules.
I found this useful info from another source:
1. Establish a base line for the game to determine value when a line is more or less than your number. You can do this by using power ratings and weekly adjustment charts to update each team's power rating weekly.
2. Situational handicapping- look for things like revenge, maybe a player is shooting his mouth off, key injuries. Note; linemakers are sharp and generally build the line to compensate for the injury, it's when the public overbets the injury to look at playing the otherside.
3. Statistical handicapping- does a team have a top ranked rushing or passing game going against a low ranked defense. Turnovers?
4. Fundemental handicapping- are their any strong trends or coaching advantages. How well do they play on the road? What is their red zone %, are they able to run the clock out with a lead, etc...
Gambling allows us normal folks to maintain that competitive edge in our lives, It makes us feel like we are involved in the sport being played, What fun is watching sports without having a strong opinion on it?
Not all gamblers are actually gamblers, Some people were born to constantly roll the dice in life and some people were born to whine and complain.
Quote Originally Posted by SwishSwish1234:
Gambling allows us normal folks to maintain that competitive edge in our lives, It makes us feel like we are involved in the sport being played, What fun is watching sports without having a strong opinion on it?
Not all gamblers are actually gamblers, Some people were born to constantly roll the dice in life and some people were born to whine and complain.
Forgot what account he was logged in under
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